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19 States Have Shifted to Donald Trump in Past Week—Nate Silver Model
Newsweek ^ | October 11, 2024 | Martha McHardy

Posted on 10/13/2024 2:43:56 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

Former President Donald Trump has made gains in 19 states in the past week, according to a major election forecast.

Pollster Nate Silver's forecast shows that the Republican presidential nominee has made marginal gains in six swing states during the past week and in Florida, Texas and New Mexico.

Trump has also made gains in New Hampshire, California, Montana, Washington, Massachusetts, Indiana, Missouri, Maryland, Rhode Island and Nebraska, including in its 2nd Congressional District.

Nebraska does not use the "winner takes all" system for awarding Electoral College votes. Two votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote, and one vote is awarded to the winner in each of Nebraska's three congressional districts.

The former president's largest gain was in Florida, where he picked up 1.8 points in the past week. He now leads Harris by 5.2 points in the state.

In Nebraska, Maryland and California, he increased his vote share by 1.6 points, 1.1 points and 1.3 points, respectively. Nebraska is a solidly Republican state, while Maryland and California are Democratic strongholds. In all the other non-battleground states, the former president has made marginal gains of less than 1 point.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: California; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: Indiana; US: Maryland; US: Massachusetts; US: Michigan; US: Missouri; US: Montana; US: Nebraska; US: New Hampshire; US: New Mexico; US: North Carolina; US: Pennsylvania; US: Rhode Island; US: Texas; US: Washington; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2024election; arizona; california; election2024; electoralcollege; fivethirtyeight; florida; georgia; indiana; maryland; massachusetts; michigan; missouri; montana; natesilver; nebraska; newhampshire; newmexico; newsweak; newsweap; northcarolina; pennsylvania; rhodeisland; texas; washington; wisconsin
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1 posted on 10/13/2024 2:43:56 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Newsweek had to become Newsweap reporting this...


2 posted on 10/13/2024 2:46:41 PM PDT by null and void (Illegal aliens are put up in fine hotels, Americans in Appalacha are left to starve in the elements)
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To: MinorityRepublican

As it gets closer to the election the greater the odds Deep State will use a Hellfire missile in their next assassination attempt.


3 posted on 10/13/2024 2:59:13 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (The worst thing about censorship is █████ ██ ████ ████ ████ █ ███████ ████. FJB.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

I propose that if the GOP wins the trifecta, there should be an immediate push to do two things:

1) Separate the federal voter roll from the state rolls and push legislation that restarts a new federal voter roll 30 days after a presidential election. Several other election integrity laws/conditions should be included.

2) Put forward a Constitutional amendment that awards electoral votes by each congressional district to the Presidential candidate that achieves 51% of the votes cast. If no candidate achieves 51%, a run-off election is held 30 days later between the two presidential candidates who received the most votes. The presidential candidate who receives the majority of votes in the runoff is awarded the electoral vote. That leaves 100 electoral votes, 2 per state, that can be awarded as the legislature sets by law.


4 posted on 10/13/2024 3:08:30 PM PDT by taxcontrol (The choice is clear - either live as a slave on your knees or die as a free citizen on your feet.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

I’ve come to believe that Democrats are panicking not because OMG we’re losing, but because OMG no one will believe that we actually won after the fix comes in.


5 posted on 10/13/2024 3:11:52 PM PDT by DarrellZero (.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

to paraphrase Sam Spade in The Maltese Falcon....19 eh? That’s a lot of states


6 posted on 10/13/2024 3:12:51 PM PDT by xp38
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To: taxcontrol

I want illegals deported and NPR defunded.


7 posted on 10/13/2024 3:13:13 PM PDT by willk (Local news media. Just as big an enemy to this country as national media)
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To: DarrellZero

Looking for defeat no matter what it takes, Ok then.


8 posted on 10/13/2024 3:24:51 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (.You will suffer from one: The pain of discipline or the pain of regret. )
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To: MinorityRepublican

LOTS of Trump signs around.

There’s a fair amount of harris signs in typically liberal leaning towns. I’m taking note of which of my neighbors have which so I know who to trust.


