Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
Don’t know about that but that was indeed the deal:
Sox win it all and you don’t pay (if bought within
time frame)
>> By SCOTT MAYEROWITZ
ABC NEWS Business Unit
Oct. 28, 2007
Thousands of Red Sox fans are hoping that their team will win the World Series, not just because they are loyal fans, but because they stand to get free furniture.
Free furniture?
That’s right. Thanks to a promotion at a regional furniture chain, nearly 30,000 people might get free couches, dining room tables, beds and mattresses.
Way back in March and April, Jordan’s Furniture ran a promotion: buy any sofa, dining room table, bed or mattress, and if the Red Sox win the World Series — yeah, go ahead and make your favorite joke about the once-cursed team — then the price of the furniture will be refunded.
Now, that championship could very likely be a reality, and millions of dollars’ worth of furniture could be given away.
“I’ve always been a Red Sox fan, lived in Boston my whole life,” said Eliot Tatelman, president and CEO of Jordan’s. “I said, ‘what a great way to support the team, what a great way to tie ourselves in with the Red Sox and what a great way to get everybody rooting for the Red Sox and sell a lot of furniture.’”
So, with all that money on the line, you would think that Tatelman is rooting for the Colorado Rockies, right?
No way.
Jordan’s — like most companies that run such promotions — has taken out prize indemnification insurance, which covers the payouts if the team wins the World Series.
“We’re rooting for the Red Sox, too,” Tatelman said.
Listen to WEEI and hear all the Tito haters call. Some Red Sox fans are permanently miserable.
Kielty is a cutie..
I thought you were a dude...your comment caught me off guard!
My name is feminine and so am I...:)
(sorry can't help myself *s*)
Red Sox the dominant team of this century
(which begins with 2001 not 2000)
2 championships
1 each for Ariz., Ana., Fla., ChiSox, St Louis
Oh dear-who was it this time? Deval? Kerry? Ted K? :)
I can't wait for Kerry to congratulate "Josh Papelbon", "Jacoby Pedroia", and manager "Terry Franconia" (as in NH) :)
Only 121 more days until catchers and pitchers report to spring training.
That is no dude...she is a lady.
Lol!
As is wasn’t an election year, I really wonder if those sox ‘ fans ‘ were even watching.
On WRKO: Larry lucchino talking to Geffner. They’re working out parade (rolling rally? duckboats a definite) details
with Da Mayah’s office.
Paps might be heading out to the field I think I heard...
maybe it’ll be on one of the channels. Only fans left
in Coors of course now are Sox fans. Rockie fans beat it
quickly.
Well, now I know of course! Sometimes I have no idea if someone I am conversing with on FR is male or female but then a comment is made and their gender is known which catches me off guard.
For sure...:)
An estimated 10K Sox fans were at game and they’re still there celebrating. Chanting “Re-sign Lowell”
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