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NYT/CBS Poll: Carson, Trump in Statistical Dead Heat
Newsmax ^ | september 15, 2015 | Cathy Burke

Posted on 09/15/2015 6:54:50 AM PDT by Hojczyk

Retired pediatric neurosurgeon Ben Carson has pulled to within 4 points of GOP presidential front-runner Donald Trump, a new poll shows.

In the New York Times/CBS News survey released Tuesday, Trump maintains the lead of the presidential pack, with 27 percent support. But Carson is within striking distance, at 23 percent, which is within the margin of error, making it a statistical dead heat.Carson's rise compared with his polling at 6 percent support in the pre-Aug. 6 debate Times/CBS News survey; Trump was at 24 percent in that earlier poll, showing Carson's gains the most significant in that time frame, the poll shows.

Far behind the leaders were former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, all tied for third place with 6 percent.

Bush's support, however, has plummeted from the 13 percent he got in the August Times/CBS News survey – while Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker finished with just 2 percent, down from his previous 10 percent support.

The declines in support for Bush and Walker were the largest in the survey, the poll shows.

In other findings: Carson drew more support from college graduates than Trump, while men, evangelical voters and those without a college education were more likely to favor Trump. Carson is the only candidate to whom Trump would lose a theoretical head-to-head matchup.

The poll's release comes a day before the second Republican presidential debate in California, where Trump will retain center-stage, but Carson will be afforded a bigger spotlight.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Government; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bencarson; carson; carson4amnesty; carson4illegals; demagogicparty; election2016; lies; mediamanipulation; memebuilding; newyork; newyorkcity; newyorkslimes; newyorktimes; oversample; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; paultardation; paultardnoisemachine; polls; randpaulnoisemachine; randsconcerntrolls; stoptrump; trump
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To: Don Corleone
With a 6 percent error range how many people did they ask, 10?

***************


            Unweighted  Weighted  Margin of error 

Republican    376         331         6% 

Source

81 posted on 09/15/2015 7:35:49 AM PDT by deport
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To: mkjessup

Agreed! In Trumps!


82 posted on 09/15/2015 7:36:43 AM PDT by Mollypitcher1 (I have not yet begun to fight....John Paul Jones)
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To: Mr Rogers
Carson is starting to draw support as the “Anti-Trump”.

I agree. What bothers me is that the alleged "GOPe Post-Labor Day Strategy to Take Out Trump" was posted here many times several weeks ago. It predicted that Carson would be puffed up as the "Trump alternative". That this would collapse Trump, and then the GOPe could focus in on taking out Carson.
83 posted on 09/15/2015 7:36:48 AM PDT by mmichaels1970
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To: Mr Rogers

Carly will have her moment following the debate.


84 posted on 09/15/2015 7:37:49 AM PDT by Lisbon1940 (No full-term governors)
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To: sitetest

That’s a lie.

Carson advocates all illegals staying here. They register. They become citizens later.

Trump advocates ALL illegals return to their home nations. They then go through the immigration process and are vetted. Then when they are processed, only the non criminal element can come back in. They are then given legal status. Later they become citizens.

There is a big difference.


85 posted on 09/15/2015 7:38:24 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.)
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To: Hojczyk

The ONLY one out of all the candidates that will proudly build a wall is Trump. None of the others, especially Carson, has the stomach for it. We need a general to make bold decisions, and then DO them. Trump WILL DO, the others just WANT TO DO sometime soon, blah blah.


86 posted on 09/15/2015 7:39:00 AM PDT by georgiegirl
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To: timestax
 photo 6515969c-951a-4955-a34b-c2dc9a6a1df5_zpstzh4njbu.jpg
87 posted on 09/15/2015 7:40:03 AM PDT by timestax (American Media = Domestic Enemy)
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To: sitetest

‘Shame on YOU for not recognizing that trump’s position is not much different than Dr. Carson’s.’

Please detail Carson’s plan for ‘securing the border.’ (Btw, Jeb wants to ‘secure the border,’ too.)


88 posted on 09/15/2015 7:40:29 AM PDT by Fantasywriter (Any attempt to do forensic work using Internet artifacts is fraught with pitfalls. JoeProbono)
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To: Norm Lenhart

Yeah, these Freepers trolls just pop out of the woodwork. the people you think are conservatives are actually moderates. Heck, i could name 2 regular posters who are into faggot marriage.


