Free Republic

I just posted shocking numbers out of North Carolina that show that white voters, and particularly white, working-class voters, are way over-performing in early voting. http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3899468/posts Now check this out from Colorado and Virginia: Colorado-- In 2016, per exit polls conducted by CNN, white voters cast 78% of all votes in Colorado. Breaking this 78% white vote down: whites with a college degree cast 45% of the total votes in 2016, while non-college whites cast 33% of Colorado votes. In 2020, as of today, whites have cast 87%(!) of all the early votes. And this 87% broken down by education:...

After 2016, it’s hard to have a lot of faith in the polls, so the question is, how do we assess the state of the race? In 2016, most state polls were as bad as national polls, and cherrypicking specific polls isn’t a great option either, as it lends itself to confirmation bias. So, in many ways, the best thing we can use to judge the state of the race is to analyze early-voting statistics. According to Gallup 62 percent of Democrat and 28 percent of Republican voters plan to vote early this year when they otherwise have been only...

I recently argued that the toss-up states may be different from what media and pollsters present and what you think. Based my view from the 2016 results, I have the race at 231 electoral votes for President Trump, 183 electoral votes for Mr. Biden, and 124 electoral votes as toss-ups.   This implies that there are several paths to 270 electoral votes for a Trump victory. The Blue Wall Falls Again If, as in the last time, President Trump sweeps Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, he will have 277 electoral votes.  This is without Trump carrying Florida or blue wall holdout Minnesota.  In fact,...

...Why do we think the Trump campaign is seizing on this opportunity to grab Virginia’s 13 Electoral College votes? First, the polls are tightening. The most recent Judy Ford Watson Center for Public Policy (Christopher Newport University) poll has Biden with only a five-point lead on Trump among likely Virginia voters. It is a significant change from the double-digit lead Biden held in the spring and over the summer. Second, the Trump campaign’s ground game and voter outreach is outclassing Biden’s. The Virginia Trump Victory effort has already been in contact with over 2.1 million voters via phone banking and...

Guest Piece by America’s History Teacher, Larry Schweikart Confession: I rarely watch conservative, or so-called conservative, news sites. You can get some information that way, but I find it much more instructive to watch the reactions of liberals to the stories of the day. That is an instant indicator of who is winning and losing. For example, if the Washington Post says “Trump must change tone or face loss,” you know that Trump’s tone is deadly effective. Or, if Politico headlines “Some Senator Say McConnell Moving Too Fast on Barrett Nomination,” you know that Yertle is moving at light speed...

Virginia Military Institute's top official resigned Monday, a week after Gov. Ralph Northam announced an investigation into the school's culture and policies following reports of racism that received national attention. Retired Army Gen. J.H. Binford Peay III submitted his resignation letter as superintendent, which the board of visitors accepted "with deep regret," board President John Boland said in a statement. In his resignation letter to the president of the board of visitors, Peay wrote that Gov. Northam’s chief of staff, Clark Mercer, informed him on Friday that “the governor and certain legislative leaders had lost confidence in my leadership as...

WSLS 10 News questioned Gov. Ralph Northam on the issue while speaking at an event in South Boston. “We talked about that very issue that racism is a health crisis issue. We’re looking at a proclamation. That starts with leadership and a message that comes from the Governor and other individuals. It’s something that I’m discussing with that advisory board. I’ll work with Del. Aird and I think you’ll see more in that regard,” commented Gov. Northam. Del. Lashrecse Aird represents Virginia’s 63rd district in the House of Delegates. Part of the General Assembly’s special session, Del. Aird introduced a...

Vice President Joe Biden earned ridicule from foes Saturday when he twice referred to the Democratic Virginia Senate candidate by the wrong first name. Biden began his remarks to an enthusiastic crowd of about 1,500 at the Lynchburg Armory by praising former Gov. Tim Kaine with the correct name but later declared two times that he is "a big Tom Kaine fan." Kaine is running against Republican George Allen for the seat vacated by Democrat Sen. Jim Webb, who is retiring. The vice president went on to offer similar compliments for ex-Rep. Tom Perriello, whose first name is Tom. A...

On July 1, the state of Virginia enacted the “Virginia Values Act,” which bans discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation and gender identity. A companion law requires employers to include coverage for sex reassignment and “gender affirming” surgeries in their health plans. According to the Alliance Defending Freedom, who has filed a pre-enforcement challenge, the Virginia Values Act requires “churches, religious schools, and Christian ministries to hire employees who do not share their stated beliefs on marriage, sexuality, and gender identity.”Though the Act provides an exemption for religious schools “owned, supported, controlled, or managed” by denominations or churches, that...

