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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: SomeCallMeTim

I’m not in Orange, I’m in the orange color for the storm surge. I’m in Deer Park.


141 posted on 09/12/2008 6:50:11 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: CarolAnn
"Any one watching FoxNews? They have Heraldo on a beach in Galveston! Didn’t they say something about “certain death” for people who stayed in Galveston. Do they really want to get rid of him that badly? "

I don't know about Fox.....but if Ike can rid us of Whoraldo, I say "Go Ike....and take Whoraldo with you!"

142 posted on 09/12/2008 6:50:45 AM PDT by nevergore ("It could be that the purpose of my life is simply to serve as a warning to others.")
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To: TornadoAlley3

Got a very bad feeling about this one. That is a great link btw.


143 posted on 09/12/2008 6:51:37 AM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: luckystarmom

Ike is going to wash all sorts of snakes and critters up.


144 posted on 09/12/2008 6:51:46 AM PDT by txhurl (Denali/Bolton)
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To: AFPhys

He said he was making a decision at 8AM.Check at the end of thread 2.I hope he left.BBL


145 posted on 09/12/2008 6:51:58 AM PDT by fatima (Put your lipstick on girls and go vote.)
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To: Sig Sauer P220

“Unfortunately, he drags cameramen along, and they don’t need that.”

During Gustav, did you hear him tell the cameraman, repeatedly, to climb onto a wall over which the water was crashing?

The cameraman was smarter than Geraldo and never did it.

Hee-hee.


146 posted on 09/12/2008 6:52:57 AM PDT by toldyou (Even if the voices aren't real they have some pretty good ideas.)
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To: All

My son goes to school in Lake Charles and he has gone to Lafayette to get away from the storm. Can anyone tell me if that is far enough away to be safe? From the information I see so far I cannot tell since I do not live anywhere near this area. TIA


147 posted on 09/12/2008 6:53:24 AM PDT by truthluva ("Character is doing the right thing even when no one is looking" - JC Watts)
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To: NautiNurse

Houston 11 News

22 stranded on freighter south of Houston (abt 90 miles). Coast Guard says they will not attempt rescue, as conditions are too dangerous. Freighter is in probable path of Ike.


148 posted on 09/12/2008 6:53:45 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: fatima

that was his last FR post... I checked ten minutes ago

he’s bugging out, i would bet.


149 posted on 09/12/2008 6:55:38 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: backhoe

She’s the BEST! I’m sure we’ll be fine. I’ve just completed my 4th week of retirement and this is no time to check out :-)

Current conditions - cloudy and a very light breeze. The slightly cooler temps are very nice!!


150 posted on 09/12/2008 6:55:50 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: OC_Steve

Hi neighbor.. We’ve got food/water, propane/charcoal for about 3 days, I’ve got 3 vehicles, all topped up... and I’ve got a ac/dc converter in my truck that can power a small appliance if necessary. However, if we’re not back in business after 3-days, we’re out of here.


151 posted on 09/12/2008 6:57:35 AM PDT by Tim n Texas
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To: TomGuy

I worry about Texas City behind the levees and lose ships in the bay. Nightmare scenario.


152 posted on 09/12/2008 6:57:54 AM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: TomGuy

Dang! That’s not good at all.


153 posted on 09/12/2008 6:57:57 AM PDT by Dysart
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To: texasredtop

29’?? Well.... you’re probably safe then.. but, you may (literally) have refrigerators and sinks washed up near your driveway. :-)

I haven’t stated this on here before.. But, I am actually living in Louisville, Ky now... so, I will only get WET (in a few days).

However, I spent the first 42 years of my life living on the coast... Angleton, Texas is “home”... but, I’ve lived in Friendswood, Texas City, and Sulphur, La. I still have plenty of family and friends down there.. and, I come to the area ~ 2 times a month for business.

My heart has never left Texas.. or Angleton.


154 posted on 09/12/2008 6:58:01 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: texasredtop

we had the mother of all sand storms yesterday here in Phoenix........a wall of dirt 35 miles long and 2500 ft high rolled thru at 30 mph


155 posted on 09/12/2008 6:58:51 AM PDT by advertising guy ( CHARITY BEGINS AT HUT !)
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To: truthluva

yes... Lafayette will be better than Lake Charles... Much higher... and less wind.


156 posted on 09/12/2008 6:59:39 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: Dysart

Water already crashing over the seawall in Galveston. WOW!!


157 posted on 09/12/2008 7:00:12 AM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: txflake

The overall “best model” is reputed to be GFDL - right now, the animation has Ike getting almost up to Cat.2 in the Great Lakes, and Cat.4 now. Fortunately NHC ignores it and has forecasters who can think.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200809_v5d.html?extraprod=v5d#a_topad

I wish I could shove this down the throat of everyone who bases everything about “climate change” “global warming” being “settled science” when that is completely based on computer models.


158 posted on 09/12/2008 7:01:11 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: toldyou

During Gustav, did you hear him tell the cameraman, repeatedly, to climb onto a wall over which the water was crashing?

The cameraman was smarter than Geraldo and never did it.

And his freaking out about the corps of engineer guy swimming, Whorealdo is dangerous, seriously, a Darwin award candidate.


159 posted on 09/12/2008 7:02:04 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ('GOP' : Get Our Petroleum)
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To: truthluva

He should be very safe in Lafayette. If the storm were to go in as far east as Port Arthur/Sabine River, he’d still be fine. Lafayette is about 65-70 miles east of Lake Charles.


160 posted on 09/12/2008 7:03:14 AM PDT by texasredtop
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