Posted on 10/25/2020 5:21:13 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
Three post-debate polls in swing states that will decide the 2020 election show President Donald Trump with a small lead.
In Michigan, the Trafalgar Group, one of the most accurate swing state pollsters in 2016 and 2018, shows Trump leading former Vice President Joe Biden by two points, 49 to 47 percent, with third party libertarian nominee Jo Jorgensen at two percent. Earlier this month, this same pollster had Trump up by a single point, 47 to 46 percent.
Trump is also up two with Trafalgar in Florida, 49 to 47 percent, over Biden. Jorgensen is again at two percent. Earlier this month, in this same poll, Trump had a similar two point lead, 48 to 46 percent, over Biden.
In Arizona, Trump sits at 50 percent, compared to just 47 percent for Biden. Jorgensen is again at two percent. An earlier Trafalgar poll had Trump up by four, 48 to 44 percent. So Trump’s lead shrank by a point, but he is at the magic 50 percent mark.
NEW @trafalgar_group Post Debate Poll:
Michigan:
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
Jorgensen 2%Florida:
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
Jorgensen 2%Arizona:
Trump 50% (+3)
Biden 47%
Jorgensen 2%— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 25, 2020
Trafalgar’s number are currently something close to outliers compared to other pollsters looking at those same states.
In Florida, the RealClearPolitics poll of polls shows Biden up 1.5 points.
In Michigan, the average shows Biden winning by 7.8 points. A Fox News poll released just five days ago has Biden winning by 12 points, 52 to 40 percent.
In Arizona, Biden is up 2.4 points in the average.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Just take the L, OK?
“do Democrats really answer their phones more frequently than Republicans”
not sure it’s a matter of answering the phone, but a matter of willingness to share information ... there’s no doubt in my mind that trump supporters are WAY, WAY less willing to talk about their support for trump ...
I am saying it again Nolte sowered on Trump AFTER he got elected I’ve read Breibart for years only finally did come around to endorsing Trumps re-election a few months back the guys a male Ann Coulter
“I have been assuming AZ is lost because it’s McCain country.”
that’s a very wrong assumption: all indications are that trump will win AZ ...
“I’ve been assuming his ground machine is going to work to help Sleepy.”
that shows how ignorant you really are: there is NO ground-game for biden ... none, nada, zip ... the biden campaign announced two months ago that there was going to be NO ground-game as they were going exclusively with digital/virtual contacts for GOTV, which is extremely ineffective since almost everyone dodges calls and messages from strangers as much as possible, and mail is just tossed in the recycle bin ...
it was only about two weeks ago that the biden campaign panicked and tried to put together an instant national “ground-game” in a couple of weeks, something that the Trump campaign has been building for four year, and which is currently knocking on three million doors a week ...
He just had some policy or style disagreements with Trump, as almost all Trump supporters do.
Fox uses Quinnipiac for polling . = worthless
Even in past years, the so-called Democrat ground game was in many cases a cover story for vote fraud.
Gas prices have dropped to the lowest they’ve been in years. $1.88 here in CT for regular. Anyone else think that is intentional by the oil companies to help Trump?
The Murdoch News (Fox News died when Roger Ailes was fired) polls are as much propaganda as those of the Marxist Media. The Murdoch's are Leftists, but they still care about ratings; that's why Tucker Carlson and Sean Hannity still work there. Ignore Murdoch News polls like you should those of CNN, MSNBC, CBS, NBC, ABC, and all those of the Leftist newspapers.
Seems like the msm pretty much locked into our national media polls are correct and Biden has it in the bag and if it doesn’t play out, obviously stolen.
in other words, no evidence of a post debate bounce.
Does anyone believe the outlier Fox News polls? Does Paul Ryan have his hands on the scales?
I’m a shy Trump voter. In Florida I’ve hung up on numerous polling outfits.
My phone even outs them as Political Calls now........
If they’re reporting a small lead, it’s likely at least 10 points in reality, possibly higher.
Like that fraud Frank Luntz. He said that if Trump is down six or more going into Election Day his industry is toast. Get it wrong “once” your forgiven, twice your done. This crap has been going on for how many years?
And still "dislike" the rest of them.
“Wtf! How f&^%ing stupid do they think we are?”
They think we are VERY VERY VERY f&^%ing stupid
Luntz just got exposed in the Biden tapes as a friend of the Bidens.
In other words—our enemy.
Good to know who they are. :-)
I saw that.
YUP. WE HAVE TO VOTE FOLKS. ALL OF US. Several times, just like the Marxists. 8- )
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