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The 2020 presidential race may be closer than the polls suggest, according to an analysis of voter registration trends by JPMorgan Chase. Changes in the number of voters registered to each of the major parties have proven to be a significant variable in election outcomes in the past, according to strategists at the New York-based bank, which analyzed trends in some of the battleground states that will be crucial to an electoral college victory.

Biden campaign manager is warning Dems that their polling does not show the former vice president up by double-digits:

Mayors in the mining country, who once supported Democrats, say the party no longer advocates for the working class

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President Donald Trump holds a slim lead over Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden in battleground Arizona among likely voters, a Targoz Market Research/PollSmart survey released Thursday found. The survey, fielded September 23 to October 2 among 1,045 likely voters, showed Trump narrowly leading Biden in the Grand Canyon State by two percentage points — 45 percent to the former vice president’s 43 percent, among likely voters, specifically. The gap narrows one percentage point for “likely with leaners,” with Trump garnering 46 percent to Biden’s 45 percent. Trump also holds a one-point advantage in a low turnout scenario. “While many other...

PHOENIX — Just 19 days before the November election, Democratic challengers continue to maintain their leads in the two races at the top of Arizona’s November ballot, according to a new poll released Thursday. The OH Predictive Insights survey of likely voters shows: - In the presidential race, Democrat Joe Biden holds a four-point lead over President Donald Trump, 49% to 45%. Over the last six months, the former vice president has consistently led Trump by three to four points in polling averages. Only one Republican presidential nominee has lost Arizona in the last 72 years. - In the U.S....

Joe Biden's lead over Donald Trump has narrowed as Republican voters decide to stick with the president and the Democrat's support has fallen below 50%, today's IBD/TIPP 2020 election poll update finds. The latest IBD/TIPP Trump vs. Biden poll update shows the Democratic challenger leading the Republican incumbent by 5.2 points, 48.7%-43.5%, in a four-way presidential poll of likely voters.

President Trump is holding a narrow lead over Joe Biden in the battleground state of Michigan, according to a poll.

President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are tied in Florida with just 18 days to go before Election Day, according to a new Hill/Harris poll released on Friday. The poll shows both Biden and Trump garnering 48 percent of support among likely voters in the Sunshine State, while another 4 percent are unsure of how they will vote. Trump wins his strongest support from white voters, 59 percent of whom say they plan to cast their ballot for the president. But Biden has strong support among Black voters and Hispanics, who together accounted for about a third of...

Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden and President Donald Trump are virtually tied in Florida, a Mason-Dixon poll released Friday — less than three weeks away from the presidential election — revealed. Biden holds a narrow lead over the president in Florida, garnering 48 percent support to Trump’s 45 percent. However, his slim lead is within the survey’s +/- 4 percent margin of error, pointing to a virtual tie in the Sunshine State. Six percent remain undecided — a significant portion which could ultimately sway the state into one of the presidential hopefuls’ respective columns:

A change of pace for you from all the polling doom and gloom lately. Most readers know the name “Trafalgar” at this point, but for the few who don’t: They’re the firm that called Trump’s wins in Michigan and Pennsylvania four years ago when nearly every other pollster was predicting Clinton victories, some by blowout margins. (Trafalgar was the only outfit to find Trump ahead in Michigan in any survey taken that year.) Two years later, with the rest of the field polling field expecting an Andrew Gillum victory in Florida, Trafalgar’s final poll found Ron DeSantis ahead. Again,...

Joe Biden holds a double-digit lead over President Trump less than three weeks from Election Day, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll of registered voters finds. Mr. Biden is ahead by 11 points in the national survey, 53% to 42%, following a tumultuous few weeks that included Mr. Trump’s nomination of federal Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court; the candidates’ contentious, televised debate and the president’s Covid-19 diagnosis and hospitalization. The survey finds Mr. Trump rebounding from a 14-point deficit earlier this month in a poll taken immediately after the debate with Mr. Biden, but still in...

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Trump by 7 points in Georgia, according to a new poll. The latest Quinnipiac University survey finds Biden's support at 51 percent and Trump's at 44 percent, with 4 percent of respondents undecided. Biden led by only 3 points in the same poll in September, before the first presidential debate and Trump’s coronavirus diagnosis. Biden is now viewed favorably by 51 percent of Georgians, compared to 46 percent who view him negatively. Trump is underwater at 43 positive and 54 negative. Trump will campaign in Georgia, which last went for the Democratic nominee...

A majority of likely American voters believe the United States should not undergo another COVID-19 lockdown, according to a new Just the News Daily Poll with Scott Rasmussen. A full 57% of likely voters believe that "it is better [for the U.S.] to find a way to move forward" without further lockdowns like the kinds that American governors imposed throughout the country in March and April. Just 33%, meanwhile, believe that "it is better for America to lock down again." The remaining 10% were unsure...

With less than three weeks to go until Election Day, Democrat Joe Biden holds a five point-lead over President Trump in Rasmussen Reports’ weekly White House Watch survey. But a week ago, Biden had a 12-point advantage, his biggest lead ever.

OHIO: PRESIDENTIAL RACE The race for the White House in Ohio remains essentially tied, as likely voters support Biden 48 percent and Trump 47 percent. Four percent are undecided. This is identical to the last Ohio survey released on September 24th. Likely voters have a mixed opinion of Biden with 48 percent having a favorable view and 47 percent having an unfavorable one. In September, they gave him a mixed 45 percent favorable and 49 percent unfavorable rating. Likely voters give Trump a slightly negative 46 - 51 percent favorability rating, which is virtually unchanged from a negative 45 -...

“Since last week, the share of white non-college over 30 registrations in the battleground states has increased by 10 points compared to September 2016, and the Democratic margin dropped 10 points to just 6 points. And there are serious signs of political engagement by white non-college voters who had not cast ballots in previous elections.” David Wasserman, House editor for The Cook Political Report, wrote on Oct. 1 that voter registration patterns over a longer period in key battleground states show that “Republicans have swamped Democrats in adding new voters to the rolls, a dramatic GOP improvement over 2016.” Comment:...

It is well known that in November 2016, a little over 136.5 million Americans voted in the presidential election.  What is less well known is that according to the election results at Wikipedia, a slight plurality more Americans voted for conservative candidates — Donald Trump, Gary Johnson, and Evan McMullin — than voted for candidates of the left — Hillary Clinton and Jill Stein.  (There were a scattering of votes for other candidate that are less easy to categorize, and for that reason, I will ignore them.) The discussion that follows implicitly takes the view that President Trump will be better...

MONTGOMERY COUNTY, Pa. (CBS) –A Montgomery County bakery is offering a sweet spin on the traditional presidential poll. Voting never tasted so good. “We started our election cookie poll,” said Lochel’s Bakery owner, Kathleen Lochel. Lochel’s Bakery in Hatboro is allowing customers to show their political preference by buying Trump or Biden butter cookies. “The decorated cookies are always $4.49,” said Lochel. “They’re iced, an edible image with the candidate’s name with 2020 put on the cookie, and it’s put into the red or blue jimmies.” For each cookie sold, the staff marks it on a board. So far, Trump...

Mainstream media have been trumpeting a lot of the polls being for Joe Biden.We’ve pointed out the problems of some of those polls and how there are the other polls, like the Democracy Institute poll, that find President Donald Trump ahead because they’re measuring likely voters not registered voters and they aren’t oversampling Democrats. Most are also not measuring things like the shy Trump voter or that the youth vote is again unlikely to come out in greater numbers. But what’s missing in a lot of the discourse is that the measures apart from MSM national polls by which you...