A bizarre little insect that looks like a walking toupée and squirts venomous pus from knifelike spines is terrorizing Virginia this year, according to the state's Department of Forestry (VDoF). The venomous pus caterpillar is the larval form of the southern flannel moth (Megalopyge opercularis), and if you see one you should stay away from it. Its "hairs" are actually spines that make it among the most venomous caterpillars in the United States. A woman in New Kent County described the sensation of a "scorching hot knife passing through the outside of my calf" when she brushed against one on...

I just voted in person early in Virginia and brought 2 other Trump voters with me! I’ll get 5-10 more to vote the remainder of today! Let’s roll!!— Mark R. Levin (@marklevinshow) October 17, 2020

Based on the recommendations of consultants they paid nearly half a million taxpayer dollars, the Loudon County school board recently approved an Equity Plan steeped in critical race rhetoric. Ever since the unfortunate death of George Floyd, corporate media, virtue-signaling neighborhood leftists, and politicians have been talking about “systemic racism” in America, even though there was and still is no evidence that Floyd’s death was motivated by race.This is emblematic of the growing concern about “critical race theory,” in which everything is viewed through the lens of race because, the theory claims, “racism is present in every aspect of life,...

Tried to verify my registration status to vote in Chesterfield County....

Accused conspirators charged in a plot to kidnap Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer also discussed "taking" Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam, an FBI agent testified at a court hearing Tuesday. During the hearing in Grand Rapids, Mich., to discuss the charges filed last week against members of a self-proclaimed militia accused of plotting to kidnap Michigan’s Democratic governor, FBI Special Agent Richard Trask revealed that months ago some of the suspects met in Dublin, Ohio, where Northam, also a Democrat, was discussed as a potential target.

Virginia’s voter website is down on the last day people have to register to vote. According to a message on the department’s website, the problem is due to a network outage. Below is the message found on the department’s website: "Due to a network outage the Citizen Portal is temporarily unavailable. We are working with our network providers to restore service as quickly as possible. We are working with our network providers to restore service as quickly as possible. Please check back later for your online voter registration or absentee needs.

[Catholic] Bishops working on racism, illegal immigration rights and climate change have no time for leadership such as reported below. Four Madison County Pastors are responsible for backing down Northam. At least the ecclesial dystopia at weekday Mass is over (assuming Bishop Burbidge passes this authority to his pastors.) Announcement below from Founding Freedoms Law Center: Important News Affecting Virginia ChurchesIn case you’ve not yet heard, we wanted to make sure you knew about a positive development that may directly impact your church. As a result of a recent lawsuit filed by four Madison County pastors against Gov. Northam’s restrictive...

From a commentator (Boog) at The Hedgehog Report, a site that looks at polls: Take a look at this electoral map: Trump has a floor of 259 EVs. ... ... What the map shows is that Trump only needs one of WI, MN, PA or MI. He could even win by plucking VA (which is admittedly unlikely), or by taking some mix of NH, ME-2 and NV. On the other hand, Biden has to SWEEP almost all of the remaining states. ... Trump is a candidate who the pollsters are finding it increasingly difficult to poll, and that is why...

State Dept Officials Were Skeptical about Christopher Steele Reports The Left’s Plan for Election Violence After Chinese Steal Billions in Research, We Finally Ban Them Judicial Watch is Suing to Colorado to Clean Up Its Voter Rolls Stopping California’s Diversity Quotas for Corporate Boards Judicial Watch Contested Virginia Officials’ Secret Meeting on BLM Riot State Dept Officials Were Skeptical about Christopher Steele Reports We have now received 48 pages of emails among top Obama State Department officials and a U.S. Ambassador expressing skepticism about Steele reports by Steele’s London-based private intelligence firm Orbis Business Intelligence. Steele was the author...

Below is a list of states that have accumulated substantial mail-in/early votes followed by the percentage share of votes cast by blacks in each state. In other words, of all the early votes that have been returned by mail or cast in person up until yesterday, these are percentages that were cast by black voters in each state: Florida: 11% (Obama 2012: 14% of electorate) Indiana: 5% (state AA population: 11%) Maryland: 22% (state AA population: 33%) Michigan: 8% (state AA population: 15%) Neb(CD-2):4% (CD AA population: 10%) N. Car.: 16% (Obama 1 pt. win in 2008: 23%) Virg.: 13%...

Recently, the State of Virginia has begun pushing forth new legislation which would prohibit officers from making what is termed as a pretextual stop. Pretextual stops are when an officer uses a mundane traffic violation to stop a vehicle because he or she believes there may be criminal activity afoot. For instance, an officer may see a tag light out on a vehicle driven by a little old lady coming out of Walmart. That officer probably is not concerned that the woman driving is a criminal. However, spotting the tag light out on a vehicle that is coming out of...