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  • Ten-year climate model unveiled

    08/09/2007 11:00:14 PM PDT · by Ernest_at_the_Beach · 67 replies · 1,466+ views
    BBC ^ | Thursday, 9 August 2007, 20:12 GMT 21:12 UK | BBC Staff
    Ten-year climate model unveiled Scientists say they have developed a model to predict how ocean currents, as well as human activities, will affect temperatures over the next decade.By including short-term natural events, such as El Nino, a UK team says it is able to offer 10-year projections. Models have previously focused on how the globe will warm over a century. Writing in Science, Met Office researchers project that at least half of the years between 2009 and 2014 are likely to exceed existing records. However, the Hadley Centre researchers said that the influence of natural climatic variations were likely...
  • Quantifying the Hansen Y2K Error (Weblog Climate Audit Finds NASA GISS US Temp error--big one!)

    08/08/2007 2:28:50 PM PDT · by Freep EE · 18 replies · 1,815+ views
    Climate Audit Weblog ^ | Steve McIntyre
    Quantifying the Hansen Y2K Error By Steve McIntyre I observed recently that Hansen’s GISS series contains an apparent error in which Hansen switched the source of GISS raw from USHCN adjusted to USHCN raw for all values January 2000 and later. For Detroit Lakes MN, this introduced an error of 0.8 deg C. I’ve collated GISS raw minus USHCN adjusted for all USHCN sites (using the data scraped from the GISS site, for which I was most criticized in Rabett-world). Figure 1 below shows a histogram of the January 2000 step for the 1221 stations (calculated here as the difference...