89 posted on 09/15/2015 7:41:01 AM PDT by max americana (fired liberals in our company last election, and I laughed while they cried (true story))
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To: NKP_Vet

If I were you...I would not get too worked up over this poll!!! No one with half a brain listens to any poll or any mainstream media outlet...after they have lied to all us for many, many years!!! If you are a street, military, or just a common, Joe or Jane, you get to feel the real vibes of the American people...and...you saw and heard those last evening in the Dallas American Airlines Center. That’s the real world!!!

I listen to the fools that babble on CNN, MSNBC, Fox News Channel (Especially Hate Filled, Megyn Kelly)...and I shut it all out!!! Not one of them is telling like it is!!! Here is a bit of real news for you!!! Trumps political power and support far exceeds his GOP base. Trump is getting support, across the board, from folks of all political stripes...and for good reason!!! Hispanics & African-Americans have been locked into permanent economic slavery by Obama and his Democrat Party vermin....and these minority folks and others know it. Women are just political chatter for Obama & Democrats that still underpay them across the board. Obama and his “hate America” ilk take us all for idiots!!!

But, trust me the revolution is afoot...and it grows stronger with each passing day. Do not be fooled friend...for Ben Carson is naught but an agent for the “Washington Cabal” of Democrats & Republican Establishment RINOs!!! A plant (Carson) of the enemy walks and talks like a lamb among us. Folks...be wary of a sheep in lambs clothing!!! Go Donald Trump!!!


90 posted on 09/15/2015 7:42:42 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is to defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party!!!)
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To: boycott
These pollsters are trying to create a candidate.

Maybe now, but he got here pretty much on his own. He doesn't have Bush bucks, Trump celebrity, or anything resembling a government record.

He was all but ignored in the last candidates' forum. He's got some real campaiogn organization, as his people were visible and professional at the GA State GOP convention.

Frankly, I don't know why he has caught on more than Cruz, Walker or Rubio. If he wins Iowa big, and Trump wins NH big, he may well wind up being anointed anti-Trump. I am doubtful that he is anything near the GOPe's top choice.
91 posted on 09/15/2015 7:42:47 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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To: grania
Have you seen some of Dr. Carson’s views? Scratch the surface of this one-issue candidate and he’s against everything we believe in.

At the risk of stating the obvious, have you seen some of Mr. Trump's views? Scratch the surface beyond his one issue (immigration)*, and he's against most everything we believe in.

* Of course, even on that one issue, he has not exactly been consistent. See his comments a couple of years ago, when he called Romney's immigration plan "crazy" and "maniacal" and "mean spirited." Yes, he thought that Romney, of all people, was too harsh on immigration.

92 posted on 09/15/2015 7:43:04 AM PDT by Conscience of a Conservative
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To: All

I’m calling bull stuff on the poll showing Carson anywhere near Trump.

What press is he getting?

What big interviews has he done?

What big crowds is he drawing?

What break through policies has he advanced?

It would be virtually impossible for him to have this much following, and yet it not show up in some way. It hasn’t.


93 posted on 09/15/2015 7:43:30 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.)
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To: Hojczyk

The Ruling Elites of the Press, working with the Republican RNC, Chamber of Commerce, Club for Growth, are working to inflate Carson.


94 posted on 09/15/2015 7:43:34 AM PDT by heights
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To: mmichaels1970
depending on how we want to breathlessly spin it

Exactly! The margin of error can cut either way. It doesn't have to favor the runner-up. Unless you want it to.

95 posted on 09/15/2015 7:43:49 AM PDT by Genoa (Starve the beast.)
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To: Conscience of a Conservative

It would be impossible for you to say that if you had been listening to him.

This comment of yours destroys your credibility out of the gate.


96 posted on 09/15/2015 7:45:05 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.)
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To: Hojczyk

Carson is a liberal. Why bother to vote if he’s the candidate?


97 posted on 09/15/2015 7:45:41 AM PDT by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: Conscience of a Conservative

What is the most liberal position Trump staked out in his book, Time to get Tough, published in ‘11?


98 posted on 09/15/2015 7:45:42 AM PDT by Fantasywriter (Any attempt to do forensic work using Internet artifacts is fraught with pitfalls. JoeProbono)
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To: boycott

CBS is the worst my God everything from them is the worst propaganda.


99 posted on 09/15/2015 7:47:30 AM PDT by Williams
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To: Raycpa

I totally agree with you. But I think a lot of the support he does have is the Establishment GOP vote that will eventually go to someone like Kasich instead.

Small sample based on whoever answers the phone, interviews conducted in English and Spanish, and just two questions plucked out of the survey with no idea given what was asked before.

And, of course, they well know how to steer to different phone exchange areas to get different “scientific” results.


100 posted on 09/15/2015 7:48:10 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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