Free Republic

Thirty-five Senate seats are up for grabs in November, but 11 of them could determine which party controls the Senate in the next Congress. Republicans need to gain a net one seat to take back the majority in the upper chamber, which is currently split 50–50 but controlled by Democrats because the vice president casts tiebreaking votes.

The voter software company linked to the “glitch,” which caused roughly 6,000 Trump votes to be credited to Biden in a Michigan county also services as many as 64 other counties in Michigan. In addition to these counties, the software company also holds the voter software contracts in many….well all of the contested 2020 Presidental election jurisdictions. Officials in Antrim County, Michigan, discovered a software “glitch,” which caused roughly 6,000 Trump votes to be switched over to Biden. A spokesperson for the Michigan Secretary of State told 6 News, the cause of the “glitch” was reportedly caused by “county user...

Has the Biden camp already given up on a couple of battleground states? The Democratic nominee's campaign manager Jen O'Malley Dillon has just told the press that they may need to find a way to win without Pennsylvania and Florida. According to the analysts, Republicans are turning out more than expected in the Sunshine State, and it may be hard for Biden to close the gap.

Entering the final stretch of the race has a lot of nail-biting, hand-wringing, and cold-sweat-panicking going on from both sides of the aisle. Let’s stop guessing and start looking at the data coming out of the battleground states where early voting has already taken place. As we review it, keep in mind that this is early and mail voting and will likely favor Democrats as a whole, as it is expected that day-of-election voting should favor Trump and Republicans by an almost 2 to 1 margin. Minnesota: At 46% to 31% in favor of Dems, Minnesota has racked up a...

Arizona Democrats are leading in the total number of ballots cast so far in the November election, comprising 40 percent of ballots returned in the state, according to election data last updated Tuesday. Over 1.9 million Arizonians have already cast their ballot in the presidential election, according to the data last updated Tuesday — one week from the election. At that time, Democrats edged out Republicans, representing 39.7 of total ballots returned (or 787,173 ballots) to the GOP’s 35.6 percent (or 704,549). The October 27 update showed 3,353,533 ballots requested and 1,980,689 retuned. The U.S. Elections Projects clarifies that the...

Final polling averages underestimated the lead then-candidate Donald Trump held in a number of crucial swing states, including Ohio, Florida, and North Carolina, in 2016. With early voting underway, critics are beginning to rethink their reliance on polls. “Can We Trust Pennsylvania’s Polls?” reads the title of a New York Times article highlighting the “Trumpmania” among residents in the state. On Thursday, CBS News published an article titled, “What went wrong with polls in 2016? Can we trust them now?” Vox recently posed a similar question: “Biden has a big lead in the polls, but can we trust them?”

On October 16, 2016, on almost exactly this same date, NBC had Hillary Clinton up 11 points. Today, sure ‘nuff, Reuters has Joe Biden up 10, and good old NBC has him up 14. I know, silly season for polls. Even allowing for Hillary’s popular vote majority, the poll was still off by 8.9 points.That’s EIGHT. POINT. NINE.And, of course, NBC completely missed the electoral college, which is all that matters.In previous columns, I’ve pointed out that the state polling was often as bad if not worse. Worse because so many polls at the state level come to the same...

President Trump is down in the polls, both nationally and in the bulk of the battleground states he would need to beat Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in November — but polling averages indicate that Trump may actually be in better shape in his race against Biden than he was at the same stage in his 2016 race against Hillary Clinton. And some observers, including CNN anchor Jake Tapper, say they expect the 2020 race to tighten after the Republican National Convention (RNC) this week. While Tapper argued the convention presented a filtered and skewed view of Trump (of a...

@PpollingNumbers #NEW @CNBC/@ChangePolls #Pennsylvania: Biden 48% (+2) Trump 46% #Arizona: Biden 47% (+2) Trump 45% #Florida: Biden 48% (+3) Trump 45% #NorthCarolina: Biden 49% (+3) Trump 46% #Michigan: Biden 46% (+4) Trump 42% #Wisconsin: Biden 48% (+5) Trump 43% (7/24-26)

VOTERS IN ALL SIX TOP battleground states favor Joe Biden over President Donald Trump by comfortable margins, worrying news for Trump, who won every one of those states in 2016, according to a New York Times/Siena College Battleground poll released Thursday morning. The survey found that Biden is ahead of Trump by double digits in the core battlegrounds of Pennsylvania (where Biden has a 10-point lead), Michigan and Wisconsin (where Biden leads in each by 11 percentage points). Trump won those three states narrowly in 2016, ensuring his victory over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Further, the former vice president leads...

