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Freeper dfwgator wondered how long it would take for the left to tire of obama and start calling him a racist name.

This is a continuation of the Lion's example we did the other day. Every nicety you can think of has been ignored (details under the table). I won't even guarantee that I have copied the win/loss record correctly, as I did this by hand. The probabilities that at least one team wins or losses all games is printed below. This table shows, for each team, the probability of winning 0 games, 1 game, ..., 16 games. It has been sorted so that the team (the Patriots) with the highest probability of winning 16 is first, and the team (the Lions)...

There is a long list of professions that failed to see the financial crisis brewing. Wall Street bankers and deal-makers top it, but banking regulators are on it as well, along with the Federal Reserve. Politicians and journalists have shared the blame, as have mortgage lenders and even real estate agents. But what about economists? Of all the experts, weren't they the best equipped to see around the corners and warn of impending disaster?

Degrees of Bearishness: press report of a recent event with Nouriel Roubini, Meredith Whitney and other bearish analysts Nouriel Roubini | Apr 14, 2009 Guru Focus reports on a recent event in Toronto where the featured speakers were Meredith Whitney, other bearish analysts and myself. As I have argued over and over again I am not a perma-bear and will be the first to call for a sustained economic recovery and recovery of the financial markets when I see one. And while now the real economy is not any more in the L-shaped free fall in which it was in...

The Great Depression, the Carter Stagflation, and the Bush-Obama Downturn all follow a pattern that is striking: The economic peaks are separated by almost exactly 35 years. There are also suggestive patterns in politics, military affairs, and technology, all of which are tied into the repeating pattern. Perhaps we can use this to see where we are and where we will go financially, politically, and technologically.

Apparently, former presidential candidate, Senator, maverick and jokester, John McCain, is fond of saying, "It is always darkest just before it goes totally black." In that same jocular spirit, I give my predictions for the Obama Administration, short term and long. Let the hilarity ensue. 1. Obama and the Democrats will pass a massive stimulus bill. It will come with a cost of about $849 billion. That is, it will cost just a smidgeon less than the $850 billion bailout proposed, pushed and passed by President Bush and supported by Senator McCain. Thus the Democrats will be able to deflect...

Prediction: Drive-Bys Will Start Saying Economy is Getting BetterJanuary 9, 2009 BEGIN TRANSCRIPT RUSH: Now, Snerdley has asked a good question. Rare, but good question. When it doesn't work, aren't the American people going to blame the guy in charge? Well, who's that going to be? Obama? I am surprised at this question. I'm surprised that you would ask this question. Do you think the American people are going to blame Obama? Let me tell you what's going to happen. Mark this date down, January 9th, 2009. Within a week -- 'cause it's already actually started -- within a week...

Predict the following: 1) 1st Cabinet member to resign 2) 1st Cabinet member to require a "special counsel" 3) Country of first international crises 4) Date of first editorial in the NY Times or Washington Post that is openly critical of Obama administration. 5) 1st member of the Black Congressional Caucus to criticize Obama. 6) First moonbat celebrity to call Obama an Uncle Tom. 7) First SCOTUS member to step down under Obama - all bets are on Justice Stevens.

Okay, I'll start: 1) Blagojevich walks scott free 2) My salary continues to remain stagnate 3) The bailout results in a massive debt to taxpayers with zero benefit to them 4) Iran aquires nuclear weapons and we (including Bush) failed to do anything about it 5) Jamie Gertz continue's to become even more attractive as she ages

Winners: Axis of evil- MSM-leftists-Islamic fascists, George Soros, who was behind Obama and gave Obama maximum campaign amount within 24 hours of Obama’s public announcement , Big Union, gun-grabbers, illegals, drug peddlers, criminals Losers- military, gun-owners, taxpayers, and really all Americans, including those who naively voted for the False Messiah! Stocks Have Biggest Post-Election Slump! That’s just a starter.... My 22 Predictions: 1. He will get his leftist cronies to vote in the biggest budget, massively cut defenses to help pay for his social programs, and sooner or later will have to increase taxes for working Americans. 2. Recession will...

1. Regis and Kelly show online poll this AM : How will you vote today? McCain 54% Obama 45%. 2. Obama has not solidified 4 key groups within the party: women, Jewish, Union, and the elderly. Obama has only 75% of the Jewish vote last checked, just like Kerry. Gore got 90% . 3. Al the PUMA (Hillary supporters) and NOBAMA sites we checked are motivated to beat Obama.. PUMAs.. ARE real, they are definitely going to give BO a heart attack today! They have agreed to lie to Pollsters they will vote for Obama. 4. Raining in Critical Pro-Obama...

