Posted on 09/01/2015 7:02:59 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
So says PPP, the same outfit responsible for that poll a few weeks back showing Trump losing head-to-head match-ups against Rubio and Walker in North Carolina. Either NC is an outlier or the mood has changed nationally because Republicans across America now prefer him to either of those candidates — and not narrowly either. He leads Rubio by eight when voters are forced to choose between them and Walker by 14. As for Jeb Bush, gadzooks:
Jeb’s got another month to turn things around before the donor class heads for the lifeboats, I think. There is one candidate tested who still tops Trump head to head: That’d be Ben Carson, the race’s nice-guy outsider, who leads Trump by six, 49/43. How come? Quite possibly because of evangelical support. Evangelicals prefer Trump to Bush, Rubio, and even Scott Walker by comfortable margins. Against Carson, though, Trump trails 49/41 among that group versus 48/44 among non-evangelicals. That’s a bad sign for Trumpmania in Iowa if Carson has legs.
Here’s an … interesting poll result.
Our new poll finds that Trump is benefiting from a GOP electorate that thinks Barack Obama is a Muslim and was born in another country, and that immigrant children should be deported. 66% of Trump’s supporters believe that Obama is a Muslim to just 12% that grant he’s a Christian. 61% think Obama was not born in the United States to only 21% who accept that he was. And 63% want to amend the Constitution to eliminate birthright citizenship, to only 20% who want to keep things the way they are.
Trump’s beliefs represent the consensus among the GOP electorate. 51% overall want to eliminate birthright citizenship. 54% think President Obama is a Muslim. And only 29% grant that President Obama was born in the United States. That’s less than the 40% who think Canadian born Ted Cruz was born in the United States.
Among Republicans who believe Obama was born in the U.S., Trump leads the GOP field with a comparatively modest 21 percent. Among those who don’t believe Obama was born here, he leads with 39 percent. Head to head among the group that believes Obama was born here, he trails all five candidates he’s tested against — Bush, Carson, Fiorina, Rubio, and Walker. Among the group that believes Obama wasn’t born here, he utterly demolishes all five, with Carson trailing by 16 points and the rest trailing by 30 points or more. You get similar results when you divide the primary electorate by who thinks Obama is a Christian and who thinks he’s a Muslim. Trump leads the field among the first group with 24 percent but leads among the second with 35 percent. The head-to-head polling is predictable too, with Trump trailing badly to Bush, Carson, Fiorina, and Rubio among the “Obama is a Christian” group but winning handily among the “Obama is a Muslim” crowd. (He leads Scott Walker among both groups.) You wanted populism, you got it.
As for Trump’s appeal among different wings of the party, it’s true that he’s leading among tea partiers and non-tea-partiers alike but his strength is much greater among the first group than the second here. Among TPers, he’s the first choice of 42 percent, far more than anyone else in the field; among non-TPers, he leads with 25 percent, 10 points ahead of Carson. In head-to-head match-ups TPers prefer him to all of the five other candidates, and only Carson even makes it close. Scott Walker, the next strongest Trump challenger in this category, trails him among tea partiers by 19 points.
But never mind all that. What you really want is the “Trump vs. Fox News and Megyn Kelly” polling. Here you go.
Tea partiers prefer Trump handily to Kelly but they’re evenly divided between Trump and Fox News generally. In fact, Fox has an astounding 86/4 favorable rating among tea partiers versus 62/19 for the rest of the party. Even Kelly is at 48/27 within the group, a rating most politicians would accept happily. Interestingly, although Fox News’s favorability is much higher among those who say Obama wasn’t born in the U.S. than those who say he is, Kelly’s favorability runs the other way, increasing among those who think Obama was born here. The same trend shows up among those who say Obama’s a Christian and those who say Obama’s a Muslim: Fox is more popular with the latter group whereas Kelly is more popular with the former. That’s in keeping with her image generally as a more middle-of-the-road anchor in Fox’s otherwise firmly right-wing line-up.
Oh, incidentally: She just finished the month of August at number one in all of cable news, O’Reilly included, in the 25-54 demo, the group that advertisers care most about. That’s only the third time she’s done that since “The Kelly File” began. What happened to the post-debate boycott?
We know who sides with the citizens and the rule of law and who doesn’t.
The Cheap Labor Express candidates
¡Yeb!
Rubberio
Grahamnesty
La Raza Rick Perry
Huckster
Pataki
NJFatBoy
Fiorina
Kasich
Gilmore
So happy to hear this! Rubio is a dick. Says “America is great right now.” What’s he sniffing?
Sniffing? Tagger paint cans on the railways.
So Carson’s the only one who beats Trump heads-up. I still don’t get the Carson thing. He’s black and bright and clean and articulate, and... and... yeah.
Stupidest poll I have eve seen. What kind of outfit asks its respondents where Hussein was born? And polls candidates against talking heads? LOl. Worthless.
People trust him. I don’t trust Trump any more than I do Bohener or McConnell.
Cruz wants to increase H-1B visas 5 fold so he is the conductor of the cheap labor express.
I trust my next door neighbor but I’m not going to vote for him.
Rubio is right. His sugar daddy rich donors are doing just fine. That is all Rubio has to worry about. They want the cheap labor express of immigrant labor, and Rubio will happily bend over for them.
I trust my wife and do not like one of my neighbors. But I will never vote for my wife to be president. I will vote for the prickly neighbor who can shake up Washington DC.
Every one is impressed with Carson’s good manners, gentle speech, and good brain surgeons mostly have superior intellects compared to 95% of populations.
DO not compare Obama with Carson. Obama did not do anything useful in his entire life. Obama could not run a hot dog stand without losing money.
Add Carson. He won’t deport.
Carson and Carly both say no deportation. Ugh!
Great.
OK.
Arbusto is Toast. Rubio is now a known liar. The other guy is likely a GOPee plant to deluvef a certain State. Lame GOPee.
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Arbusto is Toast. Rubio is now a known liar. The other guy is likely a GOPee plant to deluvef a certain State. Lame GOPee.
Carson said early on...We might need to restrict semi-auto weapons in “high crime” areas...
I don’trememberthatin:
“A well regulated militia, being necessary to the security of a free state, the right of the people to keep and bear arms, shall not be infringed.”
So I will “Limit brain surgeons access to the Presidency”.
...should I also limit THE DONALD?
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