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Russia to mobilize up to 500,000 for major spring offensive -Ukraine
https://www.jpost.com ^ | Jan 8, 2023

Posted on 01/09/2023 9:00:10 PM PST by 11th_VA

Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Vadym Skibitskyi said that around January 15 conscription would begin and that it would take Russian forces around two months to organize its formations.

The Kremlin will mobilize up to 500,000 Russians for a spring offensive, Ukrainian Defense Ministry representatives predicted on Friday.

Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Vadym Skibitskyi told The Guardian that it was expected that around January 15 conscription would begin and that it would take Russian forces around two months to organize its formations.

While Skibitskyi said the mobilization could include 300,000 on the lower end, both he and Ukrainian intelligence representative Andriy Chernyak said that up to 500,000 people could be mobilized.

Chernyak told T-online that such a large mobilization would mean that this round of conscription would impact large Russian cities such as Moscow and St. Petersburg.

The Ukrainian National Resistance Center said on Friday that people in the disputed Donetsk region would also be mobilized and that the restrictions on conscripting civil servants would be removed.

According to the Russian Defense Ministry, around 300,000 people were mobilized following Russian President Vladimir Putin's announcement "partial mobilization" in late September.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Wednesday that a major "aggression" was planned for the coming months, and his office head Andriy Yermak met with US representatives on Friday that emphasized Russia's "concentrating groups for offensive actions."...

(Excerpt) Read more at jpost.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: stillnotourwar
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To: 11th_VA

This won’t cut it.

Pooty needs at least a million more GOOD troops to achieve his objectives. Maybe more.


21 posted on 01/10/2023 1:51:24 AM PST by Paul R. (You know your pullets are dumb if they don't recognize a half Whopper as food!)
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To: ganeemead

ganeemead in the months before February 24, 2022 “Russia is not going to invade Ukraine, that is a hoax spread by the evil west”

ganeemead in the months from March to September “Ukraine is going to surrender in the next 2 weeks”

ganeemead now “Ukraine is a dead state”

Meanwhile Ukraine has pushed Putin’s army out of more than half of Russia’s gains in Feb/March. Russia in March 10th controlled 27% of Ukraine. Today it controls 14% (and that includes Crimea and the Donbas districts it took in 2014)


22 posted on 01/10/2023 3:30:22 AM PST by Cronos (.)
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To: 11th_VA

“Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Vadym Skibitskyi said...”

Didn’t realize that Russia now uses Ukrainian officials to make major announcements.


23 posted on 01/10/2023 4:41:54 AM PST by BobL
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To: roving
Do they even have that many weapons?

One to carry the rifle, three to carry the ammo.

24 posted on 01/10/2023 5:12:34 AM PST by 11th_VA (XX < > XY)
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To: 17th Miss Regt

Russia has innovated and sped up training so that all of those courses are immediately theirs when they get on the train to the front.

When they get there, they are issued a rusty rifle which is totally different from the brand new one they held during their swearing in ceremony.

Next, they are ordered to attack and continue attacking through direct Russian artillery fire - there is no time to retrieve the dead and the too badly wounded are shot on the spot or left to bleed out. The 15-20% that survive and are not badly wounded are then recycled into the next attack, and so on.

Eventually Russian conscripts are fully trained through this innovative method.


25 posted on 01/10/2023 5:14:49 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: Pilsner

that’s why they make cluster munitions and artillery shells with ball bearings.


26 posted on 01/10/2023 5:16:17 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: PIF
There will only be one exemption from being mobilized (drafted).

Anyone who works in a bakery will not be mobilized as they will have to work 24/7 to meet cake demands.

27 posted on 01/10/2023 5:22:38 AM PST by FtrPilot
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To: Rockingham

How will such a mass of conscripts be trained, equipped, deployed, and then supported in the field


Same as the last batch - sworn in and shipped to the front for OJT training.


Where are the weapons and materiel? Where are the trainers?

Material supplied by previous soldier, retrieved on the battlefield. The trainers were used up by last June and returned home as 200s.

Where will the officers to lead the conscripts come from?


From their distant command centers through radio commands. Its pretty easy as the standing order is ‘attack, attack and attack’.


a recipe for massive casualties.