British Journalist, Simon Jenkins, Sunday Times, wrote today, "Obama Stock Is Overpriced; Sell, Sell" I will share several reasons/factors why McCain will likely win. I first wrote about 2 months ago ,”10 reasons why I believe McCain will win .” Then I lost faith, but regained it recently. Dick Morris wrote that if Obama wasn’t getting 50% in the final polls, it could spell trouble, because the undecided will break heavily for McCain. Old rule in politics that an incumbent candidate is always in danger when he dips under 50 percent, even if he is leading his opponent in the...

Less we forget. The Drive bys will be out in full force tomorrow. Lucky for all of the Freepers they will not be in front of the T.V because they will be out Getting out the vote and voting themselves. It's all about turnout. We Turnout, we win, that simple. If you're thinking of not turning out (or you know others who are) remind them that it only takes 2 years to bring about full blown socialism Freedom over Fairness! Freedom is Fairness! Pray and Work for it

Obama will lose for a combination of unique reasons in this most unique of election years.

This is a thread for everyone to make their election prediction in terms of Popular Vote and Electoral College.

Here is my prediction... shortly after the election (if Obama wins), the democrats will publish numbers showing a dramatic deficit of projected federal revenues as the result of the current economic crisis. They will declare that Obama's promise to cut taxes for 95% of Americans simply will not be possible because too many tax payers will be reporting losses or significantly reduced income. They will cover for Barry by placing the blame again on Bush's failed policies, and request that the new president submit a revised proposal in light of the new projections of federal revenue.

A couple of conservative union electricians cause the teleprompter to short-out at Invesco field, requiring that Obama read from notes. His acceptance speech takes four hours and the coffee vendors make millions. Hillary travels to Fort Collins with Patricia Schroeder to have a bake sale to feed the homeless.

We just had a very strong earthquake which fiercely rocked and rolled the main Island of Honshu in Japan. TV broke with news on all channels IN ADVANCE OF EARTHQUAKE, warning people to "get ready". 8:43 a.m. local time Saturday (just about 10 minutes ago). 7:43 p.m. Friday Eastern Time. Then, sure enough, the long, rolling shaking began, and increased in intensity. I estimate the shaking to have gone on for at least 45 seconds. It hit here at 8:45 a.m. It literally gave us 2 minutes to prepare. I have never experienced an advance earthquake warning. The epicenter is...

Republicans (In alphabetical order): Democrats (In alphabetical order):

Happy New Year's Eve to all at Free Republic!!! Make your predictions for 2008. Good Luck!!!

Despite overwhelming military superiority, the world’s most powerful nations failed to achieve their objectives in 39 percent of their military operations since World War II, according to a new University of Georgia study. The study, by assistant professor Patricia L. Sullivan in the UGA School of Public and International Affairs, explains the circumstances under which more powerful nations are likely to fail and creates a model that allows policymakers to calculate the probability of success in current and future conflicts. “If you know some key variables – like the major objective, the nature of the target, whether there’s going to...

Energy and Environment Subcommittee Chairman Nick Lampson (D-TX) has asked the Administrators of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) for answers regarding a research satellite which now has a second job helping hurricane forecasters sharpen their predictions about the paths these massive storms will follow. The QuikSCAT satellite, which tracks wind data at the ocean surface, is a NASA research mission which is producing data that NOAA finds valuable for improving predictions on the movement of hurricanes and the point of landfall. The Director of the Hurricane Center recently stated that...

Mexico's 'grand warlock' predicts Castro's death, no border fence in 2007 By THERESA BRAINE | Associated Press January 3, 2007 MEXICO CITY (AP) - Fidel Castro will be dead by May. Presidential candidate-turned-protest leader Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador will fade into obscurity. The anti-immigration wall between the United States and Mexico will not get built. These and a dozen other predictions are what's in store for 2007, Mexico's self-proclaimed "Grand Warlock" said Wednesday in his annual forecast for the new year. Antonio Vazquez, better known as the "Brujo Mayor," has made predictions since 1980 on events ranging from politics and...

