Keyword: prediction
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(This is from the middle, but go to the link and read it all.) Get those "sudden stop" plans in place - NOW. If you're in a big city you're in big trouble. Find friends or relatives that aren't and see what you can do about a place to go where you have a reasonable shot at avoiding the worst of this. Look, all-out civil unrest (or worse) is a low-probability event but if you get trapped in a big city and the worst comes that city will go feral within hours and become a free-fire zone. What's worse, many...
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Riyadh, Saudi Arabia -- Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) attacked vital Saudi Arabian oil infrastructure today in a move analysts fear will escalate the growing conflict in the Persian Gulf and further deepen the worldwide oil crisis. Several Iranian surface-to-surface missiles struck the Saudi Arabian oil processing facility at Abqaiq at approximately 3:30 a.m. Iranian authorities claimed the strike was in retaliation for Saudi Arabia granting the Israeli Air Force (IAF) permission to cross through its airspace en route to bombing Iranian nuclear facilities two weeks ago. "They committed an act of war in aiding the Zionist attack and...
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Just over two weeks have passed since Arizona Governor Jan Brewer signed into law the Support Our Law Enforcement and Safe Neighborhoods Act, or SB 1070. It is otherwise known simply as Arizona’s tough new anti-illegal immigration law. The primary goal of the law is to help law enforcement officials identify and charge foreigners who are in the state of Arizona illegally (otherwise known as illegal immigrants). However, there have been some secondary effects of the law which will also benefit the state of Arizona in a way that should cause other states to emulate its provisions. In the world...
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Madam Secretary sends her regrets. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton got a pass last week from President Obama to skip Wednesday night's State of the Union speech. (We had heard she begged to be excused, but apparently it didn't come to that.) Seems there's an important international meeting Wednesday in London on battling radicalization in Yemen, and then another, long-planned conference there Thursday on development and security in Afghanistan. But London does not qualify as an "undisclosed location." So this means there will be two Cabinet officers not attending the speech: Clinton and the designated holdback in case of...
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I don't know who will win the Super Bowl or the World Series. I imagine the economy will remain flat, struggling under weighty government regulation and taxation with uncertainty added in for good measure, but I really don't know. This I do Know: The liberal establishment will do their damnedest to splinter usIt's the only shot liberals have at stopping the conservative onslaught. The press will shine a white hot spot spot light upon every microscopic crack and fissure within the conservative movement. These minuscule differences will be played up into grand canyons and unbridgeable chasms. Liberals will be driving...
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Recape Predictions for 2009 Business/Economy 1) The last half of 2008 will be declared a recession and it will continue through the first quarter. We will have little growth in the 2nd and 3rd quarter, modest growth in the 4th quarter. >Right 2) The Dow will finish at 11,500 on the last trading day of 2009, which will be Thursday, December 31st. >probably not 3) Dollar at the end of 2009 will equal € 1.32 > No ADD strikes again. I meant to say 1 Euro = $1.32 - No either way 4) Unemployment will peak in early fall. >TBD...
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Well, that time of the year again. You can see my predictions and links on my site. But onward and upward!
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The Collapse of 2010 In November of 2007, we predicted the "Panic of ’08." There was a panic. In November of 2008, we forecast the "Collapse of ’09." In March ‘09, the global equity markets collapsed. But before they could crash all the way to the ground, a scaffold of emergency props was erected. An unparalleled array of government cash infusions, rescue packages, bailouts and incentives papered over the crisis. Today, even as government spokesmen and the major media proclaim that the world is emerging from its near-cataclysmic recession, we predict the "Crash of 2010." The rising equity markets, on...
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Freeper dfwgator wondered how long it would take for the left to tire of obama and start calling him a racist name.
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This is a continuation of the Lion's example we did the other day. Every nicety you can think of has been ignored (details under the table). I won't even guarantee that I have copied the win/loss record correctly, as I did this by hand. The probabilities that at least one team wins or losses all games is printed below. This table shows, for each team, the probability of winning 0 games, 1 game, ..., 16 games. It has been sorted so that the team (the Patriots) with the highest probability of winning 16 is first, and the team (the Lions)...
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There is a long list of professions that failed to see the financial crisis brewing. Wall Street bankers and deal-makers top it, but banking regulators are on it as well, along with the Federal Reserve. Politicians and journalists have shared the blame, as have mortgage lenders and even real estate agents. But what about economists? Of all the experts, weren't they the best equipped to see around the corners and warn of impending disaster?
