Really?
NY 2016 primary results by the numbers:
Clinton - 1,054083
Sanders - 763,469
Trump - 524,932
Really?
NY 2016 primary results by the numbers:
Clinton - 1,054083
Sanders - 763,469
Trump - 524,932
Really?
Cruzlim logic would have TPA Teddy in FIFTH place in battleground OH and FL. I didn’t even both to check any more states but you get the picture.
So the 1.8 million who turned out to vote Dem in the closed primary represent 40% of the Obama vote total in 2012.
The NY Rep voter turnout was the highest in 40 years. The 900,000 total votes cast represent 36% of the total votes cast for Romney in 2012. Based on those numbers, there is no doubt Trump will do better than Romney. Independents, conservatives, and those who have been outside the political process should help Trump. It will still be an uphill fight to win NY. I doubt it will happen, but if it does, then we are wathing a landslide of epic proportions.
FL, NV, NH, OH, MI, and PA are the states to watch.
Thanks for this. Just adding in the other major candidates:
NY Primary (Closed Primary, Dem and GOP ONLY)
Note: Approximately 25%+ of NY voters are registered 3rd Party and were not eligible to vote in this election.
Clinton - 1,054,083
Sanders - 763,469
Trump - 524,932
Kasich - 217,904
Cruz - 126,151
Total (D) - 1,817,552
Total (R) - 868,987
Clinton/Trump - 2.01
Clinton/Cruz - 8.36
Is it reasonable to expect Trump to prevail in NY over Clinton in November? No. My estimate is that Trump has a 1 in 4 shot.
Is it reasonable to expect Trump to give enough of a battle to force Clinton to spend resources in NY that otherwise would have been spent in states like OH, FL and VA? Yes.
Your numbers would only make sense if there were the same amount of Democrats and Republicans in New York.
I have read here that the Republicans are outnumbered at least 2 to 1, with some saying as high as 4 to 1. This was a CLOSED Primary and Trump got 61% of the Republican Vote.
I’m a former Cruzer, but the idea that even he received only 47% of the Vote in his Home State of Texas while a Sitting Senator gave me pause.
Texas was also a Closed Primary if I’m not mistaken. That’s when I really started to see the handwriting on the wall.
Trump won in NY without the benefit of being previously Elected to Office there. Just being a Hometown Boy doesn’t garner that mush Support. I’m still waiting for him to Label Hillary a Carpetbagger if they both end up the Nominees.
My Family came from New York, living in Brooklyn and Long Island. My Parents being Registered Republicans there was considered an oddity by both Family and Friends alike.
EVERYONE we knew was a Registered Democrat, but they did Vote for Republicans every once in a while.
NY is a closed primary and there are many more democrats than republicans in the state.
The general election doesn’t care what party you are they only care that you are registered to vote.
Don't tell anyone that the 3 million plus voters registered as 'INDEPENDENTS" were NOT allowed to vote in the primary.
Only Dems in the Democratic primary... Republicans in the Republican primary.
The General election in November has NO such rules.