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Why Is Donald Trump Polling So Well?
National Journal ^ | July 1st, 2015 | By Lauren Fox

Posted on 07/01/2015 12:54:57 PM PDT by Mariner

July 1, 2015 Macy's is ditching him, NBC has let him go, and Univision refuses to broadcast his famed beauty pageant. But American voters are still entertaining the idea of President Donald Trump.

In a Republican presidential field rich with esteemed governors and senators, tough-talking businessman Trump has managed to rise in the polls to be a top-tier candidate even after he elicited controversy for his statements about Mexican immigrants during his campaign announcement.

A CNN/ORC poll released Wednesday showed Trump had 12 percent of the vote among Republicans and Republican-leaners, second only to former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who earned 19 percent. A Quinnipiac poll, which was also out Wednesday, revealed Trump was also tied for second with Dr. Ben Carson among likely Republican caucus voters in Iowa. Carson and Trump each had 10 percent of the vote. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker led the pack with 18 percent.

But with so many qualified Republican presidential contenders out there, Trump's rise is not expected to last. Several pollsters consulted for the story say the recent bump may reflect the entrepreneur's high name ID more than it shows genuine voter support. And at a time when the Republican field is so fractured, with more than a dozen candidates in the race, Trump's low, double-digit poll numbers are enough to fling him toward the top. If he cannot expand his base, though, he's expected to fizzle out fast.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; donaldchump; donaldhump; donaldtrump; election2016; newyork; poll; polling; polls; populism; populist; therug; trump
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To: gingerbread

Mind your language, please; there are ladies present.


81 posted on 07/01/2015 3:48:17 PM PDT by Bigg Red (Let's put the ship of state on Cruz Control with Ted Cruz.)
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To: Leep
"Trump = Guliano"

How so?

82 posted on 07/01/2015 4:00:52 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18 - Be The Leaderless Resistance)
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To: Mariner

“Trump = Guliano”
How so?

Not so much political views. Except that they are both kind of popularist who shoot from hip. Guliano polled around 10-12% for most of his run. He also didn’t take a single state.


83 posted on 07/01/2015 4:15:03 PM PDT by Leep (10)
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To: dragnet2

OK—One more time—Trump was talking about Illegal Aliens from Mexico—not immigrants—and its a fact some are criminals, murderers, gang bangers, rapists etc... Not all but even Trump said some were good people.


84 posted on 07/01/2015 4:23:04 PM PDT by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll Onward! Ride to the sound of the guns!)
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To: Doogle
Americans are tired of OBAMAVILLE

They are more than a little tired of Mitch and John I would think. I predict that we will lose the Senate maybe even the House next election and I don't think it will matter who is on the GOP ticket for President.

Trump is popular because he is not an insider politician. I predict if he and Carley both make the cut she will smoke him in the debate, then she will become a force to reckon with mainly because she is not a politician either. Just my 2¢.

No one here mentioned Carley's appearance on Hannity last week but she was outstanding with every question he put to her. One I liked was what do we do about countries that refuse to take those that need to be deported after doing jail time, and their country won't take the. She said we could start by refusing visas from that country in or out and that might bring them around.

85 posted on 07/01/2015 4:30:04 PM PDT by itsahoot (55 years a republican-Now Independent. Will write in Sarah Palin, no matter who runs. RIH-GOP)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

That goes without saying here, but thanks for that.


86 posted on 07/01/2015 4:30:41 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: Mariner
Several pollsters consulted for the story say the recent bump may reflect the entrepreneur's high name ID more than it shows genuine voter support.

Not a clue between them...Fire them all.

87 posted on 07/01/2015 4:33:46 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: Rebelbase

Well it could sure be worse but everyone is within the margin of error and pretty much anyone can get 1 in 10.


88 posted on 07/01/2015 5:40:31 PM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: Mariner

Trump, Cruz, Walker and Fiorina are the only ones that are not total wimps. The rest of them can kiss my butt.

I have a list of litmus tests in mind, whoever meets the most of them will get my vote in the primary.


89 posted on 07/01/2015 6:59:38 PM PDT by Some Fat Guy in L.A. (Still bitterly clinging to rational thought despite it's unfashionability)
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To: CatherineofAragon

Just for the public record, I am not a Trump fan. I also would prefer Cruz, but considering the long odds of his winning the nomination, I would not hesitate to consign this corrupt government to the absolute chaos that a Trump administration would bring.


90 posted on 07/01/2015 7:37:06 PM PDT by ez (Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is... - Miltonsd)
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To: CatherineofAragon
"My in-laws did very well for themselves through a lifetime of hard work."

That was then. We have a kleptocracy in this country, now. Consider that we have a Chicago thief in the White House. The leading candidate for the next election is the CEO of a RICO eligible bribery brokerage.

If you want to get rich, run for office. As soon as the local party heads know you can be bought, AND keep your mouth shut, you will have a lifetime job. Now that the Supreme Court has confirmed that you don't have to be a citizen to vote, you will never lose an "election".

91 posted on 07/01/2015 10:55:48 PM PDT by jonascord (It's sarcasm unless otherwise noted...)
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To: Sacajaweau

I agree. I don’t think Hillary Clinton will be the Democrat nominee.


92 posted on 07/01/2015 11:02:08 PM PDT by Mr. N. Wolfe
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To: jonascord
"That was then."

