Posted on 04/18/2016 11:47:43 AM PDT by Trump20162020
Trump: 57%
Kasich: 22%
Cruz: 20%
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Probably for the same reason a lot of joined in '04. Help the Republican candidate, in this case, Trump, win the battle.
The Cruzies may finally be right when Trump PeakCeilings at 95.
More like a Cruz landfill.
Sen. Ted Cruz R-Texas. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Mahana
Cruz’s Texas win marks lowest home state support in 104 years
By PAUL BEDARD (@SECRETSBEDARD) • 3/2/16 10:05 AM
Sen. Ted Cruz’s victory in his home state of Texas, dubbed huge by many in the media, was the worst showing by a Republican candidate in a home state since 1913, according to a new analysis.
On Super Tuesday, Cruz won 43.7 percent of the vote, besting Donald Trump who won 26.7. But the average primary showing by Republican candidates who won their home state in the last 100 years has been 78.5 percent, according to the Smart Politics blog from Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at the University of Minnesota’s Humphrey School of Public Affairs.
“To be sure, the Texas U.S. Senator’s victory in his home state – and the most delegate rich state on the primary calendar thus far – was crucial for the Cruz campaign, and avoided an embarrassment that might have pressured him to withdraw after Super Tuesday,” wrote Smart Politics’ Eric J. Ostermeier.
But, he added, “While Cruz escaped that unenviable situation, his victory in Texas is decidedly shy of impressive.”
At least he won his state, though. The report notes that some GOP presidential candidates lost their home state, but still won more vote than Cruz. In 1980 in Texas, for example, resident George H.W. Bush won 46 percent of the vote to Ronald Reagan’s 53 percent.
The highlights from Ostermeier’s latest Smart Politics report:
A Smart Politics analysis finds that Ted Cruz’s 43.8 percent showing in Texas marks the lowest support ever recorded by a Republican presidential candidate in a home state victory out of more than five-dozen campaigns to win their home state since 1912.
The previous low water mark was set 64 years ago by former Minnesota Governor Harold Stassen when he won just 44.4 percent of the vote in 1952 ahead of a write-in campaign for Dwight Eisenhower that netted 37.2 percent.
Cruz became just the sixth GOP presidential candidate to carry their home state with a plurality of the vote joining Henry Ford of Michigan in 1916 (47.4 percent), Warren Harding of Ohio in 1920 (47.6 percent), Harold Stassen of Minnesota in 1952 (44.4 percent), John McCain of Arizona in 2008 (47.2 percent), and Newt Gingrich of Georgia in 2012 (47.2 percent).
The average primary showing by Republican candidates who won their home state over the last 100+ years has been 78.5 percent, with 46 of these 61 GOPers winning at least 60 percent of the vote.
One record Cruz did not set on Tuesday is the narrowest home state victory margin in Republican Party history. That mark still belongs to Michigan’s Henry Ford with his 3.0-point victory over U.S. Senator William Alden Smith in 1916.
I’m voting for Trump tomorrow.
I’m sure they victory speech is loaded into the teleprompter.
That's funny right there...
teddy is such a popular guy.
>teddy is such a popular guy.
It’s almost like he insulted the entire state for some sort term political gain and then failed to apologize for his mistake.
Well at least in this situation, teddy is as principled as all his breathless worshippers claim him to be, or he is just stupidly, self-destructively stubborn.
Attacking an entire state is something you can't do if you want to be president because even if they didn't vote for you, you have to represent them in a fair manner. Doubling down on it when it's only going to hurt you is just self destructive pride.
My Prediction:
POPULAR VOTE:
TRUMP: 43%
KASICH: 30%
CRUZ: 25%
MISC: 2%
DELEGATES:
TRUMP: 56
CRUZ: 36
KASICH: 3
Go Trump!
I’ve said the same thing, though I’ve only been able to vote since Bush/Clinton. I’m tanned, rested, and ready to vote Trump in the fall! Already did so in the Texas primary.
LOL! This from someone who signed up a few weeks before the 2012 election. Or are you the only FReeper who was never a newbie?
Thanks PA. :)
Braved listening to Fox for about 10 minutes this morning. Heard them say it looked like Trump had NY. The guy on the screen said 14 out of the last 15 polls had him in the lead. Nice way to start the day!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.