Based on what % of the statewide voe Trump gets, here is the delegate count. If he gets only 50% statewide he still gets 80 of 95...
Posted on 04/15/2016 5:25:20 AM PDT by Iowa David
Donald Trump is poised to win New York in a landslide on Tuesday but he could leave as many as two-dozen critical delegates on the table by failing to win an outright majority in every corner of the state, according to new congressional district-level polling provided to POLITICO.
http://politicalmachination.com/poll-new-york-2016-presidential-primary-2/
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
And yet...he’s now tying Hillary in head-to-head matchups, suggesting that all these likeability polls are just spurious fluff for the political hacks to chitter about.
Stop it now. Trump will get the 1237. If we don’t support him we will have President HRC. Give Trump a chance.
Apples and oranges. There were many more candidates at the time.
Cruz got 43% in TX with a much larger field.
Trump getting a bit over 50% in NY with only 3 candidates in the race is no big deal in comparing the two scenarios.
All these Cruz basher’s forget that it more important to get votes by congressional district, not just in populated metropolitan areas. If Trumps gets big vote totals out of NYC, but not in the rest of upstate, he won’t get the delegates and votes won’t mean squat. Same as Cruz in Texas, but the opposite. Trump took liberal areas, but Cruz took the rest.
“...you’re a true Trumpeteer. Keep it up with the ad hominem attacks...”
It is to snicker, Alphonse.
“Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! Remember Mississippi! My vote is going to Cruz”
If you were a true Texan, you wouldn’t touch that slimy pervert with a ten-foot pole.
You can skip the text, but be sure to watch the clip at the bottom.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3413956/posts?page=181#155
Olofosh.
More condescension from a Trumpeteer.
RE: Trump Poised for NY Landslide - but could lose dozens of delegates statewide
Those are the New York rules. Hey, Trump won just 46% of the votes in Florida, but he got 100% of the delegates.
So one state has one rule and another state has another. we should not be surprised.
You said “there were about 15 candidates on the TX ballot.”
The top 5 candidates were 96.6 percent of the vote. Adding the remaining 3.4 percent left over still has Cruz at 47.2, assuming all of the 3.4 goes to Cruz.
You said “there were about 13 or 14 candidates Texas.”
The top 5 candidates were 96.6 percent of the vote. Adding the remaining 3.4 percent left over still has Cruz at 47.2, assuming all of the 3.4 goes to Cruz.
The top 5 candidates were 96.6 percent of the vote. Adding the remaining 3.4 percent left over still has Cruz at 47.2, assuming all of the 3.4 goes to Cruz.
“More condescension from a Trumpeteer.”
So what? When a person of little understanding is obdurate and obnoxious, he attracts condescension like a meadow muffin attracts flies.
You can skip the text, but don’t miss the video clip at the bottom of the post.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3413956/posts?page=181#155
Olofosh.
The folks Upstate are a different group than the folks in the New York Metro Area and Long Island. Upstate, when they hear Ted Cruz talking about New York Values, they know he is talking about the values of the urban elites, of Andrew Cuomo and Bill DeBalsio. These values are no more popular Upstate than they are in Texas.
Trump and Kasich are going to be splitting votes all around New York City and Long Island, and in the Upstate cities of Buffalo, Rochester, and Syracuse. But Cruz is going to romp and stomp in the small cities, towns and villages all across rural New York.
My Prediction:
POPULAR VOTE:
TRUMP: 43%
KASICH: 30%
CRUZ: 25%
MISC: 2%
DELEGATES:
TRUMP: 52
CRUZ: 40
KASICH: 3
BFD. Statements were made as fact that there were less than ten candidates on the Texas ballot. You’re trying to muddy the issue. BTW, Cruz won all but 6 counties.
Did you read Trump’s Op-ed in the WSJ posted on FR yesterday? It’s excellent - simple, to the point, and anyone can understand the problem with the political machinery by reading it. He condenses it.
they take their talking points from Rove and co and when I heard Rove this morning then you could not tell if Rove was posting here or a freeper.
Umm. There’s not a single Congressional District in that Optimus Poll that has anyone other than Trump in the lead by at least a 10% margin.
So I don’t know how you get there when Cruz is at 14.
I also don’t know how you get to that breakdown with how NY allocates.
It’s going to be bleak for Cruz. He’ll likely end up with 2 or fewer delegates.
That b#tch, John Kasich should drop out. I’m not going to say how I really feel about him.
If trump gets 50% overall, he gets 14 delegates. Then the others are by district, 3 each. If he wins the district with 50%, het gets all 3. If he wins with less than 50, say the upper 30s or 40s, he’ll get 2 delegates with the 3rd going to kasich or Cruz. There can be a dozen or more districts where he doesn’t get all 3. He can win a district with 99% and get 3. He can win a district with 51% and he still only gets 23. I doubt very much he will get all 95
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