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@paulsperry_BREAKING: Latest RCP meta-polling shows momentum shift toward Trump with Trump eating into Biden's nat'l lead by 1.5+ points and narrowing his lead in key battleground states, including Penn & NC, where 1 poll shows Trump has tied it up, while Sen. Tillis has tied up his race too

New IBD/TIPP Poll Shows Trump Surging--Within 2.3% Nationally Biden 48.1 Trump 45.8 "Republicans are rallying around Trump. Biden is leaking Democratic support. . . ."

https://www.investors.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-race-tightens-like-2016-ibd-tipp-2020-presidential-poll/ Leading by ONLY 2.3%..... :-)

IBD/TIPP daily tracking poll has Trump closing the gap with Biden Biden: 48.1 Trump: 45.8 https://www.investors.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-race-tightens-like-2016-ibd-tipp-2020-presidential-poll/

A poll released from the Pew Research Center shows that a large majority of Republicans believe the United States has handled the coronavirus pandemic well, claiming the threat is overblown. Of those surveyed, 71 percent of Republicans are satisfied with how the United States has handled the outbreak and spread of coronavirus while only 10 percent of Democrats who took part in the survey agree. In total, 38 percent of American adults stated the United States handled the pandemic as well as it could have.

Texas remains a toss-up in the presidential race. But Democrat Joe Biden’s modest – and somewhat startling – lead over President Donald Trump has evaporated in the last two months. From a 5-point edge in early July, Biden now lags Trump by 2 points among likely Texas voters in a poll released Sunday by The Dallas Morning News and University of Texas at Tyler. Trump’s lead is 48-46. That turnaround is sure to gladden the hearts of Republicans, who have no hope of controlling the White House without Texas. But as Trump has clawed his way back into contention just...

Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden and President Donald Trump are statistically tied in Pennsylvania, a Restoration PAC/Trafalgar Group survey released Monday — nearly two weeks out from the presidential election — revealed. The survey, taken October 13-15 among 1,041 likely voters, showed Trump narrowing the gap in Pennsylvania, with Biden leading by just 1.1 percent — 47.5 percent to the president’s 46.4 percent. As has been the emerging theme in several recent surveys in key Rust Belt states, Biden’s lead is within the margin of error, which is +/- 2.96 percent.

Apprised of Gallup poll results showing that 56% of voters say they are better off than they were during the Obama Administration's last year, Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden advised these people "not to vote for me. Such a belief is a warning sign of mental deficiency. These people shouldn't be voting. They'll just muck up the results." "I know polls show that only a third of Americans rated the economy as good or excellent during the Obama years and that nearly two-thirds said this about the Trump years, but to me the Obama years were great years," Biden insisted....

Here are the RETURNED Florida VBM numbers for 2020 (these are returned ballots but not yet counted). 43.5% of VBM ballots have been returned at this point. 42.0% of REP ballots have been returned and 47.1% of DEM ballots have been returned. 10/19/20: REPs - 757,694, DEMs - 1,227,883, lead of 470,189 for DEMs, 48.9% to 30.2% 10/18/20: REPs - 753,711, DEMs - 1,221,809, lead of 468,098 for DEMs, 48.9% to 30.2% 10/17/20: REPs - 726,797, DEMs - 1,185,892, lead of 459,095 for DEMs, 49.1% to 30.1% 10/16/20: REPs - 681,111, DEMs - 1,124,439, lead of 443,328 for DEMs, 49.4%...

The polling aggregator on the website RealClearPolitic shows the margin in polls led by Joe Biden in a blue font and the ones led by Donald Trump in red. For a while, the battleground states have tended to be uniformly blue, except for polls conducted by the Trafalgar Group. If you are a firm believer only in polling averages, this isn’t particularly meaningful, but if you are familiar with Trafalgar’s successes in 2016, when (unlike other pollsters) it had Trump leading in Michigan and Pennsylvania and, in 2018, Ron DeSantis winning his gubernatorial race, it is notable. Regardless, it’s worth...

The latest state polling by the Trafalgar Group predicts another win for President Trump in the upper 270’s to low 280’s in the Electoral College, but the CEO highlights a couple of big cautions for Republicans. In an lengthy interview on the National Review “The Editors” podcast, the Trafalgar Group CEO Robert Cahaly told NR’s Rich Lowry that he predicts Trump will win the battleground states of Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, Texas. He said things are tighter in Wisconsin and Arizona, though Cahaly says Trump has the lead and will “probably win” in Arizona. Our new @trafalgar_group #2020Election #FL #BattlegroundState...

