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Posted on 08/25/2024 4:24:04 PM PDT by usafa92
Quantus Polls and News conducted a survey among 629 registered voters in Virginia between August 20 and 22, 2024. The survey, with a margin of error of ±4%, was carefully weighted to reflect the statewide voter demographics, including gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, voter registration, and turnout patterns. Using online panels, the survey aimed to provide a representative snapshot of the Virginia electorate's current preferences and opinions as the 2024 general election approaches.
Electorate Demographics
The weighted results of the survey reveal the following demographic breakdown: 36% of respondents identify as Democrats, 34% as Republicans, and 30% as Independents. The gender distribution shows a slight majority of female voters at 51.5%, compared to 48.5% male voters. Age-wise, the electorate is fairly evenly distributed, with the largest group being those aged 45-64 (37%), followed by those aged 30-44 (24%) and 65+ (24%). Racially, 68% of respondents are White, 18% are Black, and 14% identify as Hispanic or other racial/ethnic groups. Regarding education, 57% of respondents have not completed college, while 43% have a college degree.
Voting History and Political Affiliation
When asked about their voting behavior in the 2020 presidential election, 51% of respondents reported voting for Joe Biden, while 39% supported Donald Trump. The remaining respondents either voted for another candidate (2%) or did not vote/remember (8%). Politically, the respondents are fairly evenly split, with 36% identifying as Democrats, 34% as Republicans, and 30% as Independents. This balance reflected the competitive nature of Virginia's electorate, where neither party holds a decisive advantage.
Candidate Favorability
Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump present starkly different profiles to the Virginia electorate. Harris enjoys a favorability rating of 49% (26% very favorable, 23% favorable), with 51% viewing her unfavorably (18% unfavorable, 33% very unfavorable).
(Excerpt) Read more at quantus.substack.com ...
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I suspect that they’re considerably less joyful behind closed doors at Harris HQ than they are in public. I think it’s a fair surmise that the media polished this turd as shiny as it’s going to get, and the results of the month-long tongue bath may not be sufficient to get her over the finish line
I doubt it, it was a congressional election scattered throughout the country in many districts. Notice, republicans still win elections...the polling was off, are they ever right? I seldomly see it.
If not, then Youngkin’s recent efforts to fight voter fraud must be superfluous, yes?
That dime is called “Fairfax”.
They always hold back to see what they need, then deliver, the usual MO.
RE: why would they have to weight it? Short answer: they wouldn’t.
But in phony polling all good things come to those who weight.
Fixed that.
So many polls from groups I have never or rarely heard of.
Registered, oversampled D voters in DC adjacent......
Yes that is important.
Nobody wants to say that Virginia is a Battleground state but this poll and others, suggest it’s going to be a lot closer in some of these states than it was in 2020.
And polls such as these could force Democrats to spend money and resources in States considered safe to keep them from slipping away. And that in turn could mean that they will have less money to spend in some of the Battleground States.
Me and my friends poll; Trump 90, Cackles 10. That’s probably more accurate than these other polls they are showing.
That’s pathetic…. Harris unfavorable numbers should be closer to 80%… we are so fucked up
Younkl8n did a purge of the rolls.
Geez what nitwittery
And Trump tends to outperform the polls by thee to five percent in swing states.
I have a feeling this could be a realigning election, where both parties win a state or two they “shouldn’t” win.
Better make a lot more than 150k to live well in NOVA.
If you travel there you see buildings for all sorts of government contractors.
What do they make in these factory sized buildings?
Laws, wars and regulations.
I’m sure they’re paid handsomely for their work.
Didn’t Youngkin sign an election reform law?
Hand counted paper ballots and other measures to stop democrat cheating?
If that’s true, then I don’t think Harris can win Virginia.
Waste of money for them to spend it in Virginia. There's no difference if Harris is up by 1 or 10. A win is a win, period. Trump should do better in NY and NJ but it won't be enough to win both states.
The election will come down to the battleground states.
Nicely done!
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