Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
|
|
||||
| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
|
| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
|
PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
BREAKING: No Pap dance in Denver He’ll do it in Boston
(just interviewed on Fox25)
Awwwww........When?!
Ditto: :)
It was nice watching the Series with the FR Sox fans, and thanks for not having me zotted when I blew up after the Tribe’s collapse. Congratulations, you deserve it.
We all blew up plenty after Grady Little in Game 7...
Thanks. Enjoyed it. Great season for your guys too and with the top two hurlers you should be VERY optimistic. I think its fair to say that a Sox/Tribe ALCS rematch is in the future in the next few years.
Thanks for posting. We celebrate real diversity and tolerance here.
>> Yankee fanatic Rudy Giuliani revealed yesterday that he is backing the hated Boston Red Sox in the World Series. EDITORIAL: Just Rudy Being Rudy Giuliani - who has a sign on his desk boasting he's the "Yankee Fan-In-Chief" - dropped the bombshell while campaigning in Boston and New Hampshire. Politics was clearly behind the move - even if it sparked outrage among fans in the Big Apple. New Hampshire - part of "Red Sox Nation" - holds the first-in-the-nation presidential primary. "I'm rooting for the Red Sox," Giuliani, owner of four Yank World Series rings, declared during a campaign event in a Boston restaurant, prompting thunderous applause. But the former mayor insisted his sudden allegiance to the Sox wasn't baseball's equivalent of a fan flip-flop - like Hillary Clinton pulled off when she moved to New York.
The Tribe is an excellent team and we might meet play again in next years playoffs.
Local television in SoCal showed two Red Sox fans who sold their WS tix and came here to help out with the relief efforts for victims of the wildfires...!!!
Next week...Pats and Colts!!
Pats 40-24
Wow! Good for them! No Yankees fan would ever do such a thing..
( I’m just kidding all you yankee fans! )
People are amazing in a crisis; it’s heartwarming.
A little ribbing is fun, too...
Well, I’m gonna see if the Dodgers get it together for next year; can’t wait for spring training...:)
I must bid you a fond goodnight. It is past my bedtime!
Good night, BB, sleep well.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.