Skip to comments.Latest poll shows Donald Trump narrowing deficit in Hillsborough County
Posted on 10/17/2020 11:02:34 AM PDT by 11th_VA
Former Vice President Joe Bidens lead shrunk in Hillsborough County since the last poll conducted in late September, according to a new survey from St. Pete Polls released Saturday.
The latest poll shows Biden with a 9-point lead over Donald Trump in the county at 53% to 44%. The previous poll, by the same pollsters, showed Trump with a 13 point deficit in the county at 55% to 42%.
... One of the biggest take-aways from the latest poll is the crossover appeal for both candidates. In the Sept. 29 poll, Biden claimed 16% support from Republican voters, a staggering number for a hyper-partisan top of ticket race. Meanwhile, Trump only claimed 9% support from Democrats.
Fast forward to this Friday and those numbers dipped. Trumps support among Democrats jumped to 14% while Bidens dipped from Republicans to 15%, a six point shift that covers the overall drop in Bidens commanding lead in the county.
There was also a huge shift in support among Black voters, a loyal base for Democrats and Biden. In September, only 6% of Black voters polled supported the President. Come Friday, the new poll showed 13% support. Support among White voters also grew for the President, going from 49.5% last month to 51% in the new poll.
In an even bigger shift, Bidens lead among voters 70 and older disappeared. He went from having a 49% to 47% advantage among that age cohort to being at a 52% to 45% deficit.
Trump winning Hillsborough has never been an option in the blue county, but his deficit is now more in line with his loss to Hillary Clinton in 2016 when she won by nearly seven points. The latest poll puts his still behind comparatively, but by far less than the previous poll...
(Excerpt) Read more at floridapolitics.com ...
Trump won by 1%.
Baris just polled FL.
Latest voter registration stats: of “new” black voters (i.e., in last year) 64% registered as . . . wait for it . . .
4% as Rs.
Only 62% registered as Ds. This is the end of the DemoKKKrat party.
Oops! Down 7%
Yesterday at the Trump Rally in Ocala, Fl, Ron DeSantis talked for about 10 minutes and said 4 years ago the Democrats had over a 300k advantage in registered voters, going into 2020 that advantage has shrunk to close to 100k.....
Thats in NJ, right?
Regarding new voters in that area, registrations in Hillsborough and Pinellas (St. Pete) are inching slowly leftward as compared to 2018 or 2016, but the adjacent areas such as Pasco and Polk counties are gong the right way.
Let me get this straight....Trumps numbers have improved over the past month with several key demographics including leading with seniors, blacks and whites (and thats even before last weeks revelations about Biden/Hunter email scandal) yet hes STILL behind by 9 points? Makes no sense.....they did say its was a Blue county.....but Comon Man! thats a bunch of Malarkey!!!!
Yes. It’s about 140,000.
“One of the biggest take-aways from the latest poll is the crossover appeal for both candidates.”
Or, is the variability because the poll is not accurate?
Doesn’t Hillsborough always go Rat?
4% as Rs.
Only 62% registered as Ds.
64% + 4% + 62% = 130%. Yeah, that does sound like a bloc of the DEM party!
Hillsborough County is the city of Tampa which has been ‘D’ controlled since the Great Depression. Its US House Seat has varied by number as Florida’s population has grown and Congressional Districts have been added and boundaries moved. But from post-Reconstruction to Kathy Castor ‘D’ today, Tampa has always had a ‘D’ Congress-critter.
For a Republican Presidential Candidate to challenge in Hillsborough makes the Democrats fear for the near-legendary I-4 Corridor that runs from Daytona to St Petersburg and has been indicative for many recent Presidential Race outcomes. FYI: In Clearwater which is north of St Petersburg in, neighbor-to-Hillsborough, Pinellas County, they set the (very temporary) Guinness Record Trump boat parade in August of 1.2k plus participants.
Sorry, 34% as Is, 4% Rs. I was so excited by the number I went overboard!!
The problem as I see it is that Joe voters who have already voted won’t have a clue about the latest Joe/Hunter revelations. Thus by election day, PDJT could have a huge advantage in “how people would vote” but that might be vastly different than “how people did vote”.
I think that it is good tactic that when talking to folks that look like they might be voting for Joe to get them to hold off as long as possible if they can’t be convinced to vote for PDJT. In other words, go sideways and for the continuance with the view that the longer this goes on, the more Joe looks like what he really is.... the head of a crime family.
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