Posted on 10/13/2020 12:18:24 PM PDT by nbenyo
Slightly more than half of voters still say they are more likely to vote against President Trump, a finding that hasn’t changed in a year of regular surveying.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters are more likely to vote for Trump in the 2020 presidential election. Fifty-two percent (52%) are more likely not to.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
If this inference you are drawing from this poll is reliable, then why is the presidential preference poll from the same pollster showing Biden up 52-40 not even more reliable?
Believe the polls or don’t, but if you just believe the polls that give you the numbers you want, you’re just deceiving yourself.
Hillary carried California by 4.269M votes. About 129m cast nationwide. So her California margin was about 3% of the total. This of course excludes the other states where she ran up huge margins. So you’re right but I think you understate it. In an honest vote count Biden needs to win by at least 3% to carry the EC. His slow witted supporters are hearing day and night that he has it in the bag= some will conclude it’s not necessary to go vote. I agree with all those saying we have to get out the vote, but if you shave those three points off the lead and take into account the enthusiasm gap, we could be doing a lot worse than we are
that’s good news....just hopin that the internal (real) pollsters have overcome the real challenges that exist in the science of polling at this time....and they are huge
None of those things are reported by the MSM which still has great sway.
And none of those things are ever used by the Republicans.
Where are the commercials of Biden fondling kids or stuttering like a fool? You will never see it, for some reason Republicans never go for the kill shot.
Trump fights well for a Republican, but he is still rather tame and weak when compared to the way your typical Democrat would fight.
SO all & all, Biden’s perversions and gaffes are pretty much only known by people who are already voting for Trump, while the rest of the population remains unaware.
That’s ridiculous to believe.
They just won’t say they are voting for him.
Think about what you typed.
“I want to make more money, want a booming economy, want my FAMILY SAFE, want this virus nonsense to end, want cities to stop being burned and destroyed...but I’m 5 years old and I don’t Like Trump, so I’ll let the whole country go to hell”
Only a severe pessimist could believe that.
“How many people really want to vote for a man who is so afraid of his own shadow that he has to be dragged from his basement? Trump said last night that a president can’t just sit in his basement and refuse to come out, he has to be out and about, and that entails taking risks. Biden doesn’t want to take such risks.”
I think a lot of people just will not vote.
That’s my hope. And you’re generally right about the polls: The RCP average, for what it’s worth, had Clinton +7.1 at this point, and has Biden +10 today. I don’t think the 3-point difference is all that significant when you consider how unscientific the RCP average is to begin with.
But, 2020 is not 2016. We don’t know what that means with regard to polling yet, but we’re about to find out.
When asked a direct question, 98% is an awfully high percentage to answer. Usually, 10-20% will refuse to answer a yes/no question.
What did this poll do/disclose about non answers? No way only 2% refused being pinned down to a yes/no.
Reference....
paper or plastic? Most people, myself included...freeze up.
the 56% was from Gallup, not Rasmussen....i agree with your overall point though...
The real story of those numbers is Dems deliberate brainwashing and misinformation.
“All over the place” to whom? Political junkies like us? That’s it.
The Biden most people see are in the campaign ads - a strong, forceful, man of vision and integrity with a record of accomplishment and a vision for the future of America to clean up the chaos caused by Trump. It’s total nonsense, yes, but that’s the only message many people are seeing and hearing - and that becomes the truth to them. There has been zero response from the Trump campaign to compete with this message on most networks Biden is waging his mass media campaign. Biden is in total control on many platforms and has been for months.
I’m 48 and have never been contacted for a poll until a day ago. They starting asking me about a senate race in another state. I informed the person that I do not vote in that state. He insisted on continuing despite me repeatedly reminding him that I do not vote in that state. I finally gave up and just gave random answers. Enjoy your poll results.
But 56% are better off than four years ago.
This guy is one of the best and totally scientific in his analysis. Large verifiable sample sizes with 3.5% MOE precision. No oversampling of one party over the other. No political BS and stupid questioning. Likely voters only. He is the kind of pro who will tell the unvarnished truth. Too many Freepers are wallowing around in political psyops BS and are agonizing over nothing. They are looking at a well coordinated illusion to discourage them. I have seen enough information from this pollster which is aligning with the others calling for a Trump landslide but his numbers are better.
I generally consider myself an optimist. My money is still in the stock market, and I don’t believe for a second that Trump is going to do as badly as the national polls suggest.
But if you don’t believe there are voters who are exactly as irrational as you described, I just don’t think you’ve been paying attention.
A “national” poll means nothing.
Proof of what I have been saying about the psyops nature of what is going on.
“How is this good news?”
Because there is no such thing as bad news. Therefore all news is good.
if they are california and new york it doesn’t matter
where are their poll samples located?
if they are california and new york it doesn’t matter
where are their poll samples located?
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