“I have been assuming AZ is lost because it’s McCain country.”
that’s a very wrong assumption: all indications are that trump will win AZ ...
“I’ve been assuming his ground machine is going to work to help Sleepy.”
that shows how ignorant you really are: there is NO ground-game for biden ... none, nada, zip ... the biden campaign announced two months ago that there was going to be NO ground-game as they were going exclusively with digital/virtual contacts for GOTV, which is extremely ineffective since almost everyone dodges calls and messages from strangers as much as possible, and mail is just tossed in the recycle bin ...
it was only about two weeks ago that the biden campaign panicked and tried to put together an instant national “ground-game” in a couple of weeks, something that the Trump campaign has been building for four year, and which is currently knocking on three million doors a week ...
Even in past years, the so-called Democrat ground game was in many cases a cover story for vote fraud.