Here are my predictions for the results of each Senate race: Arizona: Kyl (R) 54%, Pederson (D) 45%, Mack (L) 1% California: Feinstein (D) 63%, Mountjoy (R) 35%, others 2% Connecticut: Lieberman (I) 52%, Lamont (D) 38%, Schlesinger (R) 9%, others 1% Delaware: Carper (D) 62%, Ting (R) 35%, others 3% Florida: Nelson (D) 57%, Harris (R) 42%, others 1% Hawaii: Akaka (D) 72%, Thielen (R) 27%, Mallan (L) 1% Indiana: Lugar (R) 95%, Osborn (L) 5% Maine: Snowe (R) 66%, Bright (D) 31%, Slavick (I) 3% Maryland: Cardin (D) 50%, Steele (R) 48%, Zeese (G) 2% Massachusetts: Kennedy (D)...

Dick Morris is at it again. Just on Fox, he believes the Dems will take both houses, creating "hell in wheels for Bush and his cabinet," who will, he predicts, spend the next two years under indictment and subpoena. His take is that the Repub base that elected Bush twice will largely sit this one out and those that do vote are more evenly split betweeen Dem and Repub. He also predicts Hillary will win in 08 by "having grown the numerator." In his words, there were 19 million single women in 2000, most of whom did not vote. By...

After looking at the news for the past 10 days or so, I have to wonder how Democrats can possibly fail in their efforts to take both the House and the Senate. The national atmospherics don’t merely favor Democrats; they set the stage for a blowout of cosmic proportions next month. No, that’s not a prediction, since Republicans still have a month to “localize” enough races to hold onto one or both chambers of Congress. But you don’t have to be Teddy White or V.O. Key to know that the GOP is now flirting with disaster.

In a curious way, the former Rep. Mark Foley (R-Fla.) scandal will be to the Republican congressional leadership what the Monica Lewinsky imbroglio was to the Clinton presidency. After all the boring scandals — Whitewater, Hillary’s investments, Paula Jones, Travelgate, the FBI files, the Rose Law Firm’s billing records — the Lewinsky scandal seared into everyone’s consciousness. Those who failed to read the many volumes of Whitewater documents published by The Wall Street Journal or who despaired of following the paper trail that led to the Travel Office firings could easily grasp the simple facts of Clinton’s dalliance with Monica....

U.S. scientists are predicting we will soon enjoy precision climate modeling, offering detail and scale only imagined a few years ago. John Drake and David Erickson at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory's computer science and mathematics division say it's possible for scientists to create meteorological models that take into account such things as the complete carbon cycle, terrestrial biology, El Ninos and hundreds of other factors. The goal is to provide what scientists call a fully integrated Earth system model that can be simulated every 15 minutes for centuries. "Before, we had to make compromises that ultimately limited the resolution...

As many of you here in West Virginia know, Senator Byrd's wife died recently. And that he was married for 55+ years. Which means the 6-month rule may come into play: i.e. with long, stable marriages, spouses often die within 6 months of each other. . . Which, in turn, means we may well be looking at an Open Seat, come November, or, alternately, Senator Byrd dying AFTER filing/nominating dates close: the "Missouri" scenario that bit John Ashcroft. So, putting on my old hat as a contingency planner (acquired while I was in the Air Force). . . . what...

Two days ago, I began to discuss what I believe to be the best way to predict congressional elections. Developed first by Edward Tufte and later refined by Gary Jacobson, the “Tufte/Jacobson theory” is starting point I have chosen. It argues that we can predict the outcome of a congressional election based upon three factors: exposure, presidential job approval and changes in real disposable income per capita (RDI/cap). It is time to supply the details, supplement the theory with some extra concerns, and make a prediction for 2006.Exposure is the extent to which the party of the President is above...

It seems like an attack on Iran is coming soon. Place your bet as to when the attack will begin. Whoever gets closest to the date and time wins. Attack time must be specified in Month, Day, Year, Hour, and Minute For the hour, don't forget to specify what time zone you are referring to. There is no decision on a prize to be awarded yet except for bragging rights.

CIA Leak Will Blow Up in Democrat Faces November 3, 2005 BEGIN TRANSCRIPT RUSH: As many of you know, I have been suspicious of this whole Joe Wilson and Valerie Plame Niger CIA story for a long time, and I wouldn't be surprised -- I can't make the allegation but I wouldn't be surprised -- if before this is all over we learn that the whole thing was an attempted coup, if you will, to send this guy Wilson over to Niger to purposely undermine the Bush war on terror and the Bush administration and hopefully have an effect on...

