Exponential growth curves.
Posted on 03/20/2020 7:28:07 PM PDT by NRx
New York State’s long-feared surge of coronavirus cases has begun, thrusting the medical system toward a crisis point.
In a startlingly quick ascent, officials reported on Friday that the state was closing in on 8,000 positive tests, about half the cases in the country. The number was 10 times higher than what was reported earlier in the week.
In the Bronx, doctors at Lincoln Medical and Mental Health Center say they have only a few remaining ventilators for patients who need them to breathe. In Brooklyn, doctors at Kings County Hospital Center say they are so low on supplies that they are reusing masks for up to a week, slathering them with hand sanitizer between shifts.
Some of the jump in New York’s cases can be traced to significantly increased testing, which the state began this week. But the escalation, and the response, could offer other states a glimpse of what might be in store if the virus continues to spread. Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo on Friday urged residents to stay indoors and ordered nonessential businesses to keep workers home.
State officials have projected that the number of coronavirus cases in New York will peak in early May. Both the governor and Mayor Bill de Blasio have used wartime metaphors and analogies to paint a grim picture of what to expect. Officials have said the state would need to double its available hospital beds to 100,000 and could be short as many as 25,000 ventilators.
As it prepares for the worst-case projections, the state is asking retired health care workers to volunteer to help. The city is considering trying to turn the Jacob K. Javits Convention Center in Manhattan into a makeshift hospital.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
Sadly, it appears that you are correct.
How many babies are aborted each hour?
https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3826660/posts?page=220#220
gas_dr wrote:
“Lovely pivot. I have treated more than two. How many have you treated? As an intensivist standard treatment works but I will be using plaquenil with any new cases. My colleagues report good success with plaquenil
Azitheomycinn. I really don’t want to argue with you. Please let the data lead us to the proper conclusions. I have every statistical reason to believe that this is a lot overblown and the clinical experience to confirm it. It is a problem? Yes. But at this point I less the deaths surge past 100,000 then we have to understand we will do this every influenza and respiratory disease year
Please take peace and joy in living in the greatest country on earth that can do anything we set our mind to.”
Thank you!!!!
God bless, and stay the course!
gas_dr wrote:
“Well considering that I am a critical care physician and I see what is happening in my locale, I think that I can just interview myself and determine that at this moment, all my hospitals are empty and ICU is about 25% filled. I am a local doctor. And my colleagues the local nurses are also rolling their eyes. But thanks for asking and assuming.”
Many thanks for your info!!
gas_dr wrote:
“I broke out the NY numbers. Also check out Washington. Very much so decelerating.”
Thanks for doing the analysis!
Post it when you get the chance.
Prayers UP!!
moe wrote:
“Source for Lennox Hill Hospital Success with Hydroxychloroquine. link https://www.independentsentinel.com/lennox-hill-has-no-deaths-from-the-virus-after-using-hydroxychloroquine/
“
Thank you !
Ping!!!!
comebacknewt wrote:
“Anectdotal I know, but I have a sister in law who is a nurse in Alabama who reports that her hospital is using hydrochloroquine and z packs and they are having great success with their patients as well.
Poster credibility really means nothing.
Either it is working or it isn’t. My sense is that it is, but we will all know for sure over the next week or so.”
Thanks for the info!
Prayers UP for your s-i-l and the effort to stop this epidemic!
comebacknewt wrote:
“Anectdotal I know, but I have a sister in law who is a nurse in Alabama who reports that her hospital is using hydrochloroquine and z packs and they are having great success with their patients as well.
Poster credibility really means nothing.
Either it is working or it isn’t. My sense is that it is, but we will all know for sure over the next week or so.”
Thanks for the info!
Prayers UP for your s-i-l and the effort to stop this epidemic!
“If ou are not dead in 10 days (likely 7 - 8) you will likely be a recovered patient.”
to which you replied:
BS. Chinese woman dead 35 days after hospitalization:
And? The original poster stated likely
There’s a couple teachers in my family and they’re setting up online learning with their students, really intense training and setting up equipment. So in Oregon at least teachers are heading back to work, albeit online work.
Is That a
Bad Thing,
Or Good ?
.
“Bat Soup Clazy” ???
.
Either way it’s
Brought to You
By
Winnie the Pooh.
And the cases came from the actions of a liberal judge.
you can soak them in ionic silver and when they dry probly have an effective mask....
Confucius say;
.
Call things by
Their True Name.
When this is over, they need to leave.
And everybody knows about it.
Kung Flu can kill in a week; and you can catch it from someone who you never met, who nobody knows is ill.
Makes a difference in emotional reactions, eh?
Board certified Emergency Physician with 30 years experience.
Former military Flight Surgeon.
8 years as EMS Medical Director.
Those are my credentials
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