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BOCA RATON— In the muddled aftermath of Election 2000, Lawrence Caplan lost a legal fight and learned an important political lesson at the hands of none other than Vice President Dick Cheney: You can live in one state and vote in another. Caplan, a tax and corporate lawyer, has turned that lesson into Operation: Snowbird, an Internet tool designed to make a difference in the election of 2004 — if Democratic voters in New York and New Jersey respond to it. POPULAR PAGESAll they have to do, according to Caplan's Web site, www.operationsnowbird.com, is switch their registrations to Florida, where...

Kirk: Remap violates voter rights 10:16 PM CST on Friday, December 12, 2003By PETE SLOVER / The Dallas Morning News AUSTIN – Former Dallas Mayor Ron Kirk told a federal court Friday that if the proposed GOP-backed congressional remap doesn't violate the federal Voting Rights Act, the minority protection law is meaningless. "If the Voting Rights Act means anything, it means this map cannot stand," said Mr. Kirk, arguing that the right to vote is an empty illusion if blacks and Hispanics can't affect election outcomes. Mr. Kirk appeared as a witness for Democratic and minority groups seeking to overturn...

ROSWELL (New Mexico) - US President George W. Bush, courting the right-wing election year vote, delivered a warm message of support to anti-abortion protesters gathered in Washington and urged them to back his bid for a second term. 'During the past three years we've made real progress towards building a culture of life in America,' he said in a telephone call beamed to the marchers. 'But we all know there is still more to do.' The annual demonstration, which converged on the US Supreme Court on Thursday, this year marked the 31st anniversary of the court's 1973 Roe vs Wade...

Veteran civil rights leader Julian Bond opened the 93rd annual convention of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People on Sunday night with an uncompromising attack on the Bush administration, Attorney General John Ashcroft and what Bond called "a right-wing conspiracy." "We have a president who owes his election more to a dynasty than to democracy," said Bond, chairman of the NAACP board, in an ardent opening address at the George R. Brown Convention Center. "When he spoke to our convention in Baltimore in 2000, he promised to enforce the civil rights laws," Bond said. "We know he...

In a blog post for Foreign Policy magazine, Rosa Brooks, a former Obama administration official, outlined four ways to “get rid” of President Trump, including declaring him mentally unfit for command or carrying out a military coup.

CNN correspondent Alina Cho loaded the regal language into her report on Wednesday’s American Morning about Europe’s “apparent love affair” with Michelle Obama. Besides the obligatory Jackie Kennedy references, Cho gave a preview of the first lady’s tea with Queen Elizabeth II: “On today’s schedule: tea with the queen, and insiders say the queen and America’s queen bee will be fast friends.” The correspondent even compared Mrs. Obama to Princess Diana. She also referred to the Obamas as the “royal family of the United States.” Cho began her report by hyping the first lady’s popularity, how it apparently isn’t exclusive...

A startling new political science study concludes that corporate interests and mega wealthy individuals control U.S. policy to such a degree that "the preferences of the average American appear to have only a minuscule, near-zero, statistically non-significant impact upon public policy." The startling study, titled "Testing Theories of American Politics: Elites, Interest Groups, and Average Citizens," is slated to appear in an upcoming issue of Perspectives on Politics and was authored by Princeton University Professor Martin Gilens and Northwestern University Professor Benjamin Page. An early draft can be found here. Noted American University Historian Allan J. Lichtman, who highlighted the...

ABC, NBC, and CBS refuse to cover him. Left-leaning sources report on him with no integrity. PR tactics get employed at the hearing. And the DOJ spokesperson lashes out. The testimony of Christopher Coates before the United States Civil Rights Commission exposed a pervasive hostility to equal enforcement of the Voting Rights Act, as well as racialist policies at the Justice Department. He also exposed the intellectual bankruptcy of the defenders of the dismissal of the New Black Panther case. The testimony was covered by CNN and the Los Angeles Times, and was on the front page, above the fold,...

Allan J. Lichtman, Professor of History, American University Don't Govern From the Middle - Nov 7, 2008 The key lesson from America's most notable transformational presidents of modern times -- Franklin Delano Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan is: "don't govern from the middle." Great presidents don’t move to the middle they move the middle to them by changing the conversation about government and implementing programs that work. That is what FDR did for liberal governance in the 1930s and Reagan for conservative governance in the 1980s. No political leader in the history of the government has gained major political success or...

Publicly predicting presidential election winners can be tricky. If you go with conventional wisdom and are wrong, you have to lay low for a while and hope people forget your blunder. Just ask the Chicago Tribune.If you go with the candidate who is down in the polls, has high negatives, and is not supported by the political class and you end up right, you may get 15 minutes of fame and all the glory that goes with it. Several players are taking that risk and predicting a Trump victory using both traditional and social media based computer models.Allan Lichtman...

