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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:


WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: byebyebigeasy; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; miami; tropical; weather
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To: LA Woman3
I can imagine what BlankO is doing behind the cameras:

"Omy! What should I do! What should I do!"...Turning to see what others want her to do. lol

481 posted on 08/27/2005 10:17:20 AM PDT by chemicalman (Finally an answer for the prisoner problem at Abu Ghraib: Don't take any.)
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To: Dog Gone
"Fools. If this storm hits New Orleans as predicted, the death toll will be more than hundreds."

Yup. Could be thousands. This is shaping up to be a major disaster in NO.

482 posted on 08/27/2005 10:17:44 AM PDT by blam
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To: LA Woman3

"I have noticed everyone blaming the NHC for not giving them enough notice."

Of course! I think I'd faint if I heard someone on TV say, "Well, I made a bad decision and..."


483 posted on 08/27/2005 10:18:46 AM PDT by LibSnubber (liberal democrats are domestic terrorists)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
It's a BIG MONEY decision....

Too heck with how many people COULD DIE!!!

484 posted on 08/27/2005 10:19:33 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: NautiNurse
It's a start, but let's say an evacuation is ordered right now. The storm will hit early Monday morning.

Forget the fact that a large percentage won't leave no matter what. Could it be done in time? I don't think so.

No hurricane ever has gotten me this concerned. This one looks like the doomsday scenario I've been reading about for years.

485 posted on 08/27/2005 10:19:48 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Carolinamom

Yes, one would think that! Now you can see why so many are leaving Louisiana permanently!


486 posted on 08/27/2005 10:20:26 AM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: chemicalman

She has always been a puppet...


487 posted on 08/27/2005 10:21:15 AM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: chemicalman; nwctwx

Holy Moly .. the tracks are all aligning to a very focused area and dangerous. These NO folks need to get out NOW. What is it that's the predictive evidence of that turn to the north? When I look at it on radar, it's still going so westerly.


488 posted on 08/27/2005 10:21:16 AM PDT by STARWISE (GITMO IS TOO GOOD FOR THESE TRAITORS -- SEND THEM ALL TO EGYPT FOR QUESTIONING.)
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To: LA Woman3

Do any of you south LA folks remember when the Greyhound bus went off the causeway back in the 60s.

I still have vivid memories of that. I was close by at that time in Covington and old 51 was the only way into NO from western MS.


489 posted on 08/27/2005 10:21:18 AM PDT by wardaddy (thinking.....)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
They haven't even called any kind of evacuation as yet!

Yes they have. Earlier in the thread a link was posted to the LA evacuation plan. It calls for 3 stages of evacuation. New Orleans is in the 2nd stage of evacuation, the first is the lower parishes closes to the coast, which HAVE had evacuation orders given. The reason for the staging, IIRC, is to allow those furthest south the chance to get out before the roads are swamped with N.O. evacuees.

490 posted on 08/27/2005 10:22:14 AM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: Dog Gone
I-10 traffic cams show light traffic still.
491 posted on 08/27/2005 10:22:36 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Dog Gone
This one looks like the doomsday scenario I've been reading about for years.

Just checking in. I'm assuming that the scenario you are talking about is New Orleans? Everyone forgive me as I have not been on top of this thing.

492 posted on 08/27/2005 10:22:49 AM PDT by Types_with_Fist (I'm on FReep so often that when I read an article at another site I scroll down for the comments.)
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To: al_again

the models this year have been almost dead on within 3 days....and an NOAA aircraft has been flying around the gulf providing the models with extra data


493 posted on 08/27/2005 10:22:54 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Yes, that's what is at play here. What if she calls for evacuation and the storm somehow misses New Orleans? Why, her political career could be in jeopardy!


494 posted on 08/27/2005 10:23:30 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: wardaddy

No, I have only been here for 4 years. That bridge scares me to death! Not a safe feeling when you can't see any land!


495 posted on 08/27/2005 10:23:34 AM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: janetjanet998
camille bombed at when it hit the coast

And she was smokin' at about 20kt when she came in too.

496 posted on 08/27/2005 10:24:47 AM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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To: LA Woman3

She knows the looting that will occur if she evacs.


497 posted on 08/27/2005 10:24:56 AM PDT by Crawdad (I know we've only known each other 4 weeks and 3 days, but to me it seems like 9 weeks and 5 days)
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Comment #498 Removed by Moderator

To: NautiNurse

They mentioned on the radio that the traffic was more like 5 o'clock traffic as opposed to the bumper to bumper traffic they had during Ivan.


499 posted on 08/27/2005 10:25:14 AM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: shield
Wonder if we'd ever really know the numbers...as in Andrew?

The foil hat conspiracy theories about an Andrew death toll coverup are an abject crock.

Humans have a surprising ability to survive in house that suffer catastrophic wind damage; the only way to kill truly huge numbers of people with a tropical system is flooding, either surge or rain.

500 posted on 08/27/2005 10:26:36 AM PDT by Strategerist
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