9 posted on 10/13/2024 3:34:28 PM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Wow, did doing an hour interview on some comedian’s youtube video do all this?


10 posted on 10/13/2024 3:50:02 PM PDT by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (America -- July 4, 1776 to November 3, 2020 -- R.I.P.)
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To: taxcontrol

These are bad ideas. Better take another look at them.


11 posted on 10/13/2024 4:01:40 PM PDT by jeffersondem
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To: MinorityRepublican

This is very significant

The Democrats have set up vote fraud operations in swing states but they are not prepared to cheat in what they considered safe states


12 posted on 10/13/2024 4:48:40 PM PDT by rdcbn1
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To: willk

NPR must stay funded. That way the NPR people will be content with their circle jerk, to which only aging hippies and morons will listen. They stopped entertaining ages ago. If you fire them, they’ll go out mounting soapboxes and starting blogs, and spreading their mental illness. Cheaper to keep them busy thinking they’re movers and shakers. As they die out, they can be replaced by intelligent people.


13 posted on 10/13/2024 4:56:05 PM PDT by Eleutheria5 (Every Goliath has his David. Child in need of a CGM system. https://gofund.me/6452dbf1. )
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To: Eleutheria5
...they can be replaced by intelligent people.

Oh?

And just WHO will be doing the hiring?

14 posted on 10/13/2024 5:05:34 PM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Eleutheria5
If you fire them, they’ll go out mounting soapboxes and starting blogs, and spreading their mental illness.

The lefties are very good at using other people's money to do their own politicking. If you defund NPR, they will male up the difference from the Joan Krocs of the world.

According to Perplexity.ai
Direct Federal Funding NPR receives less than 1% of its budget directly from the federal government135. This small percentage is often cited by NPR when discussing government funding.

Indirect Federal Funding
A more significant portion of NPR's budget comes from indirect federal funding:
About 10% of NPR's budget comes from federal, state, and local governments indirectly3.
This indirect funding primarily flows through the Corporation for Public Broadcasting (CPB), which provides grants to local public radio stations24.

Funding Breakdown
As of 2017, NPR's funding sources were reported as follows:
38% from individual donors
19% from corporate sponsors and licensing
10% from foundations
10% from university licensing and donations
4% from federal, state, and local governments via member stations3

Complex Funding Model

The funding model is complex because:
The CPB, funded by the federal government, provides grants to local public radio stations.
These local stations then use part of this money to purchase NPR programming

15 posted on 10/13/2024 5:07:58 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("Whatsoever he shall say to you, do ye." (John 2:5))
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To: SaxxonWoods

No I think we’re winning actually.

But I don’t underestimate the ability of the Dems to cheat, cheat and cheat some more.


16 posted on 10/13/2024 5:19:02 PM PDT by DarrellZero (.)
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To: taxcontrol

“...restarts a new federal voter roll 30 days after a presidential election”

Exactly right. Trying to clean up existing voter rolls is a fools errand. There’s simply no way it can possibly be done. Zero-out all the rolls and make everybody appear IN PERSON with valid government ID and proof of residency to re-register. If there are shut-in people who cannot get to the registrar’s office in person, have the registrar hire people to go visit them in their homes.

This would do wonders for eliminating much voter fraud.


17 posted on 10/13/2024 5:25:47 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (It should be illegal to be here illegally. It should be a crime to be committing crimes in the USA.)
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To: DarrellZero

18 posted on 10/13/2024 5:39:09 PM PDT by Dick Bachert
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Media meltdowns start early tomorrow. Set your DVR for 24/7
By Election Day they’ll strike.


19 posted on 10/13/2024 5:48:02 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: Elsie

They won’t notice a change in management. Those doing the hiring and firing work quietly in offices. Do unto them what they did to vital institutions, such as education and journalism. Infiltrate and subvert.


20 posted on 10/13/2024 5:52:53 PM PDT by Eleutheria5 (Every Goliath has his David. Child in need of a CGM system. https://gofund.me/6452dbf1. )
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