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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:


WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: byebyebigeasy; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; miami; tropical; weather
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To: Dog Gone

They haven't even called any kind of evacuation as yet!


461 posted on 08/27/2005 10:00:14 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (History is soon Forgotten,)
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To: Carolinamom

thanks


462 posted on 08/27/2005 10:00:39 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: FlJoePa

WFTL radio (850 kHz AM) is announcing the sites.


463 posted on 08/27/2005 10:01:39 AM PDT by debg (Live from Miami)
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To: chemicalman

Looks like the UKMET takes Katrina over the Causeway!


464 posted on 08/27/2005 10:03:04 AM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Presser coming up any minute now


465 posted on 08/27/2005 10:03:10 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: knak

Orlando is HOT, sunny, with a mild breeze. Great beach weather.


466 posted on 08/27/2005 10:04:22 AM PDT by al_again
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To: conservativeinferno

"Looks like God will be punishing Sodom and Gomorrah"

Maybe if the hurricane doesn't get em we should shoot the rest?
Bin Laden says similar things.

Nothing like giving a bad name to conservatives......


467 posted on 08/27/2005 10:04:55 AM PDT by HereInTheHeartland (The Democrat party is the official party of the Morlocks.)
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To: janetjanet998

Meteorologist on easternuswx.com:

"The visible imagery and recon data show a classic thermodynamic replacement cycle. The inner-eye was becoming too unstable as noted in recon and sat data. Expect a period of marked strengthening to begin in the next 12 hours as the outer convective ring begins to contract. Some of the experimental mesoscale models that I am working on are showing explosive deepening later this evening...in fact...some them are deepening the vortex to the higher end of theoretical limits based on SST and upper-tropospheric temps. This is likely a result of model oversensitivity to physics paramertizations. Regardless...this is a beautiful thing to watch."

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=47354&view=findpost&p=557005


468 posted on 08/27/2005 10:05:24 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: LA Woman3

"Looks like the UKMET takes Katrina over the Causeway!"

If that is the case, then Metairie & Mandeville should start to look like ghost towns. According to TWC, St. Tammany and Jefferson Parishes aren't even under mandatory evacuations yet? It's beginning to look like Blanco's blowing this one big time.


469 posted on 08/27/2005 10:07:04 AM PDT by LibSnubber (liberal democrats are domestic terrorists)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

There is a trough coming into the west coast, which will build the ridge over the rockies/western plains. Just downstream from that (N GOM) the weakness between the rockies ridge and Atlantic ridge will allow the storm to slip north. It's not theoretically impossible for it to go more west, but it's highly unlikely.


470 posted on 08/27/2005 10:08:27 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
They haven't even called any kind of evacuation as yet!

Fools. If this storm hits New Orleans as predicted, the death toll will be more than hundreds.

471 posted on 08/27/2005 10:08:31 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: LibSnubber

Just said that some Northshore gas stations sold out.

Tolls are lifted on the Causeway and Crescent City Connection.


472 posted on 08/27/2005 10:10:41 AM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: janetjanet998

The models are very good at predicting the path - they are pathetic for predicting the strength. They were way off for: Charlie, Francis, Ivan, and Dennis. It could be cat I or cat IV - nobody knows. The only thing to do is get the hell out of the way if you are anywhere near the predicted strike zone.


473 posted on 08/27/2005 10:11:06 AM PDT by al_again
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To: Dog Gone
If this storm hits New Orleans as predicted, the death toll will be more than hundreds.

Wonder if we'd ever really know the numbers...as in Andrew?

474 posted on 08/27/2005 10:12:00 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: LA Woman3
Tolls are lifted on the Causeway and Crescent City Connection.

Well..that's a start...

475 posted on 08/27/2005 10:12:00 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Dog Gone

TWC is saying three parishes and Grand Isle are under evacuation orders...is that right? The city must be dragging its heels again.

I'm going to be traveling Monday so I'll have to search for news radio. Doesn't look good when a CNN graphic (saw 3 hours ago) has an expected cat-4 hurricane headed directly for the city of New Orleans.


476 posted on 08/27/2005 10:12:58 AM PDT by lainie
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To: LibSnubber
No mandatory evacuations for St. Tammany.....
Blanco is not handling this well at all. Surprise!
I have noticed everyone blaming the NHC for not giving them enough notice.
477 posted on 08/27/2005 10:13:01 AM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: NautiNurse
Still waiting for Blanco to arrive for the regional press conference....
478 posted on 08/27/2005 10:15:35 AM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: Dog Gone

FoxNews is standing bye for the Governors News Conference which is many minutes past the scheduled time.

It's a BIG MONEY decision....


479 posted on 08/27/2005 10:16:14 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (History is soon Forgotten,)
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To: LA Woman3

You would think, wounldn't you, that the very real possibility of Katrina hitting NO that the people there would be getting OUT now.


480 posted on 08/27/2005 10:16:46 AM PDT by Carolinamom (Life is a journey, not a destination.)
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