https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian/status/1672577889013841921
Posted on 02/28/2022 8:10:18 PM PST by Mariner
A Russian military convoy that was outside of Ivankiv, Ukraine, on Sunday has since made it to the outskirts of Kyiv, satellite images show.
On Sunday, the convoy was roughly 40 miles northwest of the Ukrainian capital, according to images provided by Maxar Technologies.
Maxar said that roughly 17 miles of roadway is chocked full of the convoy, which consists of armored vehicles, tanks, towed artillery and other logistical vehicles.
The private US company said the convoy was located on the T-1011 highway at Antonov air base around 11:11 a.m local time.
Antonov is roughly 17 miles from the center of the Ukrainian capital.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
1. Speech by General Kornilov in August 1917. The supreme power in the person of Kerensky himself created the feeling in the commander-in-chief that he was the only savior of the fatherland, he himself warmed up the patriotic hysteria - and reversed when the formidable general moved the “Wild Division” to the capital. As now, the rebellion began in the region, which predetermined its collapse. It was enough to block communications, and the campaign against the capital failed. The times were still herbivorous, so the rebel was simply put under arrest.
2. Mutiny of the commander of the Eastern Front, Social Revolutionary Mikhail Muravyov in July 1918. It happened due to the fact that the commander-in-chief was indignant at the massacre of the Bolsheviks over his party members and because of dissatisfaction with the fact that the Council of People's Commissars disgraced the country with the Brest peace. The Bolsheviks, unlike the Provisional Government, did not breed Tsirlich-Manirlichs. They just shot Muravyov.
3. The rebellion of the commander of the Don Corps of the Red Army Philip Mironov in September 1919. As now, the rebellion did not aim to change the government in the country and in every possible way declared loyalty to Lenin. As now, the rebels declared the Minister of War (People's Commissar) Trotsky as an enemy-saboteur. It ended in peace: the corps was persuaded, and he again began to obey orders, and Mironov was promoted to commander. (Then, however, they shot anyway).
We will soon see what scenario the Prigozhin putsch will follow - Kornilov, Muravyov or Mironov. In any case, coups as a result of such escapades do not happen
Chechen fighters “are already on their way to the tension zones”- Kadyrov
Kadyrov called the actions of the Wagner PMC a military rebellion and promised that it will be suppressed. “If tough measures have to be taken to do this, we are ready!” - Kadyrov wrote.
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1672534494950350848
Georgian Legion @georgian_legion:
The most disgusting fact is that the civil war in Russia started over a dispute about how to kill Ukrainians more efficiently.
https://twitter.com/georgian_legion/status/1672525631580504064
Yes, Prigozhin is definitely not doing this himself
and he has strong support both above and below
/from your link:
A typical Wagner commander’s profile is:
- Trained officer with relevant military experience
- Selected out from the regular forces, for crimes, misbehaviour or just not fitting in
- But given a second chance in Wagner
You are supposed to be grateful to the system. Are you?
A column of Wagner vehicles passed Voronezh, approximately 4,000 fighters
https://t.me/ChDambiev/24204
Voronezh to Moscow 6 -7 h by car or truck with the soldiers !
https://www.google.com/maps/dir/Voronezh,+Voronezh+Oblast,+Russia/Moscow,+Russia/
Will they be attacked when they are traveling with this:
A column of PMC Wagner consisting of 40-50 pieces of equipment, including tanks and one MLRS BM-21 Grad, drove through Voronezh. https://t.me/strelkovii/5674
Putin created Prigozhin, as a useful and biddable instrument (never one of his friends), and Putin allowed the Prigozhin/Shoigu rivalry to continue way past the point at which is was becoming dangerous and dysfunctional. His whole system is based on them, divide and rule on steroids, but it means that arbitrating these rows is one of his key and unique roles. No one else can do it - and so the buck stops with him when they spin out of control.
This cannot help but undermine further his credibility in the elite. Perhaps most crucially, many within the security apparatus sympathise with Prigozhin or at least his critique of the war effort, and even if they follow orders, they won't forget
https://twitter.com/MarkGaleotti/status/1672520676886839296
Now that Putin is sick and unable to govern by manipulating various interests, his world will explode.
Girkin(Strelkov
The rebels successfully passed Voronezh and are moving through the territory of the Lipetsk region. They boast that they shot down the forward outposts of the “Rosguard” and took trophies.
⚡️⚡️Putin called President Kakhastan Tokayev, but he replied that the events taking place are an internal matter of Russia 😁
https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian/status/1672547241670705152
No one saw this turn of events coming.
