Posted on 04/10/2016 7:21:04 AM PDT by Trump20162020
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton hold commanding leads in Pennsylvania, according to a new Fox News Poll.
Trump receives 48 percent among likely GOP primary voters in the Keystone State. That’s more than the combined support for John Kasich and Ted Cruz. Kasich is at 22 percent and Cruz gets 20 percent. Another 11 percent are undecided.
Just over half of men back Trump (53 percent), while the rest split between Kasich (20 percent) and Cruz (19 percent).
Women are a bit less enthusiastic about the front-runner: 42 percent support Trump, 25 percent Kasich and 20 percent Cruz.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
It won’t matter. Trump will walk away with PA but delegates will side with whoever Gleason forces them to, the GOPe pick.
GOPe don’t have a choice. Trump got the voters. Once it’s made clear to them that Trump voters will be unbound to the GOP in the November they will get with the Trump program. Their only other choice is unemployment. No Trump voters, no GOP. LOL.
establishment/cruz will just “influence “ the delegates again against the wish of the voters.
Voting they have no time for you stinking , peasant voters, remember what one guy said.
“The party picks the nominee , not the voters”
There are 54 unbounded delegates in PA. Anyone want to get the over/under on how many Trump will get. My prediction is 0, just like in Colorado.
“The GOPe always fights against anyone who may disrupt their corrupt power structure and special interest money flow. Better for them that a Democrat win and preserve the special interest money than win and have the graft and corruption money be disrupted.”
They’re like vermin that are too stupid to realize the rock they live under has been lifted, and the sunlight is now shining on them (mostly thanks to Donald Trump, by the way). If they don’t back off this “destroy Trump crusade” and their sad illusion that they can come into the convention and put one of their establishment cronies in there and no one will really care they’ll destroy the GOP forever. Hell, they probably already HAVE.
I actually think Cruz would win only 5 or 6 states in the general election. That is even if the Democratic candidate dropped dead and they rolled out someone entirely different a week before the election.
Gee I don’t understand how this could be. Don’t these 42% of women in Pennsylvania know they hate Trump? Wow! some people ... really.
I am not used to having to select delegates (I vote in CA, and do not recall ever having to vote on delegates).
So, in MD, there are three Trump delegates on the primary column. But in the alternate column, there is only one Trump delegate. (Hmm, why aren't there three?) So, what is a better strategy to support Trump? Clearly, voting for all three Trump delegates in the primary column is a no-brainer. But in the alternate column, should one vote just for the single Trump delegate and just not select two other options? Or should one vote for the Trump delegate and two others? In that case, is it better to vote for the uncommitted delegate and a Carson delegate, or for two Carson delegates (didn't Carson throw his support behind Trump, so won't his delegates go to Trump)?
This whole delegate system seems so unnecessarily complicated. It's too easy to accidentally vote for delegates for the person you don't support.
New York: 95% chance of Trump victory
Connecticut: 80% chance of Trump victory; Kasich 15%; Cruz 2%
Delaware: 83% chance of Trump victory; Cruz 11%; Kasich 6%
Maryland: 75% chance of Trump victory; Cruz 13%; Kasich 12%
Pennsylvania: 82% chance of Trump victory; Cruz 10%; Kasich 7%
Rhode Island: Trump 83% chance of victory; Kasich 11%; Cruz 6%
Of course, if Cruz was going to win, Steve Douche would be shouting from the rooftops.
If you're only getting 42% of Republican women primary voters 70% opposition in the general population isn't too far fetched.
Yeah, and ARG had Trump winning WI by 10 points 2 days before the primary.
Their only other choice is unemployment.....The RNC buys the delegates in PA, not hires them.
Seems D.Trump has a distinct advantage here, No?
The ARG poll was an anomaly; Trump is leading every single PA poll, with a 15.3% average, according to RCP.
Trumpkins are a bit math-challenged. If you have the support of 40% of the women in a party that is only 40% of the registered voters, that is not the same as having support of 40% of the women in the country. 40% of 40% is only 16% of the overall voting population (.4 * .4 = .16). Add in some possible supporters from independent women, and yes, you probably can get to about 25% support, but not much more than that.
Until Cruz sends in his thievin’ meemies to steal delegates after a legit election. This is what happens in Latin America.
I thought 100% of women hated Trump. How can he be getting nearly 50% and being it is likely skewed getting over 50%.
Cruz wins as long as nobody votes.
Pray America wakes
Does not matter the GOPe will see that Trump does not get any loyal delegates. #NeverCruz
See post 36 for the math - no one claimed 100% hated Trump, only 75%. And this poll would support that figure, as you can see from the math...
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