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Posted on Wed, Oct. 27, 2004 Poll: Nader could cost Kerry in Minnesota FREDERIC J. FROMMER Associated Press WASHINGTON - A new poll by the University of Minnesota's Humphrey Institute found independent candidate Ralph Nader polling at 5 percent, enough to possibly cost Democrat John Kerry the state. The poll, which showed Nader with more support than other recent polls, had President Bush and Kerry in a statistical dead heat: Bush at 47 percent and Kerry at 44 percent, within the survey's margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. It also contained some good news for Kerry....

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll - Pennsylvania: K50, W47

snip- In Florida, where liberal independent Ralph Nader is on the ballot, the poll found Bush leading Kerry among likely voters, 51% to 43%, with Nader attracting 2% and 4% undecided. In Ohio, where Nader is not on the ballot, Kerry leads Bush by 50% to 44%, with 6% undecided, the poll found. In Pennsylvania, where Nader also will not be on the ballot, Bush and Kerry both draw 48%, with 4% undecided. -snip- The cross pressures are evident in voters such as Wendy Fesmire, a school crossing guard and stay-at-home mother from Holland, Pa., who is still undecided. She...

The presidential election is less than one week away. For whom do you plan to vote? Bush 52% => 9633 votes Kerry 41% => 7671 votes Other 2% => 375 votes I'm not sure 2% => 408 votes I don't plan to vote/I don't care 2% => 415 votes Current number of voters: 18502

Publicly Released Studies Released: Wednesday, October 27, 2004 President George W. Bush and challenger John Kerry continue to be in a statistical dead heat among registered voters. And, while the ICR Tracking Poll of October 9 – 11 was showing President Bush with a slight advantage among likely voters, that lead has now fallen to within the margin of error as well. With the race for President so close, appealing to Independent voters is crucial to both candidates. Over time, the ICR Presidential Tracker has shown not only that this “race within the race” has largely been inside the margin...

BUSH LIKELY LEAD by 5 POINTS in Rasmussen in Oct 26 one day sample! See comment below for my analysis Wednesday October 27, 2004--Six days to go and President Bush has regained a slim lead in his bid for re-election. The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 48.8% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 47.1%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.

The polls of about 600 likely voters in each of the battleground states were taken Sunday through Wednesday. The state-by-state results: In Colorado, Kerry led 50-46 percent; Florida, Bush 48-46 percent; Iowa, tied 45 percent; Michigan, tied 47 percent; Minnesota, Kerry 47-44 percent; New Mexico, Bush 47-44 percent; Nevada, Bush 51-44 percent; Ohio, Kerry, 46-45 percent; Pennsylvania, Kerry 49-46 percent; and Wisconsin, Kerry 50-46 percent.

Rasmussen 3 day national tracking poll has bush at 48.8% to Kerry at 47.0%. this is a 1.8% gain from yesterday. With leaners included, Bush's lead is 49.5% to 48.1%. In the Rasmussen 7 day rolling averages of 5 key battleground states, I will provide the results for today, with leaners included in the synopsis: Florida, Tie 48% (This is unchanged for the fifth consecutive day. With leaners included, Kerry leads 49%-47%) Michigan, Kerry 51%-46% (This is unchanged from yesterday. With leaners included, Kerry leads 52%-46%) Minnesota, Bush 48%-45% (This is unchanged form yesterday. With leaners included, Bush leads 50%-47%)...

Arizona: Bush 50; Kerry 45 New Mex: Bush 48; Kerry 44 Nevada: Bush 49; Kerry 47 New Mexico is looking more and more in W's column.