Posted on 11/05/2022 9:13:34 PM PDT by Timber Rattler
Welcome to my newest update on Putin’s War in Ukraine. We are now 36 weeks — 254 days — since Russia launched an unprovoked attack on Ukraine. My last update can be found at Putin’s War, Week 35. The Lull Before the Next Storm. There has been some action, but the crappy weather has slowed things down. Also, both sides are somewhat tired after a punishing summer’s campaigning. I look at this period as the break when the fighters have returned to their corners.
Two significant items have been covered outside this update. First, the Pentagon is beefing up the number of weapons inspectors to ensure that weapons allocated to the Ukrainian Army end up there. Naturally, the folks who have been cheering Putin are claiming that this is a nefarious first step towards the US military fighting Russia a la Kennedy’s Special Forces advisors in South Vietnam. I think that is bullsh**, YMMV. If you’re interested, read more at The Pentagon Sends Weapons Security Inspectors to Ukraine; if You Thought Those Opposing Aid to Ukraine Were Happy, Think Again.
The second item is that after Ukraine launched an air-sea drone attack on Russia’s Black Sea Fleet at anchor in Sevastopol (Ukraine Carries out Extensive Drone Attack on Russia’s Black Sea Fleet Sevastopol Homeport), Putin declared that Russia was leaving the agreement that allowed Ukrainian grain to be shipped out of the war zone. By Wednesday, he’d backed down (Vladimir Putin Rejoins Ukraine Grain Deal After He Finds No One Cared That He Left).
(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...
Well hey - they got a statue of Lenin put back up - that’s got to count for something, right?
I’m sure you were just excited as could be when the statue of Lenin got put back up by Moscow officials in a Ukraine city they currently control.
Chuck Pfarrer | @PotempkinBrain reports that on 25 OCT the Anarcho-Communist Combat Organization (#БОАК) claimed to have blown a rail section linking RU to Ukraine & Belarus. The act was audacious, but charge placement was amaturish.
So you are cheering on anarcho-Communists now!
Lie down with dogs, wake up with fleas.
True, and hence the next post ;-)
I am a big fan of that Ukrainian Telegram Channel...having an inside source in the Office of the President and a willingness to tell truths whether favorable or unfavorable to Ukraine makes it unique.
Here are their most recent posts...very interesting to see how they see things.
Resident
⚡️⚡️⚡️#Inside
Our source in the OP said that negotiations are underway to freeze hostilities in Ukraine, with one Arab country acting as an intermediary. Zelensky opposes a freeze/truce, but the criminal cases against Kyrylo Tymoshenko and the offshore accounts of the Big Construction Project force the Office of the President to carry out the instructions of the Biden Administration, which is the main actor in the negotiation process.
Resident
Yesterday’s statements by Sullivan seem to indirectly confirm our #Inside , that there were negotiations between the US and Russia, but for America the conditions of the Russian Federation are unacceptable: “The US refuses to negotiate with the Russian Federation on the conditions under which it will keep the occupied parts of Ukraine. The very conditions under which the Russians are ready in principle to engage in dialogue are unacceptable, since all conversations must begin with the complete de-occupation of Ukraine.”
Russia offered to negotiate a truce in Ukraine in exchange for the fact that Russian troops withdraw from the right bank of the Dnieper and Kherson, thus, a new line of demarcation is fixed along the Dnieper and further along the front line.
Resident
⚡️⚡️⚡️#Inside
Our source in the OP said that Sullivan did not just come to Kiev yesterday, and public statements have nothing to do with the real topics that were discussed yesterday at Bankova. Biden’s national security adviser handed over the draft negotiations with the Kremlin, which are being conducted by the United States through the mediation of Arab countries, and also discussed the possible consequences for Ukraine from the victory of the Republicans in the congressional elections.
⚡️⚡️#Inside
Our source in the OP said that there are more and more problems with volunteers / mercenaries, and for the Armed Forces of Ukraine they turn into ballast. The morale of the soldiers who came from abroad has fallen sharply, it is becoming much harder to fight, they are not used to the late autumn weather and the hardships associated with it.
