In last week’s I&I/TIPP polling story, we noted a significant recent study that found: “In the last year alone, 61% of Americans reported that they have avoided saying things that they believe because others might find them offensive.”
Posted on 10/07/2024 5:43:01 PM PDT by simpson96
A new national poll has Kamala Harris 16 points ahead of Donald Trump among Independents, a key demographic to deciding the next president.
The poll was conducted by TIPP Insights for Issue & Insights between October 2 and October 4. It surveyed 997 voters and had a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percent. Of respondents, 49 percent said they would vote for Harris and 46 percent said they would vote for Trump.
But among Independents, Democratic presidential candidate Harris received 52 percent of the vote, Republican candidate Trump received 36 percent, 10 percent were not sure, and 2 percent said they would vote for somebody else.
Independents are a critical voting block for both Vice President Harris and former president Trump to win over ahead of the November election, which is likely to be determined by close votes in just a handful of key battleground states. Small swings in independent voters could determine whether these states are won by either candidate.
Four years ago in October 2020, a month out from the election, Joe Biden led Trump among independents by a similar margin to Harris's current lead with independents, and went on to win the election.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
Sorry, but this is fake news.
Correction, was reading numbers I took to mean individuals rather than percentages (would be nice if the poll had better labels). Not sure of what fraction of the less than 1000 voters were "independents".
I know you hate Trump.
Totally Invented Progressive Propaganda
538 has them as the 120th ranked pollster (Based on the historical track record and methodological transparency of each polling firm’s polls.)
Wow, I did not realize that. Thanks for the correction. I take back my earlier comment.
Actually I don’t. I want him to win. But I see that a lot of my fellow Americans hate him.
Ok, story says Harris leads Trump in the nationwide popular vote by +3.
But Harris is up with Independents by +16.
Doesn’t make sense.
1 - This would mean that Harris is bleeding major support from Dems, othewise she’d further ahead than +3.
2 - How can Indies be swinging hard to Harris, at the same time she’s underperforming with Dems?
More questions than answers with this poll.
Oh. It’s NewsweAk.
This is funny any poll that appears bad for President Trump no matter how ridiculous brings out a few of the concerned trolls
Most people who have been on fr awhile know who they are
Usually they are mocked or ignored
Check out the methodology.
Note the involvement of Datawrapper.
Cooked poll.
We can always depend upon Newsweek to bring us the nonpartisan TRUTH!
/yes, major league sarcasm
In last week’s I&I/TIPP polling story, we noted a significant recent study that found: “In the last year alone, 61% of Americans reported that they have avoided saying things that they believe because others might find them offensive.”
There is almost no other data in other polling supporting this finding. This should be looked at with alot of suspicion
IBD/TIPP were the most accurate pollsters of the 2016 cycle predicting a Trump win when all others were predicting a Hillary blowout. I doubt it’s the same people today. This sounds like propaganda to boost Democrat morale.
I’m taking a poll. With which politica party do you identify?
Democrat.
I’ll take thas as “Independent.”
BOVINE DROPPINGS
“A nationwide poll of 997 people cannot give you a 3.2 margin of error. So, not off to a good start.”
Totally agree.
The key is bias in sample selection that is not representative of the desired target population you desire to evaluate.
Newsweak. 🙄
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