Posted on 12/15/2015 9:51:08 AM PST by Red Steel
[Full title] Trump Edges Cruz in Iowa; His Supporters Think Japanese Internment Was Good; Clinton Still Well Ahead of Sanders In State
PPP’s newest Iowa poll finds Donald Trump and Ted Cruz at the top of the heap with 28% and 25% respectively. Marco Rubio at 14% and Ben Carson at 10% are also in double digits with Jeb Bush at 7% the only other candidate who clears even 3%. Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina, and Mike Huckabee all hit that level with John Kasich and Rand Paul each getting 2%, Lindsey Graham and Rick Santorum each getting 1%, and Jim Gilmore and George Pataki both having literally no support.
Trump, Cruz, Rubio, and Bush have all seen varying increases in their support in the six weeks since we last polled Iowa. Cruz obviously has the most momentum, picking up 11 points from his 14% standing in early November. Trump has gained 6 points, Rubio 4 points, and Bush 2 points.
As we’ve been finding across the country for the last month Carson has seen the most serious downward arc in his support, dropping 11 points from his previous 21% standing. Huckabee’s dropped 3 points and Fiorina by 2 points as well.
There are a lot of divisions between where Cruz and Trump’s support is coming from. Among voters whose biggest concern is having a candidate who’s conservative on the issues Cruz leads with 33% to 26% for Trump and 15% for Carson. But with voters whose biggest concern is being able to beat a Democrat in the general election, Trump wins out with 31% to 20% each for Cruz and Rubio. Cruz leads Trump 31/30 with men, but Trump more than makes up for that with a 26/17 lead among women. Cruz has a strong advantage with ‘very conservative’ voters at 37% to 25% for Trump and 14% for Carson but Trump leads based on his strength with moderates, with whom gets 42% to 14% each for Rubio and Bush.
It’s ironic that Trump leads with moderates, because the views of his supporters wouldn’t be considered moderate by most standards:
-78% support Trump’s call to bans Muslims from entering the United States, to only 13% who oppose it. Overall 54% of Republicans support him on that to 28% who are opposed. Supporters of Cruz (62/20) and Carson (54/25) also favor a Muslim ban while backers of Rubio (28/48) and Bush (28/49) are opposed.
-65% of Trump voters think thousands of Arabs in New Jersey cheered the collapse of the World Trade Center, to only 11% who don’t think that happened. Overall 43% of Republicans think that event occurred to 29% who don’t. Supporters of Carson (44/10) and Cruz (45/26) agree with Trump’s that it happened while those of Rubio (24/47) and Bush (12/62) say it didn’t.
-59% of Trump voters support a national database of Muslims, to 18% who are opposed. Republicans as a whole are evenly divided on that issue, 40/40. Carson supporters (42/38) join with Trump’s in wanting a Muslim database but those of Cruz (38/42), Rubio (32/48), and Bush (19/62) are all against it.
-45% of Trump voters want to shut down the mosques in the United States, to only 23% who are opposed to doing that. Overall just 27% of Republicans support that to 45% who are opposed though. Supporters of all the other major GOP candidates are opposed to shutting down mosques- it’s 32/48 with Carson backers, 25/44 with those of Cruz, 9/66 with Rubio voters, and 9/69 with Bush’s.
-Finally as long as we were at it we decided we’d ask people if they thought Japanese internment had been a good idea. Among Trump voters 48% say they support the use of internment during World War II, to only 21% who say they oppose it. Overall just 29% of Republicans support that to 39% opposed, and supporters of all the other candidates are against it- 29/33 with Cruz voters, 23/54 with Rubio’s, 12/48 with Carson’s, and 13/56 with Bush’s.
Trump’s positions aren’t hurting him for now but if he ever does falter Cruz is very well positioned to benefit. Besides his overall second place position Cruz is the most broadly popular of the candidates in Iowa, with a 68/20 favorability rating. He’s also the most frequent second choice of Iowa voters at 19% to 12% each for Carson and Rubio, and 11% for Trump. When you combine first and second choices Cruz leads with 44% to 39% for Trump, 26% for Rubio, and 22% for Carson. Cruz is specifically by far and away the second choice of Trump voters at 36% to 14% for Carson with no one else hitting double digits. Quick notes on some other hopefuls:
-Bush has the highest negatives of any of the candidates with 47% seeing him unfavorably to only 35% who have a positive view. He continues to particularly have a credibility issue on the right- with ‘very conservative’ voters his favorability is 24/61 and just 2% of voters within that group favor him for the nomination.