Mass casualties are expected and discounted. Considered a trading of low value human material (Russian conscripts) in exchange tor high value human material (Ukraine troops).


28 posted on 01/10/2023 5:24:26 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: PIF

Further, by spring, there will likely be no Russian army in the field left to absorb the new drone fodder :

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m85T0UzANjw&ab_channel=TheSun

Russian troops killed in their trenches have never seen a Ukrainian soldier but the drones see and then kill them where they live


29 posted on 01/10/2023 5:37:57 AM PST by bert ( (KWE. NP. N.C. +12) Juneteenth is inequality daythis piece is )
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To: FtrPilot

Anyone who works in a bakery will not be mobilized as they will have to work 24/7 to meet cake demands.


Same goes for Lada factory workers.


30 posted on 01/10/2023 5:43:21 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: Cronos
"ganeemead in the months before February 24, 2022 “Russia is not going to invade Ukraine, that is a hoax spread by the evil west”"

You are a lying sack of excrement. I never said that nor would I have ever said that after summer 2021 when it became obvious that Russian buildups were consistent with an intention to invade and not consistent with any kind of gamesmanship.

31 posted on 01/10/2023 7:31:36 AM PST by ganeemead (Ukraine/Zelensky: Adding an element of chutzpah to ordinary Nazism...)
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To: Rockingham
Simply put, the putative Russian plans are delusional and a recipe for massive casualties.

They are indeed. To build an army from scratch (mostly), like the Soviets did after the disastrous losses of 1941, takes about 18 months to do it right. The new armies showed up in late 1942 as the armies which took the offensive in the Stalingrad area. It takes a good while to train units for gunnery, tactical training and staff and logistical support. Stint of the training and you get a lot of casualties from simply not knowing what to do in a situation.

32 posted on 01/10/2023 8:12:54 AM PST by 17th Miss Regt
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To: 11th_VA

The spring?! But everyone knows Russians can only fight effectively when led by General Winter!


33 posted on 01/10/2023 8:20:52 AM PST by Flag_This
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To: roving

Everyone gets a magazine. You pick up the closest rifle. That’s the Russian way.


34 posted on 01/10/2023 8:26:43 AM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: pepsionice

They won’t be measuring armor in “inches of armor”, but in the number of bodies a projectile has to go through. As in, “This truck has four Orcs of protection from the front.”


35 posted on 01/10/2023 8:29:16 AM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: Cronos

“ganeemead in the months before February 24, 2022 “Russia is not going to invade Ukraine, that is a hoax spread by the evil west”’

You might rethink that one.


36 posted on 01/10/2023 8:56:47 AM PST by ansel12 (NATO warrior under Reagan, and RA under Nixon, bemoaning the pro-Russians from Vietnam to Ukraine.)
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To: ganeemead; SeekAndFind; Renfrew; SpeedyInTexas; DannyTN; Salohcin; Widget Jr; ...

Ganeemead — you have been consistently wrong throughout this Russian invasion of Ukraine. Here is proof:

3rd Feb 2017 https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/3520807/posts?page=3#3

“A real Russian invasion of Ukraine would last 24 hours...”

8th April 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4053272/posts?page=37#37
“And those claims of 30+ US-funded biowar labs in Ukraine are real. One of them was working on aerosolized rabies (what could go wrong...) and another was working on a DNA-based weapon specifically designed to kill people of Russian ancestry.”

10th April 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4053770/posts?page=69#69

“Whatcha gonna do two weeks from now when Ukraine surrenders”

11th April 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4054049/posts?page=35#35

“What are all you nato shills gonna do two weeks from non when ukraine surrenders a”

15th April 2022 - in response to article about the sinking of the Moskva
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4055196/posts?page=21#21

“This is fake news.”

12th May 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4062513/posts?page=11#11

“What are you clowns gonna say three weeks from now when Ukraine surrenders?”

15th May 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4063358/posts?page=9#9

“Russia has total control of the air over Ukraine.”

17th May 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4063897/posts?page=5#5

” Look for mass surrender of the entire Ukie military within a couple of weeks”

28th May 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4066863/posts?page=187#187
“There is one nation on Earth which above all others offers a possibility of white people thriving and making things of themselves and that nation is Russia,”

10th June 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4070021/posts?page=71#71

“Today’s news says that ukies are totally out of artillery ammo.”

