Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
wow - reporter from local Fox news interviewing Theo Epstein and the crowd behind them chanting “ Dont sign Arod - resign Lowell “ so loudly the reporter acknowledges the crowd.
he’s the man.
HA... I love it! We members of Red Sox Nation think alike. Hope Theo is listening...
We're going to try to be there, as we were in 2004.
The only downside of this World Series win? Tickets to games at Fenway are gonna be even harder to get next season... ;-)
It's been a pleasure to watch the post-season series and the World Series with all of you. It's been a lot of fun, but also bittersweet, as baseball season comes to a close.
CONGRATULATIONS to the 2007 WORLD CHAMPIONS - THE BOSTON RED SOX!!!
Now off to bed at last...
YAHOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The offical post-World Series Championship, pre-All Hallows Eve poster. :-)
The Boston Red Soxs did it AGAIN!!!! The Red Soxs won the 2007 World Series Championship!!!!
Congrats to the team and all the faithful Red Soxs fans and those who supported us during the season and during the playoffs. A job well done. :-)
We have now earned our winter rest. Welcome to the hot stove league. :-)
From this CT FR to another, thanks for the excellent championship banner. :)
Congratulations
Thank you!!!
Thank-you Boston. :-)
You all have a GREAT time at the parade!!! I enjoyed the chat with the gang here.
Thank YOU again, GSC, for hosting the ALCS and WS threads. Thank you, big ol’ freeper for your most excellent “color commentary.”
Last but not least, rumor has it in L.A. this morning that the Dodgers may offer the manager position to....JOE TORRE!
If so, be lookin’ for us next year.
Kathleen
:)
Torre is a terrific manager and that would be a great move by the Dodgers.
What’s the weather gonna be like for the Papebon dance?
Right now here in Beverly MA it’s 42 degrees (acc. to
WeatherBug on my desktop)—it was 32 earlier...
Brr...
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