So, the strategic idea of Prigozhin’s team is extremely clear, logical, very risky, but it strikes with courage and has a chance of success in an atmosphere of sluggishness and demotivation of all power structures of the Russian Federation.
Having gained a foothold in Rostov and diverting attention to themselves, they sharply throw the most combat-ready shock units (several thousand bayonets) into a raid on Moscow. Their task - bypassing all major centers (Voronezh passed by, passing Lipetsk as well) and trying not to get involved in battles with local garrisons (even without blocking them) - to rush to Moscow and by all means reach it as soon as possible. Further - the calculation is made on the panic and flight of all senior officials and the seizure of power “lying on the ground.” Further, Prigozhin will only have to take the turn of those eager to urgently swear to him “suddenly seeing the light” officials of all ranks and solemnly enter the Kremlin. “And there - it will be seen” (what will happen next with Russia, the criminal and the garcon, I'm sure, worries the least, for that he will certainly become the “best in hell” and go down in history as the first criminal who took the post of ruler of our unfortunate country ).
This strategy has only two vulnerabilities: the possibility of a collision with relatively large units that are combat-ready and do not want to surrender (or remain neutral) before approaching Moscow, and - inevitable in this case, problems with supplying the strike force, which will fight in isolation for longer than a couple of days from the supply will not be able to.
And here the Wagner strategists again “guessed” the decision - to “dig in” part of the forces in Rostov and attract there the efforts of those who are still ready to fight (at least at the level of intentions) for the Kremlin.
Ukraine will soon offer them terms of withdrawal or surrender. It is over!
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1672587584567136256
Very likely
Conclusions from yesterday
In my profane opinion, there is no central government in the country, and the country is self-governing by inertia. That is, the central government does not govern the country, but has divided the administration into departments and regions. The rule of law is impossible due to the ignorance of laws by the central government, as a result, the judicial system is actually paralyzed. There is an imbalance and decentralization of the country, an uncontrolled influx of migrants, the destruction of a single legal field, the strengthening of self-government of the regions, the strengthening of crime, primarily criminal ethnic groups from migrants.
Yesterday's events showed preparations for the seizure of central power by criminals. A criminal whose weapons are provided outside the law with the tacit consent of the country's leadership.
This is our possible future...