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Degrees of Bearishness: press report of a recent event with Nouriel Roubini, Meredith Whitney and other bearish analysts Nouriel Roubini | Apr 14, 2009 Guru Focus reports on a recent event in Toronto where the featured speakers were Meredith Whitney, other bearish analysts and myself. As I have argued over and over again I am not a perma-bear and will be the first to call for a sustained economic recovery and recovery of the financial markets when I see one. And while now the real economy is not any more in the L-shaped free fall in which it was in...
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The Great Depression, the Carter Stagflation, and the Bush-Obama Downturn all follow a pattern that is striking: The economic peaks are separated by almost exactly 35 years. There are also suggestive patterns in politics, military affairs, and technology, all of which are tied into the repeating pattern. Perhaps we can use this to see where we are and where we will go financially, politically, and technologically.
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Apparently, former presidential candidate, Senator, maverick and jokester, John McCain, is fond of saying, "It is always darkest just before it goes totally black." In that same jocular spirit, I give my predictions for the Obama Administration, short term and long. Let the hilarity ensue. 1. Obama and the Democrats will pass a massive stimulus bill. It will come with a cost of about $849 billion. That is, it will cost just a smidgeon less than the $850 billion bailout proposed, pushed and passed by President Bush and supported by Senator McCain. Thus the Democrats will be able to deflect...
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Prediction: Drive-Bys Will Start Saying Economy is Getting BetterJanuary 9, 2009 BEGIN TRANSCRIPT RUSH: Now, Snerdley has asked a good question. Rare, but good question. When it doesn't work, aren't the American people going to blame the guy in charge? Well, who's that going to be? Obama? I am surprised at this question. I'm surprised that you would ask this question. Do you think the American people are going to blame Obama? Let me tell you what's going to happen. Mark this date down, January 9th, 2009. Within a week -- 'cause it's already actually started -- within a week...
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Predict the following: 1) 1st Cabinet member to resign 2) 1st Cabinet member to require a "special counsel" 3) Country of first international crises 4) Date of first editorial in the NY Times or Washington Post that is openly critical of Obama administration. 5) 1st member of the Black Congressional Caucus to criticize Obama. 6) First moonbat celebrity to call Obama an Uncle Tom. 7) First SCOTUS member to step down under Obama - all bets are on Justice Stevens.
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Okay, I'll start: 1) Blagojevich walks scott free 2) My salary continues to remain stagnate 3) The bailout results in a massive debt to taxpayers with zero benefit to them 4) Iran aquires nuclear weapons and we (including Bush) failed to do anything about it 5) Jamie Gertz continue's to become even more attractive as she ages
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Winners: Axis of evil- MSM-leftists-Islamic fascists, George Soros, who was behind Obama and gave Obama maximum campaign amount within 24 hours of Obama’s public announcement , Big Union, gun-grabbers, illegals, drug peddlers, criminals Losers- military, gun-owners, taxpayers, and really all Americans, including those who naively voted for the False Messiah! Stocks Have Biggest Post-Election Slump! That’s just a starter.... My 22 Predictions: 1. He will get his leftist cronies to vote in the biggest budget, massively cut defenses to help pay for his social programs, and sooner or later will have to increase taxes for working Americans. 2. Recession will...
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1. Regis and Kelly show online poll this AM : How will you vote today? McCain 54% Obama 45%. 2. Obama has not solidified 4 key groups within the party: women, Jewish, Union, and the elderly. Obama has only 75% of the Jewish vote last checked, just like Kerry. Gore got 90% . 3. Al the PUMA (Hillary supporters) and NOBAMA sites we checked are motivated to beat Obama.. PUMAs.. ARE real, they are definitely going to give BO a heart attack today! They have agreed to lie to Pollsters they will vote for Obama. 4. Raining in Critical Pro-Obama...
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British Journalist, Simon Jenkins, Sunday Times, wrote today, "Obama Stock Is Overpriced; Sell, Sell" I will share several reasons/factors why McCain will likely win. I first wrote about 2 months ago ,”10 reasons why I believe McCain will win .” Then I lost faith, but regained it recently. Dick Morris wrote that if Obama wasn’t getting 50% in the final polls, it could spell trouble, because the undecided will break heavily for McCain. Old rule in politics that an incumbent candidate is always in danger when he dips under 50 percent, even if he is leading his opponent in the...
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