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Monmouth poll: Biden up 12pts in Pennsylvania
Monmouth University ^ | October 6, 2020 | Monmouth U

Posted on 10/06/2020 9:14:33 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative

Challenger pulls into double-digit lead over Trump West Long Branch, NJ – Joe Biden holds a 12-point lead over Donald Trump among all registered voters in Pennsylvania and anywhere from an 8-point to 11-point lead among likely voters, according to the Monmouth (“Mon-muth”) University Poll. This marks an improvement from Biden’s single-digit lead in a Monmouth poll just over one month ago. More voters trust the challenger than the incumbent on key issues, such as handling the pandemic. The poll does not find much shift in opinion since the president’s own Covid-19 diagnosis. Other findings show a Democratic advantage in a trio of statewide office races and a tight margin in the generic party preference for Congress.

(Excerpt) Read more at t.co ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2020election; biden; chicompoll; enemyofthepeople; fakepoll; monmouthpoll; paping; pennsylvania; poll; polls; trump
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To: gibsonguy
A preference for an autocratic closed club run by a risible Nancy Pelosi, and yet the Democrats in the House typically enjoy a bulge in the polls and, by demographic surges, at election time.

Before the debate mischance and the president's hospitalization, I even argued for more campaigning on behalf of senators and congressmen believing that the president was well on his way. I now hope that his hospitalization will drive home to people in a very visceral way what it will be like without this man is president.

As for the debate, he has two more chances to understand that tone often wins over substance.


61 posted on 10/06/2020 9:43:11 AM PDT by nathanbedford (attack, repeat, attack! Bull Halsey)
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To: nathanbedford

I agree its always good to play from behind and not just blow these polls off but people get crazed. The person who started the thread made the asinine claim “Trump has no path without PA,” but lets look at the numbers:

In 2016 Trump had 306 EV, 40 more than necessary.

Pa (20), Mi (16), Wisconsin (10) account for 46 EV- which means if he carries all the states he won in 2016 all he needs is one of the above.

There also talk Nevada (6 ev) and Minnesota (10 ev) are now in play for the President.


62 posted on 10/06/2020 9:43:16 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Me too!!! I don’t see this at all, anywhere from NE PA, to South Central, up to State College area it is nothing but Trump signs!!
I know Philly is the 1000 lb gorilla, but
NO WAY IN HELL he is up at all, let alone 12 in Pa!!!!!!!!!


63 posted on 10/06/2020 9:43:53 AM PDT by bantam
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To: Buckeye McFrog

See post 54 for an example of number 2.


64 posted on 10/06/2020 9:43:54 AM PDT by EvilCapitalist (Fill that seat!)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from September 30 to October 4, 2020 with 500 Pennsylvania registered voters. The question results in this release have a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.

500 Registered Voters!
400 LV!
MOE: 4.4%!

This poll is GARBAGE!


65 posted on 10/06/2020 9:44:34 AM PDT by LeonardFMason
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To: gibsonguy

If Trump is down 12 in PA and 8 in AZ then go start preparing for 2024 where the election won’t very much matter anyways. Otherwise get off the couch and go help. One thing that is not helpful is going to forums and screaming about how bad the polls look.


66 posted on 10/06/2020 9:45:15 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: LeonardFMason

+10000!


67 posted on 10/06/2020 9:45:54 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: St. Louis Conservative
That is not necessarily the case, that is a pundits talking point. Since the 90s no Republican could win without PA, that was the assumption. There are multiple models for Trump to win. The traditional path is to win PA, FL, OH and TX. There are other models. We have written off NY, CA, IL and NY for years. So, to offset those states we have needed the larger Eastern and Central States. To lose PA is to assume many Trump voters died during COVID or changed their mind. It is to assume workers do not like working, they want the Steel and Energy industries sent back to China and they think Iran is our friend. Not likely, plus any poll of "registered voters" in October is worthless. I can think of only one reason to run with those this late in the game. If Trump's debate behavior turned Indies to Biden, well we should see a huge bump for Trump after Biden’s racist comments yesterday. We won't because its all BS.
68 posted on 10/06/2020 9:46:39 AM PDT by OldGoatCPO (No Caitiff Choir of Angles will sing for me)
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To: bantam

go knock on the doors and make sure they’re going to vote. Talking about it online is, at this point, not helping.


69 posted on 10/06/2020 9:47:58 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: edie1960

Because there is zero limit to how big of a margin you can win by. In fact, I am pretty sure the new campaign message is that only Republicans get COVID-19 and they deserve it for not wearing masks and limiting rally sizes.


70 posted on 10/06/2020 9:48:02 AM PDT by Morpheus2009 (If you want me to be afraid, then be consistent in your logic, standards, and your lies!)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Also, how many voters who were wary of voting for a New York billionaire, but have now seen his accomplishments will show up this time?


71 posted on 10/06/2020 9:48:13 AM PDT by EvilCapitalist (Fill that seat!)
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To: St. Louis Conservative
Trump winning Pa is a path of least resistance but it's not the only path.

As for the polls they are making their Biden Push....Like the push 4yrs ago for Hillary.

Now you must feel like a fool for helping their cause a bit, huh?

72 posted on 10/06/2020 9:48:26 AM PDT by winoneforthegipper ("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)
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To: Dan in Wichita

“Instead, he is running ads like crazy in MN and PA.”

Biden ads in Wisconsin are pervasive. He’s worried about Wisconsin, too!

He’s visited TWICE (Hillary NEVER visited us; thank goodness!) and the reception has been underwhelming. Kenosha and Manitowoc.

A google search shows absolutely NO crowd shots like you get at a Trump Rally. A few people lining the streets holding Biden signs. Big whoop.


73 posted on 10/06/2020 9:48:41 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
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To: Dan in Wichita

Kamala Harris is campaigning in Utah.


74 posted on 10/06/2020 9:48:46 AM PDT by Morpheus2009 (If you want me to be afraid, then be consistent in your logic, standards, and your lies!)
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To: mylife

So he can be home by dark.


75 posted on 10/06/2020 9:49:45 AM PDT by Citizen Soldier
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To: God luvs America; St. Louis Conservative
Your arithmetic is correct, there are clearly enough states without Pennsylvania, but all of these Midwestern states will tend to go together and, anyway, the odds lengthen considerably.

But your etiquette is far from correct, you should give a heads up to the person you mention in your reply, especially when your reply carries criticism of him.


76 posted on 10/06/2020 9:51:57 AM PDT by nathanbedford (attack, repeat, attack! Bull Halsey)
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To: DarthVader

What’s weird is that Congressional Republicans are doing a lot better than Trump.


77 posted on 10/06/2020 9:52:27 AM PDT by nbenyo
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To: St. Louis Conservative
Damn lairs!!! Biden is up by 50!!! Sheesh!!!.. they’re getting sloppy!!🤪
78 posted on 10/06/2020 9:52:53 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: EvilCapitalist

I think that’s true in many places.


79 posted on 10/06/2020 9:53:28 AM PDT by philippa
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To: ArcadeQuarters

Monmouth poll: Biden up 12pts in Pennsylvania

That can only be his temperature. Certainly isn’t his IQ or his ranking.

Sure they are not talking about Jill Biden.


80 posted on 10/06/2020 9:53:40 AM PDT by JayAr36 (My disgust with government is complete.)
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