Posted on 09/12/2009 4:26:30 AM PDT by mattstat
This is a continuation of the Lion's example we did the other day. Every nicety you can think of has been ignored (details under the table). I won't even guarantee that I have copied the win/loss record correctly, as I did this by hand. The probabilities that at least one team wins or losses all games is printed below.
This table shows, for each team, the probability of winning 0 games, 1 game, ..., 16 games. It has been sorted so that the team (the Patriots) with the highest probability of winning 16 is first, and the team (the Lions) with the lowest probability is shown last. All probabilities are rounded: probabilities less than 1% are shown as 0. The *most likely* number of games won is in bold.
Somebody remind me after the season to check how good these predictions were...
(Excerpt) Read more at wmbriggs.com ...
Not too bad overall. Dolphins, Cowboys, Falcons, and Saints are too low. Jets, Vikings, Bills, Redskins, and Bengals too high...
hh
My prediction is that the hapless pile of rubbish Oakland Raiders will make a decent defensive play, dance around like a-holes, get burned by a simple draw play - TWICE - and give up two ridiculously easy touchdowns to a Charger team they’ve not beaten since we went to war.
Buggers I hate when I’m right. And what I REALLY think about that sorry sack of steaming offal would probably get me banned.
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