Dude, it’s over. “Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” says Lichtman, the brains behind The Keys to the White House…Working for the president are several of Lichtman’s keys, tops among them incumbency and the scandal-free nature of his administration.Undermining his re-election is a lack of charisma and leadership on key issues, says Lichtman, even including healthcare, Obama’s crowning achievement.Lichtman developed his 13 Keys in 1981. They test the performance of the party that holds the presidency. If six or more of the 13 keys go against the party in power, then the opposing...

WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. - About 46,000 people, most of them Democrats, are illegally registered to vote in New York City and in Florida, the liberal New York Daily News reported today. "The finding is even more stunning given the pivotal role Florida played in the 2000 presidential election, when a margin there of 537 votes tipped a victory to George W. Bush." And the investigation doesn't include other states or even the suburbs of New York. The pro-Kerry paper said that efforts to prevent such fraud "rely mostly on the honor system." That's a serious flaw when people who...

Never-Wrong Pundit Picks Obama to Win in 2012 By Paul Bedard , Lauren Fox Posted: August 30, 2011 Print * * * Allan Lichtman, the American University professor whose election formula has correctly called every president since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election, has a belated birthday present for Barack Obama: Rest easy, your re-election is in the bag. “Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” says Lichtman, the brains behind The Keys to the White House. Lichtman’s prediction helps to explain a quirk in some polling that finds that while Americans disapprove of the president,...

Allan Lichtman, the American University professor whose election formula has correctly called every president since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election, has a belated birthday present for Barack Obama: Rest easy, your re-election is in the bag. “Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” says Lichtman, the brains behind The Keys to the White House. Lichtman’s prediction helps to explain a quirk in some polling that finds that while Americans disapprove of the president, they still think he will win re-election.

1. Barr will be confirmed Republicans hold a 53-seat majority in the US Senate. Nothing that emerged in William Barr’s Senate hearing came close to losing him the four GOP votes that would put his confirmation in jeopardy.

Obama will win, he can relax, says expert US forecasterwww.telegraphindia.com – Wed 23 May, 2012 Allan Lichtman introduces "the world's only do-it-yourself prediction" to a select audience in Calcutta. The prediction model ' based on 13 keys ' forecasts the reelection of Barack Obama in the US presidential election to be held on November 6. To convince the audience, Lichtman took them through all the 13 keys asking them to ascertain if they were true or false. The audience judged 11 out of the 13 keys to be true, a sure shot that Obama would be reelected as six or...

Bill Clinton still casts a long shadow He provides advice and a blueprint for Democratic candidates to follow, but he could upstage them, too. By Liz Marlantes | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor WASHINGTON – He may not be able to seek another presidential term himself. But increasingly, it seems, Bill Clinton is becoming a force in the 2004 campaign. After being sidelined in 2000 by a vice president wanting to distance himself from his mentor's moral failings, Mr. Clinton is taking an increasingly active role in the current presidential race. He's strategizing with party leaders at closed-door...

Analysis of the 2020 Presidential Race by Reader From Chicago A U.S. presidential election is scheduled for 2020. The purpose of this essay is to determine in an analytical way who is likely to win. I first came across the historian Allan Lichtman’s model for predicting the winner of the US Presidential election during the 2016 Presidential campaign. Allan Lichtman presented his model in books such as The Keys To The White House. He went on record predicting a Trump victory a few weeks before the 2016 election. I found that prediction interesting, for it went against polling and conventional...

2004 Prediction - Bet On It LAST EDITED ON Nov-12-02 AT 11:17 AM (ET) I'm a firm believer in the concept that presidential elections are, first and foremost, a referendum on the incumbent's performance. This view of mine stems from Allan J. Lichtman's book "The Keys to the Presidency". Lichtman argues that there at 13 keys, 12 of which are based on the incumbent's performance over the preceeding 4 years. The challenging party has only one key that it has direct control over. The system attempts to discern the popular vote winner, not the electoral vote winner. The system has...

Steele banking on Bush visit But presidential tie seen by some as a liability By Jennifer Skalka Sun reporter Originally published November 26, 2005 President Bush's approval ratings have hit an all-time low in Maryland, but Lt. Gov. Michael S. Steele, a candidate for U.S. Senate, is betting that Bush still has cachet with the state's most dedicated Republican donors. The president will headline his first fundraiser for Steele on Wednesday at M&T Bank Stadium, home of the Baltimore Ravens. Tickets to the lunch, for which business attire is required, range from $125 for general admission to $5,000 for a...