FYI, per your latest tweet on AZ saying the D’s closed the gap, could it be a misreading of the AZ data scientist was saying the ballots that came in *yesterday only* were R+1.5? The overall AZ early vote is still R+7.4.
Apparently according to state GOP that’s old.
Right now, Rs down about 1.5%. Ds apparently got all their voters in early. We show them now trailing in election day voters.
It was a “model” not raw data, and it allocated indies by 7 points to Enema. I deleted it.
I don’t think Enema wins indies by anywhere near that, but even if so, the model still projected a slight McSally win.