-What we’re continuing to find with Rubio right now is that he’s sort of in a holding pattern. When we polled Iowa last month he was in 4th place with a 60/20 favorability rating. Now thanks to the collapse of Carson he’s in 3rd place with a nearly identical 59/22 favorability. He’s not getting much momentum but he’s at least not falling apart either.
-Carson’s not just losing out on people saying he’s their first choice- he’s had a general decline in his image with GOP voters. Last month he had a +61 (74/13) favorability, that’s now dropped to +40 at 63/23. His combined first and second choice support has dropped from 40% down to 22%.
-John Kasich’s just really not making an impact. A plurality of GOP voters- 41%- don’t even have an opinion about him one way or the other. Among voters who do have one it’s quite negative with only 22% seeing him favorably to 37% with a negative view.
-Mike Huckabee on the other hand is very popular with the Republican base. 64% see him favorably to just 21% with a negative view, making him the most broadly liked hopeful other than Cruz. That goodwill just isn’t translating into support for the nomination for him though.
On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton continues to be the clear favorite in Iowa. She’s at 52% to 34% for Bernie Sanders and 7% for Martin O’Malley. Sanders leads 47/40 with younger voters, but that’s not enough to make up for Clinton holding a 64/20 advantage with seniors. She leads by pretty similar margins of 19 points with liberals at 56/37 and 22 points with moderates at 52/30. And she also has comparable leads with both women (21 points at 55/34) and men (15 points at 49/34). Clinton’s favorability rating is 73/19 while Sanders’ comes in at 65/23.
Full results here
Because everything else is too hard for you. Since we can't do anything I suggest we charge 5 million to immigrate and two million to visit.
It is not Supporters you need to learn about, you need to learn why the people are rejecting your favorites.
Oh, so the Constitution and Bill Of Rights only hold during peace, chucked out the window on some vague inarticulate notion of war (which of course we’ve been in for decades).
For shame.
You forgot the whole “God given rights, so long as the ruling class permits it” line that Jefferson and Locke wrote about.
I think Trump is in good hands in Iowa. Santorum's former campaign leader in Iowa is now with Trump. He's an ex-Marine and also worked for Steve King. Working hard very quietly.
"Other staffers include former Navy SEAL Brad Nagle (Iowa City), Col. Brian Miller (Sioux City), Mark Elcock (SW) and Elizabeth Davidson (Quad Cities). Noticeably absent from Trump rallies in the state are Republican Party officials and officeholders."
NBC Trump Sets up Formidable Iowa Ground Game:
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/trumps-ground-game-iowa-soaring-aides-say-n445336
It is the worst form of a smear job, attempting to portray Trump supporters as "bigots", "ignorant", and worse. One has to wonder just how the question was asked to elicit a response that could be interpreted as "Trump supporters think Japanese internment was good."
But then, this is why the lying, liberal, lamestream media has less than a 12% "approval" rate themselves and most American's hate the media as much as they do the Dem-Rep uniparty in Washington DC.
The more the lying, liberal, lamestream media keeps this bullshit up, the more they cement Trump's support. I'm frankly not surprised that they're too f'n stupid to have figured that out by now.
Keep it up, all the way to November 8th 2016 I say!
Yes, can not worry about phone taps on hungry stomachs.
If you ever spent time living in Asian countries, you would understand better. Living in a cocoon, ignorance is bliss.
Just heard Bush saying he was having a ball and his campaign is just starting to take shape. I suppose flat is a shape of some sort.
Japanese Internment Was Good;
Many people don’t know that there were 2 internment choices for the Japanese here in America.
first they were given the choice to sign an Oath of loyalty,which if they did they got some reduced type of controlls.
those who REFUSED!!!! got internment.
Makes perfect sense to me!
I used to pledge allegiance every day of the week..and was glad and proud to do so.
Michelle Malkin documented the Japanese in Hawaii helping hide a Japanese pilot and hide his pistol and papers..
Japanese Internment was Merciful, compared to what they did to our POWs
Our POWs were beaten, tortured, and starved...
THAT! is very wrong.
you stupid MUT.
Ever since Citizens United decision was approved where average people are crapped on and wealthy people given the keys to Congress, etc. our country been put further under water. Conservatives were also led to believe that media consolidation and unlimited donor funds were good for conservatives. Wrong.....The media is our enemy. Most conservatives are not remotely in sync with the globalist sovereignty stealing corporatists that media consolidation and this policy serves.
“Corporatist” does not now nor ever equal conservative, either now or in the future or past.
“So please, provide me a reason as to why they are to be considered categorically different from a prison camp, other than “they weren’t actively treated badly†or that they had adequately supplied. So does not killing imprisoned people not make it a prison?”
