Posted on 04/22/2016 6:59:38 AM PDT by detective
MOST analysis of Donald Trump’s support in the primary elections has focused on his appeal to poorer, working-class white voters, who are assumed to have lost the most to globalisation and are more open to his particular brand of populist politics. But his victory in the New York Republican primary on April 19th underscored his wider support across the party’s base. Mr Trump took 61% of the vote overall (the first time he has gained over 50%) winning across all demographic groups. That was to be expected in his home state. However, averaging out his support in all state primaries (where exit polling is available) shows that richer and better educated voters form as big a part of Mr Trump’s support base as those at the lower end of the income and education scales.
(Excerpt) Read more at economist.com ...
Non-Hispanic whites are the Reps power base and comprise the biggest percentage of voters. Romney won among them 59-39 over Obama. A few more percentage points among whites translate into victory in November.
We (retired comfortably) voted for Trump because he’s the only candidate with even a chance of kicking over stools that support a gargantuan, over-inflated, intrusive big government.
TC
“Trump is the weakest general election candidate we could field”
I remember when all the “experts” said the exact same thing about Ronald Reagan.
The Republican establishment at the time and the “experts” said Reagan was a sure loser who would lose in a landslide and bring about the end of the Republican Party. Reagan trailed Carter by over 30 points in the polls at the time.
The establishment ran moderate Republican John Anderson as a third party candidate.
Reagan won in a landslide.
For the first time in 30 yrs, the Dem’s are going to have to waste time and resources defending NY.
The automatic assumption that Cruz would pick up the Solid South that he lost convincingly is fully nonsense, too.
Indeed, a recent Reuters/IPSOS poll showed fully 1/3 of the Trump supporters wouldn’t vote for him. I’m not in that 1/3, but you rosy cheeked Cruz supporters are wearing thin. Particularly with this “rules are rules” stuff in CO and UT and everywhere else no vote is held. Just because Ted could engineer a technical win doesn’t mean all manna goes to him afterward. People are tired of this politician crap. And, Ted has shown he’s down with the best of them.
Yes, rules are rules and we all understand we need to live and work under the best man-made rules available in this country - the US Constitution. However, the framers of the Constitution expected that just and honorable men and women would execute its assurances. That has clearly not been the case and our Constitution has been used against us by liberals ever since it was signed. Even now the politicians who profess allegiance to it on our own side are stretching, pulling, twisting its dictates to other derived tenets (e.g., state political party rules) to their own personal benefit.
Shoulda, coulda, woulda’s about who gets what when you kill off Trump’s nomination won’t hold like you think they will. Do that at your own risk.
Further, I will tell you this. I never call Cruz Supporters anything other than that. Yet Cruz supporters here are enamored of cute little names like “Trumpkins” and much works. Keep it up and see what happens in November.
Really?
NY 2016 primary results by the numbers:
Clinton - 1,054083
Sanders - 763,469
Trump - 524,932
I can't speak for other parts of the country, but Donald Trump's support in Wisconsin came from the areas with the poorest and least educated GOP voters. The Donald also drew large numbers of unionista Democrats who are/were opposed to Gov. Walker and his conservative reforms.
Trump is despised by 80% of Wisconsin GOP voters.
Where we are beating him is when voters’ get more engaged and they get more informed. When they inform themselves, they realize his record. "
Really?
NY 2016 primary results by the numbers:
Clinton - 1,054083
Sanders - 763,469
Trump - 524,932
Really?
Cruzlim logic would have TPA Teddy in FIFTH place in battleground OH and FL. I didn’t even both to check any more states but you get the picture.
Everyone knows it’s only “stupid, uneducated, sexist, racist, xenophobic, morons” who support Trump.
Most of the other Trump supporters I know are also business owners, with college education, who happily hire and provide products/services to all races, genders, and people from any country (and hang out with diverse groups when we’re not working). And we’re smart enough to do it with all of the laws/rules/regulations/taxes that both Rs and Ds have put in our way.
But the label is all that matters to the media. And we’re happy to join people who fit the acceptable label both in the vote and business and friendships. Funnily my friends who fit the label are not Trump supporters though one of them (a D for Hillary) did go with me to a Trump rally - he had fun but still “could never vote for Trump”.
you may be right. but if you are right re: Trump, then obviously it’s all hilary. Which is what I have maintained all along. hilary is essentially unstoppable.
Because Cruz has a 0% chance in the GE. And Kasich’s chance is less than that.
Which sort of puts all the bickering here in a new light doesn’t it? If it’s going to be hilary no matter what...what’s all the commotion about?
As I see it....I think Trump maybe has a little bit of a chance b/c his demographics are not normal Republican. The democrat playbook will not be effective. He changes everything on the GOP side, and on the dem side. Will it work? IDK...probably not.
But with Cruz, all that happens is that he gets shellacked and the GOPe gets even more empowered, and will say forever, that they gave us a conservative and he got trounced.
If Trump loses, we can still say, credibly...but what if we finally nominate a conservative?
If Trump wins....then hilary loses, the GOPe loses, and hopefully he does something about the border.
More sophistry. So the leading candidate who has won the most votes by 2.5 million, the most states (23), and the most delegates is the weakest candidate we can field. Turnout records are being set for every state race. Viewership for the Rep debates has gone up exponentially. More new voters are attracted to Trump. He is drawing huge, enthusiastic crowds.
If you go by the polls, I guess Kasich or Rubio should be the GOP nominee. They do the best against Hillary. And on the Dem side, Bernie is beating the Reps worse than Hillary is. Funny thing is that the Dem establishment is not calling for Bernie to be the nominee.
Until both parties have their nominees, these polls are worthless. I will say that Trump puts FL, NH. NV, OH, MI, and PA into play for the Reps. His primary victory in FL was especially huuuge.
For the first time in 30 yrs, the Dem’s are going to have to waste time
and resources defending NY.
****************
The dems have about a 2 to 1 voter lead based upon voter registration, D vs R.
It becomes larger when you include the misc parties.
They will have to be aware but the dems ought to have a comfortable lead.
We’ll see and it would be nice if they had to put some effort into winning.
Trump is our best crack at beating Hillary.
“Trump is despised by 80% of Wisconsin GOP voters.”
Why is that?
“Trump is our best crack at beating Hillary.”
He is our only chance!
Trump gets 70% if the “Independent” or non-party affiliated vote.
He will also get 70% of male Democrats, and 100% of male Dems who want to keep their guns.
That's not the point. No GOP candidate will win win deep blue states like New York.
Trump will have to work hard in November to win staunchly red states [and we've all seen how hard the Donald campaign works in individual states(/sarc)].
Cruz - on the other hand - could beat Hillary in purple states like Iowa, Wisconsin, Colorado & New Mexico. Trump is so despised in those states and will lose by +15% to Hillary.
Somebody flip the author of these article the bird.
Not a single Bernie supporter will go to Trump.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.