Democratic lawmakers in battleground states have unexpectedly broken ranks in recent weeks to heap praise on President Trump, stirring up turmoil in their party. Republicans see those rebels as a good sign for Mr. Trump and down-ballot races on Election Day in November. Democrats in Pennsylvania, Georgia and Michigan suffered pushback for their pro-Trump rhetoric within the last month. The phenomenon is all the more startling because those are Trump-won states that Democrats hope to take back in 2020. The disorder suggests state Democrats are wanting to distance themselves from the presumed Democratic presidential nominee, former Vice President Joseph R....

As Democrats continue with their impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump, one thing is increasingly clear: the Democratic Party is worried about their ability to beat Trump in 2020. Voters go to the polls in the Iowa Caucus in less than 12 weeks and the Democratic field is still fairly packed.  The Trump campaign is focused on reminding the American people of promises the President made during the 2016 election cycle and kept once in office. He has successfully delivered on tax cuts, unemployment rates have hit a record low – especially for Hispanics and African Americans – and the...

President Donald Trump’s reelection campaign believes the ongoing fight over impeachment will rally the party’s base and make the difference in key races next year. Members of the Trump campaign’s communications team told MLive that House Democrats only flipped Republican seats in 2018 because 8.8 million people who voted for Trump in 2016 stayed home during the midterm elections. Tim Murtaugh, communications director for Trump’s 2020 campaign, said House Democrats’ ongoing impeachment inquiry will bolster Trump’s prospects of reelection and GOP candidates’ chances of victory down the ballot. In 2018, GOP candidates lost races for all statewide offices, control of...

Hillary Clinton holds a decisive advantage over Donald Trump in the competition for votes in the electoral college, leading in enough states to put her comfortably over the 270 majority needed to win the presidential election in November, according to a new SurveyMonkey poll of 15 battleground states conducted with The Washington Post.

Party Requested % ttl Rep 64,317 40.5% Dem 49,886 31.4% Una 44,605 28.1% Party Returned % ttl Rep 16,331 39.0% Dem 15,108 36.0% Una 10,488 25.0%

On October 3, 2016 Twitter deliberately “shadowbanned” (censored) 32 of Trump’s tweets, plus it deleted one other tweet. When Twitter shadowbanned Trump’s tweets, the general public can no longer see any of the tweets, and only users who replied or re-tweeted the tweet’s can see said censored tweet — or if one knows the URL/web address of the tweet, one can see said censored tweet.

The two most recent Florida polls describe a statistical tie in the presidential race, with Donald Trump ahead by 1 point according to Emerson College, while Hillary Clinton leads by 3 in the University of North Florida survey.

Voters in five battleground states declared Hillary Clinton the winner of this week’s debate against Donald Trump, boosting her fortunes in those key races, a new poll showed Thursday. A majority of voters in Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Virginia all told Public Policy Polling that Clinton got the better of Trump in their first showdown. The Public Policy poll was taken Tuesday and Wednesday, giving voters at least one night to digest Monday’s slugfest at Hofstra University. Clinton’s debate also helped her bounce to leads in all five states, according to the poll. In four-way races that include...

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is surging in battleground states Iowa and Virginia in newly released polls, consistent with the national trend reported this week by Reuters-Ipsos and other major polling operations. A handful of swing states—experts always mention at least five, and no more than eleven—will determine the winner of the presidential race, mainly concentrated in the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, and Southwest. Polling numbers from two of those states seem to fit a larger trend over the past two weeks of improving chances for Donald Trump to defeat Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton....

The shift in Virgina seems rather stunning. Only a few days ago, most pundits, including conservative ones, had written the state off. With the last two polls showing a virtual tie, that analysis is out the window. Pennsylvania is also closing, but still sits at a 6.0 point margin for Hillary, so for now, it will remain out of the index. This shift is significant because Trump can pull into the lead just by bringing Republicans into his tent. He has not been achieving the ninety percent level of Republican support that a GOP candidate typically receives. He has been...