Try very hard to understand this. I despair of it, but try.
It’s not a prison if the people there are allowed to come and go. It’s only a prison if they are confined to the prison. Otherwise it’s just a dwelling.
You’re hilarious. So internment is NOT a synonym for imprisonment, despite being defined as such in any dictionary. Captivity, confinement, impoundment, incarceration, are all just Commie buzzwords invented to slander America!
You’re a doubleplusgood prole! Your love for Big Brother is ardent! After all, it’s all just whatever the Party tells us is true!
http://www.thefreedictionary.com/internment
Reagan never won Iowa, except in 1984 when he was unopposed.
Let me start by saying that my wife is Japanese. All of my children and some of my grandchildren were born in Japan. Odds are that I know more about this than you could even discover, because people have passed away over the decades, sources have disappeared, and you don’t read Japanese.
Now, let me say this: On the basis of your posts, and the level of irrationality therein, I believe that you are a troll, and no conservative at all.
“So internment is NOT a synonym for imprisonment, despite being defined as such in any dictionary.”
That argument is intellectually stunted. Dictionaries are only starting points from which to understand a word. It is a lie to call a temporary residence a prison when the occupants are allowed to come and go.
“Captivity, confinement, impoundment, incarceration, are all just Commie buzzwords invented to slander America!”
When they are dishonestly applied to circumstances that comprise none of those things they become commie buzzwords. It was and is the commies that keep insisting that black is white, evil is good, etc., and you don’t know any better than to believe them.
When someone repeats those falsehoods, we are left to wonder whether it is because he is a commie attempting to deceive, or a useful idiot. There is no third option. Scoundrel or indoctrinated moron, those are the choices.
To repeat the words of KGB Defector Yuri Bezmenov, “What it basically means is: to change the perception of reality of every American that despite of the abundance of information no one is able to come to sensible conclusions in the interest of defending themselves, their families, their community, and their country.”
You won’t even defend your country against blatant lies.
“It’s a great brainwashing process which goes very slow and is divided into four basic stages. The first stage being “demoralization”.”
What he means by that is making love of America seem wrongful by convincing stupid young Americans that America is bad, that it has done things as bad as, if not worse than, the commies. This irrational and groundless exaggeration of the problems with internment is an example of that.
Bezmenov continues, “It takes from 15 to 20 years to demoralize a nation. Why that many years? Because this is the minimum number of years required to educate one generation of students in the country of your enemy exposed to the ideology of [their] enemy. In other words, Marxism-Leninism ideology is being pumped into the soft heads of at least 3 generations of American students without being challenged or counterbalanced by the basic values of Americanism; American patriotism.”
I was fortunate enough to go through school before the demoralization had progressed very far. You, apparently, were not. When you go around blathering this kind of nonsense, you are no better than the Rosenbergs.
“Oh, so the Constitution and Bill Of Rights only hold during peace, chucked out the window on some vague inarticulate notion of war (which of course we’ve been in for decades).”
The Constitution is not a suicide pact.
Sure pal, whatever helps you sleep at night. I didn’t decide to defend an atrocious violation of civil rights by one of the most Communist leaning presidencies in American history.
The fact that you continue to defend such a practice is the greatest of ironies given your rabid denunciation of Communism. I’m sure you had no problem with the FBI’s COINTEL program, or the fact that the NSA collects all electronic data you’ve ever created.
I don’t have to stick my head in the sand and pretend that FDR made bad choices because I don’t drag my knuckles on the ground and can differentiate between the nation and the State. Fools like you just end up as cannon fodder on battlefields like Stalingrad.
Have a nice life.
Also, relying on ad hominem attacks is the sign of a shallow intellect.
“The Constitution is not a suicide pact.”
_Abandoning_ the Constitution is suicide.
You’d replace it with ... what? nothing? police state? democratic socialism? totalitarianism? anarchy?
The Constitution is how we _survive_ hard & threatening times. It’s the groundwork for preserving order & liberty & individual rights.
“It is a lie to call a temporary residence a prison when the occupants are allowed to come and go.”
Oh, I can go? Ain’t coming back.
Now, why did you take everything away from me and bring me here at gunpoint?
Oh, I have to come back? So...it’s a prison with a furlough plan. That’s a prison.
Oh, why am I here again? color/ethnicity/birthplace/faith? the obvious vileness of that reasoning aside, I was convicted in which court for what? yeah, just rounded up, possessions stolen, and stuck in a camp indefinitely - we call those “concentration camps”, even if random people don’t get starved/murdered.
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