Start up the popcorn maker
https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian/status/1672577889013841921
“Yes, Prigozhin is definitely not doing this himself
and he has strong support both above and below”
Being funded by Russian oligarchs to oust Putin?
Girkin/ Strelkov
For memory. The chain of events that led to 06/23/23:
1. On 02/24/22, the entry of troops into Ukraine began. Almost immediately it became clear that the original plan for a quick change of power in Kyiv collapsed, and instead of a police operation there would be a full-fledged war, for which none of the leaders were ready. A critical shortage of forces for such a large-scale front was immediately revealed. At that moment, that famous call from Gerasimov to Prigozhin happened, after which Wagner appeared at the front - in fact, without any formalized conditions for participation, “on boyish agreements.”
2. Throughout the spring of the 22nd there was a “plugging of holes” on this very front. It was then that the “Project” was agreed - recruitment to “Wagner” in places of deprivation of liberty. The motive why our leaders gave the go-ahead for this was the task of urgently saturating the LBS without mobilization.
3. At the same time, the image promotion of the Wagner as “the best infantry on the planet” was going on. Prigogine was at first in the shadow of Kadyrov as the brightest “warlord” of the SVO, but at some point they switched roles. For this, his political technology headquarters worked for him, and he was the only one who had such a headquarters at all: such a headquarters was not created either in the Moscow Region, or in the Presidential Administration, or anywhere else.
4. After the success of Wagner near Torskoye-Zolotoye and Popasnaya, the first signs of the conflict between PMCs and the Moscow Region entering the public plane began to appear - at first at the level of picks “who publicly accounted for whose successful assault.”
5. The shortage of public speakers on the NWO in fact made Prigogine almost its main media person, while the system simply did not work in this field.
6. In August-September 22, when it turned out that it was not possible to close all the holes at the front with available forces, “regroupings” began, which in themselves became a shock to society, further strengthened by the announced mobilization and its, to put it mildly, difficult move. Meanwhile, Wagner continued to advance at Artyomovsk, in the unique role of “the main hope for victory.” The background was a discourse about incompetent generals and the betrayal of the elites.
7. Eight months of calm on the fronts - background from November to May. Against this background, the Bakhmut meat grinder became the main object of attention, and Prigogine was its main public hero and speaker. The army, meanwhile, was preparing for the Ukrainian “counterattack”, introducing a BC savings regime for everyone, including Wagner. But Prigozhin, in the struggle for this resource, already felt confident enough to take it out of the headquarters into the public field - and he did it.
8. The final battle for Bakhmut, as I understand it, was on the following conditions: you get what you ask for, get your 5 minutes of fame for Artyomovsk and get out of the front. At least three letters - that was the logic of the authorities. But Prigogine did not want three letters. Actually, from that moment the “point of no return” to today’s events has come.
Conclusion. The deep chain of causes stems precisely from the internal political unpreparedness of the system for a wartime regime and a set of attempts to “leave everything as it is” in an already changed reality, by applying curves and temporary solutions.
So, the strategic idea of Prigozhin’s team is extremely clear, logical, very risky, but it strikes with courage and has a chance of success in an atmosphere of sluggishness and demotivation of all power structures of the Russian Federation.
Having gained a foothold in Rostov and diverting attention to themselves, they sharply throw the most combat-ready shock units (several thousand bayonets) into a raid on Moscow. Their task - bypassing all major centers (Voronezh passed by, passing Lipetsk as well) and trying not to get involved in battles with local garrisons (even without blocking them) - to rush to Moscow and by all means reach it as soon as possible. Further - the calculation is made on the panic and flight of all senior officials and the seizure of power “lying on the ground.” Further, Prigozhin will only have to take the turn of those eager to urgently swear to him “suddenly seeing the light” officials of all ranks and solemnly enter the Kremlin. “And there - it will be seen” (what will happen next with Russia, the criminal and the garcon, I'm sure, worries the least, for that he will certainly become the “best in hell” and go down in history as the first criminal who took the post of ruler of our unfortunate country ).
This strategy has only two vulnerabilities: the possibility of a collision with relatively large units that are combat-ready and do not want to surrender (or remain neutral) before approaching Moscow, and - inevitable in this case, problems with supplying the strike force, which will fight in isolation for longer than a couple of days from the supply will not be able to.
And here the Wagner strategists again “guessed” the decision - to “dig in” part of the forces in Rostov and attract there the efforts of those who are still ready to fight (at least at the level of intentions) for the Kremlin.
Ukraine will soon offer them terms of withdrawal or surrender. It is over!
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1672587584567136256
Very likely
Our friend here is already prepared
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