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Obama will win, he can relax, says expert US forecaster
Yahoo ^ | 5/23/12

Posted on 05/24/2012 4:04:33 PM PDT by Libloather

Obama will win, he can relax, says expert US forecaster
www.telegraphindia.com – Wed 23 May, 2012

Allan Lichtman introduces "the world's only do-it-yourself prediction" to a select audience in Calcutta.

The prediction model ' based on 13 keys ' forecasts the reelection of Barack Obama in the US presidential election to be held on November 6. To convince the audience, Lichtman took them through all the 13 keys asking them to ascertain if they were true or false. The audience judged 11 out of the 13 keys to be true, a sure shot that Obama would be reelected as six or more keys have to be false for the incumbent President to lose the elections.

Rudrangshu Mukherjee, editor, editorial pages of The Telegraph, moderated the session organised by the American Centre in association with Aspen Institute India.

Question: What is common between Ronald Regan, George HW Bush, William J Clinton, George W Bush and Barack Obama other than they all have been occupants of the White House?

Answer: Allan Lichtman, a US professor of history, has successfully predicted their victory in the Presidential elections since 1984.

(Excerpt) Read more at in.news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Extended News; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: allanlichtman; elections; expert; forecaster; us
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Don't forget - experts are never wrong.

And then there's this - In Memoriam: The Old Obama, Who Wanted to Bring People Together
"Even as we speak," he said, "there are those who are preparing to divide us -- the spin masters, the negative ad peddlers, who embrace the politics of anything goes." On May 21, 2012, more than three years after he was sworn into office, Obama confessed at a press conference in his hometown, Chicago, that he had become one of those peddlers.

1 posted on 05/24/2012 4:04:39 PM PDT by Libloather
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To: Libloather

How could he relax more than he does already? The guy is on permanent vacation!


2 posted on 05/24/2012 4:09:02 PM PDT by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both)
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To: Libloather
Allan Lichtman introduces "the world's only do-it-yourself prediction" to a select audience in Calcutta.

select audience in Calcutta....????...four mules, 11 beggars, and some guy with a rubber snake mating with an inner tube.

3 posted on 05/24/2012 4:10:04 PM PDT by Doogle (((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: Libloather

He is right, Obama is a shoo in. Nit becuase he’s done a good job or anything. Obama represents the values of most of the people in this country. this is no longer Reagan;s America. This is a Godless nation where the people support abortion, same sex marriages, Atheism, sex changes, promiscuity and many other leftist agendas. This nation has abandoned God and God has in turn abandoned us. This nation has a new God it bows to and his name is Barack 0bama.

We got what we deserved and will continue to get what we deserve when Obama wins in a walk.


4 posted on 05/24/2012 4:10:54 PM PDT by GR_Jr. (Vote Obama out now.....deal with Romney later.)
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To: Libloather

And these experts were an audience in Calcutta, who awarded Obama 11 of the 13 keys for victory in the election. We better give up, the election’s already decided.


5 posted on 05/24/2012 4:11:59 PM PDT by Parmenio
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To: Libloather

” Don’t forget - experts are never wrong. “

I predict that he will, sometime around the first week in November of this year, utter the word “UNEXPECTED”...


6 posted on 05/24/2012 4:12:39 PM PDT by Uncle Ike (Rope is cheap, and there are lots of trees...)
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To: Libloather

AHHHHH sure, ok! LOL!

7 posted on 05/24/2012 4:17:55 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: Libloather
And if he is wrong, and Obama loses, it's not his fault! It just means everybody was RACIST!!!!! /sarcasm off
8 posted on 05/24/2012 4:21:53 PM PDT by apillar
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To: Doogle

I have become a self-appointed expert, too. I predicted each of those presidential victories. I am so special!


9 posted on 05/24/2012 4:23:03 PM PDT by EDINVA
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To: Libloather

If he would include the 1980 election I’ll bet he chose Carter......well, zero is Carter....he won’t win....regardless of what Slumdog electioneer says....


10 posted on 05/24/2012 4:31:56 PM PDT by Hogblog
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To: Libloather
"Sample some of the key questions: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign, real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms, there is no sustained social unrest during the term, the incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs etc"

Yes, I think you'd need to travel to India (or some alternative universe) to find an audience that would believe those statements are true. Is he on drugs?


11 posted on 05/24/2012 4:33:57 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: Libloather

I think it will be a low turnout election for both of the major parties and that the electoral votes will be close. We could have had a sweep, and should have.


12 posted on 05/24/2012 4:36:53 PM PDT by Psalm 144 ("I'm not willing to light my hair on fire to try and get support. I am who I am." - Willard M Romney)
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To: Psalm 144

I think it will be a low turnout election for both of the major parties and that the electoral votes will be close. We could have had a sweep, and should have.

It should be a sweep but it won’t be because we picked a liberal for the Republican candidate so regardless of who wins not much will change. The Republicans were extremely stupid this round because it should have been an easy win and now it won’t be.


13 posted on 05/24/2012 4:44:50 PM PDT by napscoordinator (VOTE FOR NEWT!!!!)
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To: GR_Jr.

There is no election on the local, state or national level since 2009 that indicates the nation thinks like Obama and the far left. Their ideas have been repeatedly rejected and the left moving democrat party is darn near extinction in most states.


14 posted on 05/24/2012 4:46:41 PM PDT by ilgipper
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To: Libloather

Allan Lichtman is an obese opera singer?


15 posted on 05/24/2012 4:46:52 PM PDT by Da Bilge Troll (Defeatism is not a winning strategy!)
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To: Libloather

From wikipedia: On September 28, 2005, Lichtman formally announced his candidacy for the United States Senate from Maryland. He ran as a progressive

nope...doesn't appear to be biased at all....(snicker)

16 posted on 05/24/2012 4:50:19 PM PDT by BookmanTheJanitor
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To: GR_Jr.

Did those of us who voted against 0bummer in 2008 get what we deserved, and will those of us who vote against him in 2012 deserve what we continue to get?


17 posted on 05/24/2012 4:51:06 PM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop the destruction in 2012 or continue the decline)
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To: Libloather

There are only four “key” questions given in the article, not all 13. Yet Obama is a clear failure on at least three out of four of these, with a chance that the even the single positive “not being in a recession during the election season” could fade between now and the election. GDP growth is now under 2% and still falling. With Europe troubles, it could dip negative by Oct.


18 posted on 05/24/2012 4:55:25 PM PDT by Kellis91789 (The ultimate result of shielding men from the effects of folly is to fill the world with fools.)
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To: luvbach1

I’m with you. NOBODY “deserves” Obama. It’s like saying someone “deserves” cancer. BS.


19 posted on 05/24/2012 4:55:25 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: BenLurkin

we should all have a job like that


20 posted on 05/24/2012 4:56:45 PM PDT by television is just wrong
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