This is a gif but I don't see any moving parts.
Posted on 09/08/2004 9:06:23 AM PDT by bd476
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HURRICANE IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 08 2004
...Dangerous Hurricane Ivan heading for the central Caribbean Sea...
A hurricane warning remains in effect for Aruba...Bonaire...and Curacao.
A hurricane watch and a Tropical Storm Warning remain in effect for The Guarjira Peninsula of Columbia...and for the entire Northern Coast of Venezuela.
At 11 AM AST...1500z...the Government of Haiti has issued a Hurricane Watch for the entire Southwest peninsula of Haiti from the border of the Dominican Republic Westward...including Port Au Prince.
A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for the Southwestern coast of the Dominican Republic from Santo Domingo Westward to Pedernales.
Interests in Central and Western Caribbean Sea should closely monitor the progress of dangerous Hurricane Ivan.
At 11 AM AST...1500z...the eye of Hurricane Ivan was located near Latitude 12.7 North...Longitude 66.2 West or about 145 miles...235 Km...East-Northeast of Bonaire and about 795 miles...1280 km... EAST-Southeast of Kingston Jamaica.
Ivan is moving toward the West-Northwest near 16 mph...26 km/hr. This motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track...the center of Ivan should move North of Aruba... Bonaire...and Curacao later today. However...any deviation to the left of the forecast track could bring the center close to those islands.
Ivan is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale with maximum sustained winds near 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next 2 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 KM… from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles...260 KM.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 955 MB...28.20 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels... along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near the center of ivan in the hurricane warning area.
Rainfall Amounts of 5 to 7 inches...possibly causing flash floods and mud slides...can be expected along the path of Ivan.
Repeating the 11 AM AST position...12.7 N... 66.2 W. Movement toward...West-Northwest near 16 mph. Maximum sustained winds...140 MPH. Minimum central pressure... 955 MB.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor Products issued by your local weather office.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 pm AST followed by the next complete advisory at 5 pm AST.
Forecaster Avila
$$
I hope my roof doesn't blow off.
Cars are leaving the Florida Keys again...It really bothers me when the weather people say "Tampa Bay". Makes me shudder. We have no idea where Ivan will go but when do the modeling, it doesn't look good.
Floridians are tough but we only GLOAT after hard fought elections.
I can think of better ways to make history. NOT CHARLEY, FRANCES FOLLOWED BY IVAN. ZOT THOSE THREE!
I wasn't in New Orleans for The Flood of 93 (I was incorrect about the 80's). I just remember seeing it on TV when the Mississippi went over it's banks.
This is a gif but I don't see any moving parts.
Our house on Tuesday per your Storm Team 8 jpeg. YIKES!
I fish most every year out of Panama city. I've got an old high school buddy that's run a fishing boat for 20 odd years out of the pass.
He claims the monster bite is right before a hurricane approaches, when the wind is up and the barometer is falling.
If the seas are flat, the fishing isn't going to be good.
My fellow Americans, be careful. FV
The local weather guys showed a chart with the SIX LOWEST since they started checking that. Ivan was on the list but not at rock bottom.
My family went thru an F5 tornado in Xenia, Ohio in the early 1970's-the tornado was formed from a convergence of three tornados in the SW corner of the town outskirts-it landed and stayed on the ground for SIX MILES, cutting a MILE WIDE SWATH thru the town of 24,000. 34 people were killed, a bus was dropped thru the destroyed high school auditorium, a freight train engine was lifted up and slammed down yards from its track, and on and on and on. It was a horror show afterwards....and a forever reminder of the power, the immense power, of forces of nature.
The weather channel is now saying it will hit the panhandle of Florida. What say you?
Oh look, they've named a hurricane after you.
Play nice with your fellow Americans, and don't break anything (as you've done before)...
You know, I actually seem to recall seeing some (at that time taped, on the next day's news) stuff about that, as well as maybe some filmed clips in documentaries about tornadoes.
Being a Californian where these things just don't happen, it's fascinating. I've spent a lot of summertime periods in central Minnesota and seen "this is tornado weather!" conditions, but can't imagine being in one - let alone a hurricane.
Quakes work for me (In and out, and goodbye)....I think.
If I had to guess, this hits between Tallahasee and Tampa. A day ago, I think my guess extended as far west as Pensacola.
But it's still really too early to refine the ultimate destination. The things that will ultimately steer this storm are WAY too subtle..
Oh, sh*t!
Thanks for the links. They were really interesting.
Speaking of Biloxi, about five or so years ago a hurricane went through there(don't recall which one), but there were some fellows from down there that drove all the way up here to Springfield, Illinois(no hurricanes here) selling fresh shrimp for 4 bucks a pound. I bought 20 pounds off them. I wonder if they'll be back if Ivan ventures more to the NW and bounces around in the gulf?
I do remember the coffins floating in N.O. but it's been awhile. A lot of them floated here too during the flood of 93 I guess it was.
Sorry to hear about the stuck Land Cruiser. They must be a lot better in mud than sand. A buddy of mine had a cruiser with 36" swampers and a small block and it rocked in the mud. I've always had Chevys and with the little bit of sand around here if you got on it in sand it would just sink right up to the axles. Lighter Toyos just buzz right through though. As much as it sucks to say it, I had to have my ol' Blazer pulled out the sand by a toy once.
Anyhow thanks for relating the story of the stuck Cruiser
Just imagine how the people in Jamaica and the other islands feel. There is nowhere to evacuate to, you're just stuck there. I'll be praying for those poor people tomorrow.
XM Radio turns on Ivan Channel
A new channel 247 (24/7) giving the latest Weather Channel radio broadcasts, evacuation information, hurricane tips, etc.
Oh, man! Now I'm jealous. How is it?
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