The prophetic prognosticators are at the prediction game again. Greg Laurie, author of Are We Living in the Last Days?,” is peering through contemporary events like Hurricane Katrina, earthquakes, 9–11, and the tsunami that struck Southeast Asia on December 26, 2004 and claiming that these events are a prelude to the “rapture” of the church. George Noory, host of “Coast to Coast AM,” follows a similar line of thought. “I don't think there’s any doubt. I think we’re really in [the end times].” We’ve read about similar predictions for centuries. Nearly 20 centuries of predictions of the end have yellowed...

Where was the Mayor of New Orleans and what was he doing Friday night while the storm threatened the city? The National Hurricane Center issues periodic forcast tracks for tropical storms and hurricanes. By Friday afternoon it became clear New Orleans was in harm's way. And by Friday night a direct hit was likely.Yet the Mayor did very little until Sunday, when he finally ordered a manditory evacuation. Of all the persons most interested in the safety of the people of New Orleans, the Mayor should have been the most interested. Yet Friday night, when he should have been planning...

After his prophetic prediction of last Sunday: a terror attack in the "coming days" comes true, America's Youngest Political Columnist, C-F Nadd, responds to the current situation in London and elsewhere around the free world. Direct quote: "virtually all Muslims want Islam to take over the world." See the full argument and what Nadd says comes next in the war on terror. The new column is up at Nadd.com! If you're not reading Nadd, you're not in the know ...

PASADENA, Calif. - California residents wondering if tomorrow's forecast will be sunny now can find out if there's also a chance of afternoon tremors. For the first time, they can check a daily earthquake forecast on the Internet just as easily as they check the weather. The Web site, maintained by the U.S. Geological Survey, is updated hourly and calculates the probability of strong ground shaking at specific locations over a 24-hour period. The program is not meant to predict when the "Big One" will occur nor serve as a warning signal for residents to evacuate. Most of the maps...

Clarion Call To Avert West Coast Disaster Burdell Austin For several years many of you have been getting words of warning, dreams, and visions of an earthquake and tsunami in this region [U.S. West Coast]. I join many who sense it is time to mobilize an army of worshiping warriors, who will go before the Lord in humility for those sins committed on the land that give legal right to the adversary to perform acts of violence. As we hear from the Lord regarding specific repentance needed to cleanse the land, we will then have the blood-bought authority of the...

HONG KONG, April 12 (RIA Novosti's Mark Zavadsky) - In the coming three decades, Russia is going to rank third or fourth in the world in terms of the economic growth. The forecast was voiced by Jonathan Anderson, the former IMF representative in Russia and investment research center managing director of Swiss finance group UBS, in his interview with RIA Novosti. In the coming decades, Russia will rival Brazil for the third position in the world as far as the economic growth rate is concerned, trailing only China and India, Anderson said. According to him, Russia can definitely count on...

Eleven days ago, a team of earthquake experts published a scientific paper precisely describing how the titanic tsunami-generating earthquake off Sumatra on Dec. 26 greatly raised risks of a fresh offshore earthquake. The earthquake they described was almost exactly like the one that struck yesterday. The paper's authors and other experts had calculated how the December shock increased stress on the adjacent section of the Sunda Trench, a seam in the earth's crust where one plate dives beneath another. The pressure greatly increased the chance that the seam would fail, they said. The new earthquake was generated when the plates...

Scientist foresaw Sumatran quake Research showed area was ripe for temblor By Kimm Groshong , Staff WriterArticle Published: Sunday, March 06, 2005 - 8:25:08 PM PST PASADENA -- When the magnitude-9.0 earthquake and resultant tsunami devastated Sumatra and much of the Bay of Bengal on Dec. 26, Kerry Sieh's premonition became a nightmarish reality. The Caltech geology professor had studied the history of giant earthquakes just south of the epicenter for about a decade and knew full well the damage such a major quake in that part of the world could inflict. He had tried to get the word out...

If only people had been warned. An hour's notice for those living and vacationing along the coastlines of the Indian Ocean might have saved thousands of lives. But predictions, and acting on them, are not simple, geoscience experts say. "It's an inexact science now," said Dr. Laura S. L. Kong, a Commerce Department seismologist and director of the International Tsunami Information Center, an office in Honolulu run under the auspices of the United Nations. According to a NASA Web site devoted to tsunamis, three of four tsunami warnings issued since 1948 have been false, and the cost of the false...