26th June in response to an article about Ukraine winning back Kharkiv
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4073984/posts?page=48#48
“The population DOES support Russia. Bigly... Zelensky is wrong and he isn’t getting a square inch of that territory back.”

11th July 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4077483/posts?page=35#35
“Russia is not even mobilized or at war in this thing. They view it as a police action... You haven’t even started to see what Russia is capable of.”

11th July 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4077533/posts?page=1#1
“The war in the Ukraine will be short, not long. Contrary to what today´s Western casino politicians and MSM talking heads tell us to expect, come 2023 — or even before “

12th July 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4077841/posts?page=7#7
“Whatcha gonna do three weeks from now when kraine surrenders “

31st July 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4077109/posts?page=42#42

“Look for Ukraine to surrender in about a month and a half and nato to be forced to disband a week or two after that.”

31st July 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4082240/posts?page=33#33
“In two months Ukrfaine will have surrendered unconditonally and NATO will have disbanded”

15th August 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4085817/posts?page=23#23

” Putin’s ideal win would be to have Ukraine surrender and the last ukronazi be killed on the same day.

I just hope that happens a week or so prior to the November elections and I believe there is a good chance of that.”

29th August 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4089097/posts?page=66#66
“Putin will shortly be in a position to simply order nato and the EU to disband.”

30th September
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4097177/posts?page=127#127
“Ukraine likely a footnote in history books by December or January”

3rd October 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/4097942/posts?page=20#20
“Total outcome is that Ukraine has lost the war and will cease to exist in two or three months...”

8th October 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4099231/posts?page=24#24
“Nothing about “ukraine” is legal. The place is about three months away from disappearing from maps.”

18th October 2022
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4101512/posts?page=52#52
““Ukraine” may not make it another 18 days....”

ganeemead on 23rd October
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4100910/posts?page=129#129
“HOHOs and nato don’t have any coming months; Hohostan enters the stone again about five days.
Isn’t it grand? The gallant nazi hohos and the mighty nato war machine humbled by toy airplanes..”

ganee on 4th November in answer to a post about “Ukraine retaking Kherson from Russia”
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4105943/posts?page=22#22

“Russia is not withdrawing.”

=================GAnee on 14th November
https://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/4108728/posts?page=19#19
“The war between Russia and Ukraine WAS quick, basically over around June.”
—> wait, on
11th July 2022 you wrote that
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4077483/posts?page=35#35
“Russia is not even mobilized or at war in this thing.”

so if in July it wasn’t a war, then how could “the war be over around June”????


21st November
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4110854/posts?page=44#44
“war is...No need, over in a month or two...”

30th December
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4119698/posts?page=51#51
“It isn’t like hohos don’t know how to fight. Put them up against Somalia, Sierra Leone, or MdongoMlulu i.e. make a fair fight out of it and they would likely give a reasonable account of themselves. But Ukraine vs Russia is ridiculous.”


Man, you are consistently wrong about Ukraine.

Consistently.


37 posted on 01/10/2023 9:48:47 AM PST by Cronos (.)
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To: Cronos; ganeemead

I’m surprised Putin hasn’t already mobilized any propagandist that makes him look this bad.


38 posted on 01/10/2023 9:54:19 AM PST by DannyTN
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To: DannyTN; ganeemead

Ganee - you got your mobilization papers to Putin’s army yet?

btw, if this wasn’t a war, then a war, then Ukraine kept surrendering “in the next 2 weeks” for months

how come Russia needed a partial mobilization in the first place if it wasn’t losing and bleeding badly?


39 posted on 01/10/2023 10:02:58 AM PST by Cronos (.)
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To: Cronos; ganeemead
Uh oh, Cronos brought the receipts... My favorite is this one:

28th May 2022 “There is one nation on Earth which above all others offers a possibility of white people thriving and making things of themselves and that nation is Russia,”

Yeah, white mobiks can make themselves into a white Lada, for the greater glory of tsarputin...
40 posted on 01/10/2023 10:15:01 AM PST by lump in the melting pot (Believe nothing until it is denied by the Kremlin)
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