Again today, I noticed a couple of talking heads discussing the election in terms of the "right track" or "wrong track" poll question, as if this single question were the sole indicator of the President's re-election prospects. In the past I think this might have been true. But times have changed, as well as circumstances, to the point that I now believe that this correlation was never more than mere coincidence. Coincidence is simply two (or more) events or circumtances occurring close enough together that they appear to be associated in a non-random way. These occur frequently enough to keep...