Indian scientists recently found a scientific method of predicting earthquakes quite accurately. The great quake of Sumatra along Andaman fault line on December 26th, could have been predicted if the world would have taken these scientists seriously. If this theory is true, we are in for many mega earthquakes soon. When two or more planets, moon and earth and sun come in one line, these mega earthquakes happen. The sun influences the rotation of earth. Now imagine you are in a train or bus. If all on a sudden the driver pushes the brake, you tend to move forward...

Some knew it was comingE SARAVANAN Chennai, Dec 27:   N Venkatanath, research scholar, and N Rajeshwara Rao, research supervisor, Department of Applied Geology, University of Madras.  Photo: A Prathap         The memories and the trauma caused by the tidal wave that washed out parts of coastal Chennai and other parts of the State yesterday will haunt the minds of the people for a long time to come.         It is a tough task to forget the damage left behind by the wave that was triggered by an earthquake in far off Indonesia. The Richter scale recorded the quake to...

Stunned Dems, jubilant GOP look for lessons By Peter Savodnik November 4, 2004 Americans want gutsy, unwavering leadership on the war on terrorism, judges who won’t make laws, energy independence and a government that cuts taxes and spends less of their money. Above all, they want a president and a Congress that will lead the world and not be led by world opinion. Those were some of the lessons an emboldened Republican Party took away from Tuesday night’s election results, as the GOP held on to the White House for another four years and padded its House and Senate majorities....

I posted my state by state election prediction on F R very early the morning (12:24am) of the election. I found a couple of typos and posted the corrections (post #12) before 2am.

You, dear reader, have the advantage over me. I am writing this Sunday, before the election takes place. The opportunities for me to look foolish are legion. So I will resist both predictions and triumphalism. For months, though, I’ve been assessing President Bush’s vulnerability, but win or lose, it is important to acknowledge the daunting challenge Sen. John Kerry faces. Republicans have been spinning this fact for months and they are right. First, we simply do not defeat an incumbent president in wartime. After wars surely, but never in their midst. Republicans have been spinning this fact for months, and...

I had to add this to the political humor category due to her silly comment: After reviewing the final data from the GW-Battleground Poll, Lake made the following prediction: "If Republicans ARE successful in suppressing Democrats' edge in turnout: 49.9% for Kerry to 49.4% for Bush and .7% for Nader/other. However, if Republicans are NOT successful in suppressing Democrats' edge in turnout, then we would predict a slightly larger margin for Kerry: 50.7% for Kerry to 48.6% for Bush and .7% for Nader/other".

http://jaycost.blogspot.com/2004/11/poll-update.html Probability of Best Path for Minimal Bush EV Victory (NM, FL, WI): 91.4% Probability of Best Path for Minimal Kerry EV Victory (PA, OH, FL): 0.2% Analysis: I cleaned out all the old polls (i.e. those released before 10.27) and, lo and behold, it would seem that Bush now has a lead in PA! His lead in OH has strengthened, and his lead in FL, IA, WI remain strong. I still maintain that (A) PA is the true toss-up in this race; (B) Minnesota will be the dark horse Bush victory. Also, to correct my predicted EV score, it...

Feedback Doctor 2004 Presidential Prediction State Bush Kerry Nader Bush% Kerr% Na % Bu Ke Alabama 1,065,707 668,559 5,694 61.25 38.43 0.33 9 Alaska 154,549 86,021 2,430 63.60 35.40 1.00 3 Arizona 813,334 700,166 NA 53.74 46.26 0.00 10 Arkansas 493,423 545,852 5,525 53.74 46.26 0.53 6 California 4,990,484 6,223,016 NA 44.50 55.50 0.00 55 Colorado 945,813 845.322 22,565 52.38 46.38 1.24 9 Connecticut 655,055 773,813 23,932 45.09 53.26 1.65 7 Delaware 156,937 171,324 7,139 46.79 51.08 2.13 3 Florida 3,272,250 3,074,254 75,596 50.95 47.87 1.18 27 Georgia 1,587,990 1,127,810 NA 58.47 41.53 0.00 15 Hawaii 188,478 190,422 NA...

Hi Everyone! Election day is finally here! Praise be to Allah, the all merciful. There are really only six States in play, IA, WI, and OH for Bush, and NH, MN, PA, for Kerry. Frankly, the rest of you, just don't matter. I know the talking heads keep talking about Hawaii, but that is just to keep you up late, to see more laxative commercials. Heck, the chances are better that the Red Sox will win the World Series, than Hawaii will vote Republican. Perhaps, you never should say, never. The bottom line is that Kerry must have Ohio and...