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The Latest From Inside McCain HQ November 04, 2008 11:30 AM ET | James Pethokoukis | I just talked to one of my best Team McCain sources who told me that heading into today all the key battleground polls were moving hard and fast in their direction. The source, hardly a perma-optimist, thinks it will be a long night, but that McCain is going to win. So add this with the new Battleground poll (Obama +1.9 only) and the rising stock market...

Fox news just reported that Fox/Rasmussent battle gound polls showing extrodinary tightening about to be released. Keep fighting!

The final Harris Poll from Nov 2, 2004...Another piece of evidence pointing to a likely Kerry victory is that online Harris Polls in these large, key states, which may well determine the Electoral College result, all show modest Kerry leads. However, all these leads are within the possible sampling error for these surveys. Assuming the forecast is correct, Kerry is likely to win all three large states, and almost certainly the White House along with it. The sample sizes were well over 1,000 likely voters in Florida (1,433), Pennsylvania (1,204), and Ohio (1,218).

Is MO still the litmus state it has been? I seem to remember that in the last 100 years MO has predicted the winner of every presidential elections except one. I do remember reading that the demographics of MO made it the ultimate poll. I'm not sure if that goes out the window this election? Opinions? If not Realclearpolitics has McCain up .4 in MO and that might be a bit of encouragement for our guy.

A Halloween Day poll shows John McCain trailing Barack Obama by one point in the “toss-up” states that could decide Tuesday’s presidential election. The George Washington University Battleground Poll gives Obama and running mate Joe Biden 47 percent, with 46 percent for McCain and running mate Sarah Palin in those states and 4 percent undecided. The campaigns are focusing advertising and visits in those battleground states. California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger will appear with McCain on Friday in Columbus, Ohio. McCain and Palin also have stops planned over the next few days in Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Iowa. The...

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An urgent message from The Republican National Trust PAC Obama's campaign is trying to stop our TV ad from running! We have struck a real nerve. On Friday four broadcast television stations in the key battleground stations have contacted us and said the Obama camp is denying a key allegation in one of our hard-hitting TV ads. They even demanded that the stations stop running our TV ad. As you know, we at the Republican National Trust PAC are spearheading the effort to expose Obama as the radical he is and defeat him on Election Day. In our TV ad...

GWU/Battleground Poll: 049, M46

Thursday, October 23, 2008 - 2:40 PM MST Battleground polls: Obama 47%, McCain 46% Phoenix Business Journal - by Mike Sunnucks A Thursday poll puts the presidential vote at 48 percent for Barack Obama and running mate Joe Biden versus 45 percent for Arizona Sen. John McCain and running mate Sarah Palin. Four percent are undecided in the new poll conducted by George Washington University, Tarrance Group and Lake Partners. But the poll also shows that in toss-up states, the Obama-Biden ticket has 47 percent compared with 46 percent for McCain-Palin with 5 percent undecided. States such as Florida, Virginia,...

FReepers! I have done some ground work this morning and wanted to present some excellent news. I have looked through the internal report of today's battleground poll and found very encouraging figures! Dont even bother worrying about zogby; Lets keep our eyes on Battleground, IDP TIPP, and to a lesser extent Rasmussen. So, the link is attached to the pdf. I encourage EVERYONE to read it and post in this thread the positive things you see...there is so much! I will start by posting what i see first: weighting: R373 (36.97%) I212(21%) D424(42.02) some goodies: McCain leads in all of...

New FReeper is traveling from a solid red state (GA) to travel to Ohio to volunteer through election day for McCain/Palin. Please ping me with any FReeper activities planned in central and southern Ohio. Also asking for prayers in, Ohio volunteers, and prayers for this election

Here is the 2004 breakdown of the seven battleground states McCain has to win: FL 41R-37D-22I VA 39R-35D-26I NC 40R-39D-21I OH 40R-35D-25I MO 36R-35D-29I CO 38R-29D-23I NV 39R-35D-26I PA 39R-41D-20I I know most if not all of these states will be 2-3 points closer to the Dems, but is that going to make up the difference he lost most of these states by? My guess is no.

Polling News & Notes Overlooked Recent Polling And Insights • October 9, 2008 How Many Votes Will Be Cast Before Election Day? Every state allows voters to mail in absentee ballots, but more and more states are allowing voters to cast ballots in person before the election, a process known as “early voting.” Twelve states allowed early voting in 2004; 34 states and the District of Columbia will have an early voting process this year. Ten of this year’ battleground states have early voting, and five of them did in 2004, with between 31% and 52% of all of the...

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John McCain kept his three-point lead over Barack Obama in a Mason-Dixon Research poll of likely Virginia voters that was released today. The Republican’s 48-to-45 advantage in the Mason-Dixon poll once again emphasizes Virginia’s status as a battleground state, because the poll’s margin of error is four points. McCain’s margin, of only three points, means the pollster can’t be confident about who’s ahead. In the Lynchburg-Danville region, the Mason-Dixon poll gives McCain an 11-point advantage over Democrat Obama, but the margin of error is higher for the poll’s regional breakdowns. In Roanoke and Southwest Virginia, McCain is ahead by a...

Obama 49%, McCain 44% (+3 points from yesterday).

What will happen if the state vote must be recounted in battleground states whose governors and secretaries of state have different political party affiliations? Presently, the governors of 7 of 17 battleground states are of different party affiliation than their secretaries of state. In the list of 17 "battleground" states listed below, the name of each state is followed by the governor's name which is followed by the secretary of state's name which is followed by recent polling data for that state. Colorado Bill Ritter (D) Mike Coffman (R)FOX News/Rasmussen (9/29) Obama 49, McCain 48 Obama +1 Florida Charlie Crist...

...Republicans acknowledge that McCain is behind, but say the race is closer than the polling indicates. "I honestly believe right now in Iowa that Obama is ahead but it is less than five (percent)," said former Iowa Republican Chairman Michael Mahaffey. [Today's] visit is McCain's second in less than two weeks. He has scheduled a small-business round-table in Des Moines, following up on a Sept. 18 stop in Cedar Rapids with running mate Sarah Palin. His campaign also has continued television advertising in the state at roughly the same level as Obama. "I don't believe Sen. Obama has the lead...

3 national presidential race polls out today show the Obama campaign losing ground or holding on in the race against John McCain. The Gallup daily tracking poll has gone from a high of 50-44 in favor of Obama to 47-44 in favor of Obama, a loss of 3 percent for the democrat. The Rasmussen Tracking poll, which used the largest sample(3000) of any recent national poll (and is made up of "likely voters" as opposed to registered voters like Gallup) shows the race remains tied at 48-48 percent. The latestBattleground Poll of likely voters has gone from 47-47, to 48-47...