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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: mewzilla

I have not got a clue what you are talking about.


341 posted on 09/12/2008 8:32:42 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: texasredtop
I have not got a clue what you are talking about.

Sigh. I know.

342 posted on 09/12/2008 8:34:26 AM PDT by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: penelopesire

I just read those comments! YIKES!


343 posted on 09/12/2008 8:34:32 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (IKE- DON'T MESS WITH TEXAS!!!)
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To: spectre

:)..funny..I was thinking of that same joke not ten minutes ago...LOL


344 posted on 09/12/2008 8:35:46 AM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: lonestar; AFPhys; NautiNurse; STARWISE

Houston Demographics


345 posted on 09/12/2008 8:35:55 AM PDT by DollyCali (Don't tell GOD how big your storm is -- Tell the storm how B-I-G your God is!)
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To: mewzilla

If the Flagship Hotel (that dump on the pier) got washed away it’d be a good bit of urban renewal.


346 posted on 09/12/2008 8:36:29 AM PDT by 1066AD
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To: y'all

Water and sewage service cut to Galveston West End.


347 posted on 09/12/2008 8:36:55 AM PDT by Enosh (†)
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To: Red_Devil 232

Pretty rich of Geraldo calling people walking on Galveston beach “nut jobs”. Maybe he was looking in the mirror???


348 posted on 09/12/2008 8:37:10 AM PDT by comps4spice
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To: AFPhys

With the wave action added to that, it doesn’t look like that map is going to be valid in another 24 hours.....


349 posted on 09/12/2008 8:37:35 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: kinghorse

Is there much population on the coast to the east of Galveston Island up to the LA/TX line?


350 posted on 09/12/2008 8:38:26 AM PDT by Sunnyflorida (Unless you are nice and thoughtful you will be ignored. Write in Thomas Sowell.)
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To: Eaker
The sky ain't falling.

No.. but the water sure as hell is rising!

If there is major loss of life in this storm, who do you think the MSM will blame? The stupid people who were ordered to leave, and provided transportation?? Or, "Evil Incarnate"... W??

351 posted on 09/12/2008 8:38:29 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: Centurion2000

However, here in Houston, gas is still hovering right around $3.50, where it’s been for a couple weeks.


352 posted on 09/12/2008 8:39:06 AM PDT by Xenalyte (West Houston . . . Beltway and I-10, more or less)
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To: comps4spice

I was thinking the same thing as he had his camera man pan over to the “nut jobs” picking up a bottle in the surf! He is just as bad a “nut job”!


353 posted on 09/12/2008 8:39:44 AM PDT by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
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To: Moose4
...The graphic’s too big to post here, but I saw one over on easternuswx.com that was modeling of potential wave/surge heights based on the current track estimate...

Could you post a link to that? I went over there but can't find it. Thanks.

354 posted on 09/12/2008 8:39:48 AM PDT by FReepaholic (Palin's hot and she has a birth certificate.)
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To: DollyCali

The City of Houston lies in three counties: Harris (583.450 sq.mi.), Fort Bend (8.080 sq.mi.), and Montgomery (2.598 sq.mi.). Harris County contains part or all of 35 incorporated areas.

Under Texas’ Municipal Annexation Act of 1963, cities have certain powers over surrounding unincorporated areas, termed the Extraterritorial Jurisdiction. ETJ is a function of population; for cities over 100,000, it can cover all unincorporated area within five miles of any point on the city limits. Houston’s ETJ encompasses 1,311.950 sq.mi., excluding the area of cities that lie within it.

TOPOGRAPHY: Houston lies largely in the northern portion of the Gulf coastal plain, a 40- to 50-mile-wide swath along the Texas Gulf Coast. Typically, elevation rises approximately one foot per mile inland.


355 posted on 09/12/2008 8:40:09 AM PDT by DollyCali (Don't tell GOD how big your storm is -- Tell the storm how B-I-G your God is!)
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To: NautiNurse
Here in College Station, we've got a light breeze, and hazy sunshine filtered by the high clouds in the outer reaches of Ike's circulation.

Last night I saw the C-130 flying in with the special-needs patients from the coast.

Jim Cantore on Wx Channel is at the Holiday Inn in Galveston. He keeps focusing on a tall wooden pier (currently getting slammed by waves) and declaring that he'll be shocked if that pier is still there this time tomorrow. Those things are pretty sturdy, but he may be right.

356 posted on 09/12/2008 8:40:27 AM PDT by Constitutionalist Conservative (College Station)
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To: lainie

And like I said, my husband can take care of anything that they can so it’s not likely I would ever need to call for help. Rescue workers are paid with my tax dollars and they are trained for these situations. That is what they do and I have NEVER in my 55 years used their services. I don’t plan on it now. I’ve ridden out much worse hurricanes than this one and never seen one injury or had one family member call for rescue.

But if I’ve learned anything in my life, it’s never say never.


357 posted on 09/12/2008 8:40:30 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: TornadoAlley3

Thanks for the link. I was looking for some.

Staying in that hotel might work if the storm surge isn’t too bad, but could it hold up to being battered by those waves?

Having the locals evacuate and leave them the keys should tell them something. Too bad they’re too stupid to get the message.


358 posted on 09/12/2008 8:41:21 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: texasredtop

Perhaps a few of us misunderstood your post. It seemed to imply that because you pay a lot of taxes, that public servants should risk their own lives because you choose to ignore the threat of imminent danger.


359 posted on 09/12/2008 8:41:31 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: metmom

360 posted on 09/12/2008 8:41:52 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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