Systematically comes information that they refuse to obey the AFU commanders, violate discipline and complain to the Western media. If at the beginning of the war they played a significant role for the Ukrainian army, now the situation is changing dramatically.
https://t.me/resident_ua/14872
Telegram
Resident
⚡️⚡️⚡️#Inside
Our source in the OP said that foreign volunteers/mercenaries refused to take part in the assault on Kherson, which is why the entire operation is postponed for several weeks until the Armed Forces of Ukraine collect new reserves.
The main track of the diplomacy of the Office of the President is reparations from Russia worth a trillion dollars, according to the victory formula formulated by Andrey Yermak.
Zelensky said that the only condition for peace could be the restoration of Ukraine within the 1991 borders. And Yermak voiced the “victory formula” in the understanding of Ukraine: reaching the 1991 borders, Russia paying reparations and international security guarantees for Ukraine so that the Russian Federation does not attack again.
In other words, the compromise under the scheme “Russia withdraws from part of the occupied territories and a truce is concluded” will be publicly rejected.
#political season
Ukraine is actually cut off from export earnings. Even at the beginning of hostilities, the country suffered losses from the cessation of supplies of raw materials and industrial products, and now, after the Russian strikes on the critical energy infrastructure of Ukraine, it had to abandon the export of electricity to the European Union. And this is a very big minus not only for the Ukrainian economy as a whole, but also a lost source of payments for the supply of Western weapons.
Earlier, according to the Ministry of Energy of Ukraine, electricity was exported to the European Union, as well as by separate lines to Moldova and Poland. Ukrainian exports increased several times due to losses as a result of hostilities of their own industry (metallurgy, petrochemistry, mining) and territories. Against this background, Volodymyr Zelensky said that Ukraine, by increasing supplies, will gradually become “one of the guarantors of Europe’s energy security.” However, a series of Russian strikes on critical infrastructure, launched on October 10, led to a blackout in many cities and the loss of the energy security of Ukraine itself. It is noteworthy that the Russian Federation “killed two birds with one stone” - it not only pumps out the last resources from Ukraine, but also does not allow Europe to capitalize on the military conflict.
The same Poland counted that cheap Ukrainian electricity (three times cheaper than Polish) will help during the energy crisis, especially in winter. The Poles launched an additional transmission line from the Khmelnitsky nuclear power plant to Rzeszow with plans to increase supplies to 1000 MW per day and even wanted to export electricity, making money on it. Now these dreams will not come true, as well as the dreams of Romania, Slovakia and even Germany. And Ukraine, as the former “guarantor of Europe’s energy security,” has to buy electricity in Slovakia and ask the EU for help. Slovakia and even Germany.
Ukraine’s critical infrastructure is at its limit, which means that the next missile strikes could completely disable it.
Power outage schedules do not work Ukrenergo introduces emergency blackouts.
It is worth considering the fact that the cold has not yet come and the load is minimal, which means that the system will not be able to function in winter.
Resident
forwarded from
ZeRada
💵💵💵Options for 300 yards
EU lawyers were asked to evaluate possible options for the confiscation of Russia’s frozen financial assets.
Brussels officials want to force the Russian Federation to finance the supply of European weapons to Ukraine and the restoration of the destroyed infrastructure with the funds of the Russian Federation. Loud statements in this regard are intended to probe the possible response of the Russian Federation to such actions.
What can it be:
1️⃣Money is dust. As part of the Big Deal, the Russian Federation may concede these funds. If the main aspects - territorial and security - are resolved, then Moscow will not fight for some 300 billion. Morally, both the leadership and society said goodbye to this money. Economists understand that they were lost not at the moment of freezing, but when the Central Bank, instead of using them in the real sector, invested them in “reliable” assets.
2️⃣Triple hit. If there is no deal, then Putin is likely to prohibit Russian companies from repaying their loans to Western banks. Companies will continue to pay loans, but not to European banks, but to the fund of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. The condition for transferring them further to creditors will be the unfreezing and return of assets. This would be a triple blow to the EU banking market: reputational damage; assets from the balance sheets went to Ukraine and the military-industrial complex; Russian business does not repay loans, which are more than 400 billion.
3️⃣Financial exchange. A kind of offset of counterclaims. With it, the credit obligations of the Russian Federation can be repaid at the expense of frozen assets. Companies of the Russian Federation will begin to extinguish obligations directly to the Central Bank, within the country. The financial sector of the Russian Federation will improve even more, and the EU will not receive a knockout blow in the form of the refusal of the Russian Federation from obligations.