For those who may be interested in two previous, related posts:State of the 2020 electionState of the 2020 U.S. House ElectionsThere are 100 seats in the U.S. Senate, two per state. Washington D.C. has no senators, nor do the U.S. territories. As of today the U.S. Senate is comprised of 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats, and two independents (Bernie Sanders of VT, Angus King of ME) that caucus with the Dems. So numerically it’s a 53-47 GOP advantage, while recognizing that certain unnamed Republicans are reliably problematic when push comes to shove. So the GOP majority is functionally a bit tenuous....

This is my follow-up article about the presidential election polls and predictions about the election results. You can read the first article here. The best tool we have to determine the outcome of elections is polls. Each poll has its own bias and we can get rid of some of the bias in individual polls by combining the results of each individual poll in one giant poll. Fivethirtyeight is a website that does this for us. Its method isn't fool proof though. We can get rid of some of the bias, but not all of it. Right before the 2016...

Former Vice President Joe Biden said Friday that he knew a month before the 2016 election that Hillary Clinton would lose key battleground states. Biden made the comment during a closed-door appearance with Mitt Romney at the annual Romney-hosted E2 Summit, reports Politico. Based on his assessment of campaigning in those key battleground states, he said, he knew a month before the election that Clinton would lose them. Biden also stepped on Hillary just last month, saying he never thought she was a “great candidate” during a conference in Las Vegas. …

MUSKEGON, Mich. — President Trump told supporters here Saturday that early voting trends in Michigan show that he’s defying polls and will win the state, while he tangled with Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, the target of an alleged kidnapping plot, calling her an aspiring “dictator.” “We’re leading,” Mr. Trump said at a campaign rally in this town on the shores of Lake Michigan, calling it an early signal of his comeback. “We’re supposed to be way behind, until Election Day when all the Republicans go and you’re going to have a ‘red wave’ like you’ve never seen before.” White House...

the poll of 1,009 likely voters saw Biden’s support slip by just over 2 percentage points since Monday — and found an increase of just under 1 percent for the incumbent

President Donald Trump holds a slim lead over Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden in battleground Arizona among likely voters, a Targoz Market Research/PollSmart survey released Thursday found. The survey, fielded September 23 to October 2 among 1,045 likely voters, showed Trump narrowly leading Biden in the Grand Canyon State by two percentage points — 45 percent to the former vice president’s 43 percent, among likely voters, specifically. The gap narrows one percentage point for “likely with leaners,” with Trump garnering 46 percent to Biden’s 45 percent. Trump also holds a one-point advantage in a low turnout scenario. “While many other...

Former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead shrunk in Hillsborough County since the last poll conducted in late September, according to a new survey from St. Pete Polls released Saturday. The latest poll shows Biden with a 9-point lead over Donald Trump in the county at 53% to 44%. The previous poll, by the same pollsters, showed Trump with a 13 point deficit in the county at 55% to 42%. ... ... One of the biggest take-aways from the latest poll is the crossover appeal for both candidates. In the Sept. 29 poll, Biden claimed 16% support from Republican voters, a...

Former Trump Campaign Chairman Corey Lewandowski joined Sean Hannity on Friday night to discuss the latest state of the race.According to Lewandowski President Trump’s internal polls and Real Clear Politics are better today than in 2016. The Trump Campaign is very confident. Corey rattled off a number of swing states where President Trump is doing VERY well.And Corey even let slip that Ohio is in the bag for President Trump! Corey Lewandowski: Sean, our polls today internally and even in Real Clear Politics are better today than they were four years ago… And you know Sean when we looked...

Around 40% of college students said they will likely or certainly protest if President Donald Trump wins the election, according to an Axios poll released Friday. Exactly 22% of students surveyed said they are ‘likely’ to protest and 17% said they will ‘certainly’ protest should Trump win the 2020 election, the College Reaction/Axios survey found. More students, 30%, said they would not protest if Trump won and 31% said they are not likely to protest a Trump victory. “The dissatisfaction with the status quo is also reflected by the number of students who are willing to protest Trump reelection with...