What do you mean, it was "then"? You're assuming, aren't you?

It's now. My father-in-law is still working as hard as ever at the family business. He's on a first name basis with quite a few well-known conservative politicians. He does not donate to Democrats, and it hasn't affected his success.

Selling out isn't a given. But Trump IS a liberal, so it naturally follows that he would donate to Democrats.

" We have a kleptocracy in this country, now. Consider that we have a Chicago thief in the White House. The leading candidate for the next election is the CEO of a RICO eligible bribery brokerage."

Yes, I know all that, which is why I support Ted Cruz.

"If you want to get rich, run for office. As soon as the local party heads know you can be bought, AND keep your mouth shut, you will have a lifetime job. Now that the Supreme Court has confirmed that you don't have to be a citizen to vote, you will never lose an "election".

Okay, so you're on record as being willing to support and take part in that corruption.

Doesn't have to be like that.

93 posted on 07/02/2015 6:46:17 AM PDT by CatherineofAragon (("This is a Laztatorship. You don't like it, get a day's rations and get out of this office."))
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To: ez
"Just for the public record, I am not a Trump fan. I also would prefer Cruz, but considering the long odds of his winning the nomination, I would not hesitate to consign this corrupt government to the absolute chaos that a Trump administration would bring."

Consider the flawed logic there.

Cruz would be a shoo-in if we got behind him solidly instead of shrugging our shoulders and saying oh, well, he's a long shot, so maybe I'll vote for the Democrat.

I myself will never cast a vote for a liberal, and that includes Trump.

94 posted on 07/02/2015 6:51:26 AM PDT by CatherineofAragon (("This is a Laztatorship. You don't like it, get a day's rations and get out of this office."))
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To: bboop
Darren, that’s all I can think. Trump donated to Hilalry for President. He’s been donating to them for years. Who’s to say she has not hired him/ put him up to this as part of some dirty tricks?

Remember the 1992 presidential election? When Bill Clinton came into power despite only winning 43% of the popular vote, because Ross Perot, running 3rd party, split the conservative vote? I'm sure Hillary hasn't.

I think the Dems only hope in 2016 is to have Trump run as an independent, and repeat what Perot did.

95 posted on 07/02/2015 6:54:23 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (You don't notice it's a police state until the police come fokquote>r you.)
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To: CatherineofAragon
"He's on a first name basis with quite a few well-known conservative politicians. He does not donate to Democrats, and it hasn't affected his success."

How nice. In your little fantasy world, there are no corrupt Republicans. Like your FIL would brag about how he buys politicians or political appointees, as needed, in his local power structure.

How about this: Start a petition to jack up the penalty for ANY public official who accepts a bribe to life without parole in a supermax prison. First offence, he's gone. See how many signatures you get, and see whether it would ever see daylight for a vote.

After all, if everyone is as honest as you say, what difference would it make?

Look up the back story on Hillary's Tyson/commodities score/triple trailer bribe. It was wildly illegal, a pure con from start to finish. But she walked away with $100,000+ and it's a wakeup on how the world works. Your FIL is lying to you.

96 posted on 07/02/2015 8:00:01 AM PDT by jonascord (It's sarcasm unless otherwise noted...)
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To: jonascord
"How nice. In your little fantasy world, there are no corrupt Republicans."

Uh-huh. A quick glance at my posting history would cure you of that notion, but keep going.

Your strawman is irrelevant to the issue of donating to liberals.

" Like your FIL would brag about how he buys politicians or political appointees, as needed, in his local power structure."

Oh, my, sounds like I hit a nerve somewhere along the way, because you're just bristling.

"How about this: Start a petition to jack up the penalty for ANY public official who accepts a bribe to life without parole in a supermax prison. First offence, he's gone. See how many signatures you get, and see whether it would ever see daylight for a vote."

Why don't you do that, and while you're at it, keep your own statement in mind: "If I had millions, I'd donate to the Clintons."

"After all, if everyone is as honest as you say, what difference would it make?"

Interesting that the prospect of an honest man produces such a response in you. Well...considering what you''re attempting to justify, no...I guess it isn't.

"Look up the back story on Hillary's Tyson/commodities score/triple trailer bribe. It was wildly illegal, a pure con from start to finish. But she walked away with $100,000+ and it's a wakeup on how the world works."

Don't need it.

" Your FIL is lying to you."

LOL

97 posted on 07/02/2015 8:16:56 AM PDT by CatherineofAragon (("This is a Laztatorship. You don't like it, get a day's rations and get out of this office."))
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To: CatherineofAragon
"The lady doth protest too much, methinks."> Hamlet, Act 3, scene 2.

Shakespeare is handy, don't you think?

98 posted on 07/02/2015 8:43:15 AM PDT by jonascord (It's sarcasm unless otherwise noted...)
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To: jonascord
Clearly you don't think.

You react and lash out when someone steps through the holes in your arguments.

Keep it coming, if you want...it's kind of fun.

99 posted on 07/02/2015 10:17:43 AM PDT by CatherineofAragon (("This is a Laztatorship. You don't like it, get a day's rations and get out of this office."))
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To: CatherineofAragon

Oh, gee, the Dunning-Kruger Effect rides again...


100 posted on 07/02/2015 4:24:51 PM PDT by jonascord (It's sarcasm unless otherwise noted...)
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