Thank you, LS!
Posted on 11/06/2018 4:50:16 AM PST by LS
Whatever happens, please do NOT be goaded into hysteria by Drudge or ANY sources (including me) saying "this is happening" or "that is happening," or above all . . .
"EXIT POLLS SHOW . . . "
Let me remind some of you newer Freepers about election day 2004.
Everything came down to OH. If George W. Bush won OH, he won the election. If Lurch (John Kerry) won it, he would win.
I was working for the Bush campaign in Dayton, OH as a "Poll flusher." Perhaps now technology has mitigated this, but at that time, teams would fan out to key polling places at 10:00 am and 4:00 pm and see how many of your party in that precinct had voted already, then send out walkers or make calls to get those turned out who hadn't already voted.
It just so happened that my precinct was one of the key bellwether precincts in all of OH. However the precinct I was flushing went, so went OH, and so went the election. It's one of those that the networks use to "call" a state with only 1% of the vote in.
10:00 was normal, maybe high for Repubilcans. But I got home and saw Drudge headlines screaming about exit polls, how Bush was losing badly. Well, I hadn't seen that but who knows? Freepers were jumping out of buildings.
At 4:00 though, I found that 90% of Rs had already voted. We were told by Rove that if Rs just voted in OH, we'd win because of the voter registration advantage. I knew if, before work was even over for most people, 90% of Rs had voted we would easily hit 100% in this key precinct. The Ds couldn't win.
I posted my #s then got back to the computer and tried to calm people that in fact we'd won the election despite the exit polls. Bush won by 117,000---Trump won FL in 2016 by 113,000.
Moral of the story: DO NOT be intimidated or frightened by ANYTHING you see on the news or or Drudge. In in MT, in IN, and in AZ, we will win if Rs turn out. Indies in these states would have to break 2:1 against the R for the D to win. FL is a different story with its D-heavy registration, but over and over we've shown Rs can win that state just by turning out.
No one knows about the House. My prediction is we hold by as few as five and as many as fifteen seats. But these are individual races with really, really bad polling and it's extremely doubtful that the "news" is going to know what's going on til the votes are counted. (Remember 2016, where Trump had a very late lead in VA and NH? Many here knew that Northern VA was coming in and would change that, but no one knew a bunch of MA fraudsters were going to NH to vote!
There will be no reliable House numbers from precincts until most of them are closed, esp. in more rural areas.
As with 2016, if you watch the fake news, remember if there is a D victory, they will call it at 8:01. If the evidence suggests that Ds have won key "flip" districts like VA5, VA10, FL26, FL27, NY19, NY22 (and they need almost all of them), they will post it immediately.
My guess is if you don't know who won the House and you go to bed, the Rs probably held.
Now, as it was in 2016, this is in God's hands. Let's let Him do His work. We don't always know the twists and turns of His plans.
Bottom line: Dewey Defeats Truman!
The press has been in the bag for the democrats for decades, and they are even worse now.
How different it would be if the GOP had backed Trump’s play!
“There is a tide in the affairs of men which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune” - Shakespeare
“Too bad, too bad! Oh, too bad!” -General Robert E. Lee
I’m off to vote for Eddie Edwards and Chris Sununu.
Ditto.
Amen!
Well said and AMEN!
I will get off work, vote, then go home. Once there I will work a little on my project car, have dinner, watch a little Velocity channel, pray and go to bed.
Up at 0430, since I have to be at work by 0600. I’ll get VA results on the local morning news, and the rest here on FR.
Thank you, LS!
Drudge already has a doomsday scenario about it. WTF?!
Exit polls? At 8:30 a.m.?
Lol, gimmee a break!!!
Yeah it 8:30 am on the East Coast and Drudge is doing everything he can to depress GOP turnout?
What?
Eat, pray, vote.
President Donald John Trump, thank you for all you have done. We are sending re-enforcements, pronto!
Thank you.
Duck Frudge.
There’s nothing of the sort on Drudge this AM..no idea what the OP is talking about.
FYI, per your latest tweet on AZ saying the D’s closed the gap, could it be a misreading of the AZ data scientist was saying the ballots that came in *yesterday only* were R+1.5? The overall AZ early vote is still R+7.4.
AMEN!!!!!
I haven’t looked at Drudge in a very, very long time.
Apparently according to state GOP that’s old.
Right now, Rs down about 1.5%. Ds apparently got all their voters in early. We show them now trailing in election day voters.
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