In the meantime, the parties are avoiding drastic steps. The reputation of the Western financial system has already been seriously tarnished by the freeze. More or less independent Central Banks such as Turkey and India go into gold.
Lawyers understand that there are NO real mechanisms for confiscation. Politi demand to create them. The banks are begging not to do it.
⚡️⚡️#InsideOur
source in the OP said that Sullivan discussed with Zelensky the possible timing of the counteroffensive on Kherson, for the Biden Administration this is the main goal in the fight against Russia at this stage. The President’s Office assured Sullivan that attacks southward would resume next week.
Really good source! Thank you.
I watched General MacGregor’s interview and he said that the US is supplying advisors but Zelinsky wasn’t listening to them, and that Zelinsky kept wanting to attack, attack attack.
MacGregor suggested this is probably because Zelinsky is trying to save himself. I also think it’s optics - our FR Ukrainian propagandists often hold up the offense position Zelinsky claims, pushing the (false) reasoning that if Zelinksy is attacking, it’s because he has the upper hand, is winning, has Russia on the ropes etc. *eye roll*
But in the post you made, the source seems to indicate that the US (Biden handlers) has found the leverage to force Zelinsky to do as they tell him.
This source seems to show the overall strategy - and the complex nature of Putin’s multi-layered approach. Makes Zelinsky’s handlers look like children by comparison.
LOL, Macgregor is a retired army colonel NOT a 'General' who has been constantly wrong in the past on Ukraine, so I'm not sure why you give him any credibility now.
Posted by Cathi on 6/21/2022
Macgregor believes their fight for territorial integrity is already lost. He dismisses glowing reports of Ukrainian tactical victories as a politically concocted “fiction.”
"The battle in eastern Ukraine is really almost over, all of the Ukrainian troops there have been largely surrounded and cut off. You have a concentration down in the Southeast of 30 or 40,000 of them, and if they don't surrender in the next 24 hours, I suspect Russia will ultimately annihilate them."
United States Army Colonel Douglas Macgregor
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/4072751/posts
Kedmi is a Russian asset (recruited by the KGB) and has been a regular guest in Solovyov's programs
Here, from 2016, you can see him supporting Stalin...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wW_ppFkO7QY
And baited the illicit warmongers in the White House and their neocon stooges into starting WWIII. Your crazy, Putin is an alien. Did your brainstorm come from reading the National Enquirer or a lesser source like FOX or the NYTs?
Foreigner, please don’t ping me to your conspiracy theories.
All Soros propaganda, all the time.
“”Yaakov Kedmi was not head of Israel´s Secret Service. He was head of Nativ 1992–1999 (fired by Netanyahu) It assisted immigration to Israel.
Kedmi is a Russian asset (recruited by the KGB) and has been a regular guest in Solovyov’s programs
Here, from 2016, you can see him supporting Stalin...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wW_ppFkO7QY “”
You sure exposed that quickly, a simple look at Wikipedia would have sufficed to show who this guy was.
Wikipedia
Career in the Russian Federation
In the 21st century, Kedmi became high-profile lecturer in geopolitics, and from 2014 also became a regular participant in various Russian TV shows. He has participated in televised round tables on Russian television supporting pro-Russia position in international political affairs. In November 2016, Kedmi defended Joseph Stalin while on a Russian show. He described Stalin as “the last statesman to take care of his country”.
Thanks, and is good to have original sources.
Is it possible that the results of Putin’s actions interfere with your agenda, or do you not recognize a joke when you see one?
The Ukrainian Orthodox council has elected a leader of the country's newly-established independent Orthodox church. The decision to cut ties with Moscow has caused a split within the Ukrainian church hierarchy.
https://www.dw.com/en/ukrainian-orthodox-leaders-seal-divorce-from-russian-church/a-46755901
The Russian organ has deleted all posts until 03SEP2019 when they had 22880 subscribers.
Maybe it is a surprise to someone, but Resident is a Russian disinformation channel.
Everyone here is missing the point. The woman was butt ugly. Guilty as hell. If I had a dog with a face like hers, I’d shave its tail and make it walk backwards.
I spent a lovely three weeks in Simferopol. The city deserves a better fate than what is coming to it.
Kyiv is a beautiful city. Ditto.
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