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InsiderAdvantage Poll (FL): Gingrich Surging, Race 'Tighter Than Expected'
Newsmax ^ | 1-29-2012 | Staff

Posted on 01/29/2012 8:05:02 PM PST by TitansAFC

A new InsiderAdvantage poll conducted Sunday night of likely Republican voters in the state of Florida shows a significant surge for Newt Gingrich.

The poll has Mitt Romney leading with 36 percent of voters, followed by Gingrich at 31 percent.

The Sunday results of 646 likely GOP voters are as follows: Romney 36 percent Gingrich 31 percent Santorum 12 percent Paul 12 percent Other/Undecided 9 percent "The race will be tighter than expected," Matt Towery, chief pollster of InsiderAdvantage told Newsmax.

Towery noted that his poll showed a surge for Romney on Wednesday, with him leading Gingrich by 8 points. The InsiderAdvantage poll was among the first to show Romney's resurgence after his dismal showing in the S. Carolina primary.

The InsiderAdvantage poll was also the first to show Gingrich's rise in S. Carolina and accurately forecast his win there.

"The trend is favoring Gingrich," Towery said, noting that while Romney's lead was still outside the margin of error of 3.8 percent, "It's not by much.".........

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; florida; gingrich; newt; romney; santorum
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To: Josh Painter

The last 48 hours are usually the biggest movement and the undecideds go against the establishment candidate. This is far from over. It will come down to how well Newt sells himself over the nest 24 hours.

Pray for America


121 posted on 01/29/2012 9:15:10 PM PST by bray (More Batting Practice for the Bambino)
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To: gswilder

Gingrich outperformed the polls in SC by about 7 points.


122 posted on 01/29/2012 9:15:35 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: gswilder

I am not sure what surge IA is seeing. Their poll posted on 1/26 (with data through 1/25), showed it Romney +8, about the same as what the OP showed. Big difference between the IA poll and Survey USA which both did surveys today.
_________________________

I too have concerns with the IA targeting, because so very few (over 600) were polled, in a state the size and population of Florida with its diverse demographics and regions.


123 posted on 01/29/2012 9:16:15 PM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. NEWT 2012 / Santorum supporters are "good men doing nothing".)
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To: TitansAFC

The call has gone out and one lantern has been spotted in the North Church!
The Regulars are coming, wake up your men and bring them to Lexington at once! Wake up the Regulars are coming!
Wake up and be a FREE MAN or Liberty dies tonight!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wjfrexe61XI


124 posted on 01/29/2012 9:16:43 PM PST by TheCause ("that these United Colonies are, and of right ought to be, free and independent States")
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To: libh8er

(women are still favoring Romney)

GEE, We heard that for SC and Guess what? It wasn’t true at all.


125 posted on 01/29/2012 9:17:37 PM PST by ConfidentConservative (If my people shall humble themselves and pray,I will hear from Heaven and heal their land.)
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To: TheCause

One if by land, Newt if by sea


126 posted on 01/29/2012 9:19:24 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: for-q-clinton

As noted elsewhere today, Romney often underperforms the polls.


127 posted on 01/29/2012 9:19:50 PM PST by greeneyes (Moderation in defense of your country is NO virtue. Let Freedom Ring.)
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To: TitansAFC

What a surprise! The GOP-E narrative turns out to be complete smoke and mirrors.


128 posted on 01/29/2012 9:20:24 PM PST by VictoryGal (Never give up, never surrender! REMEMBER NEDA)
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To: TitansAFC

GO Newton Leroy!


129 posted on 01/29/2012 9:20:43 PM PST by matthew fuller (My replacement for Drudge- http://orbusmax.com/)
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To: stanne

Newt’s a dog.
But he’s our dog!
________________________

You know it’s gotten bigger than Newt, hasn’t it? It’s about open revolt now against the power of the Establishment sabotaging all candidates, kneecapping all threats to the one *they* picked for us. Same old playbook and the nation is in the dumper. Phooey.


130 posted on 01/29/2012 9:20:43 PM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. NEWT 2012 / Santorum supporters are "good men doing nothing".)
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To: KansasGirl
No, but a girl can hope can’t she.

Your post made it sound like you had some kind of info that led you to believe Santorum was on the verge of getting out of the race. Someone else posted something similar on this thread...I'm looking for information, not wishful thinking.

Santorum hasn't indicated that he's going anywhere.

131 posted on 01/29/2012 9:21:59 PM PST by Chunga (Ron Paul is a fruitcakey jackass.)
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To: CanadianBloodAmericanHeart

“Could you imagine how this board would light up with excitement if Newt wins Fla...man oh man.”

Could you imagine how much the nation would light up in excitement? And Obama light up to sooth the fear?


132 posted on 01/29/2012 9:22:55 PM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: CanadianBloodAmericanHeart

watch for the “unexpected” Newt “surge” in the final days....the polls can cheat early on..but have to be close on election day.....

My call...Newt by 4


133 posted on 01/29/2012 9:24:08 PM PST by M-cubed
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To: bondserv
"Her bus tour with Newt was the Newtron Bomb."

That was a great interview. Did you see afterwards where she said she was getting all kinds of hate mail from Romney people saying she was a shrill for Newt and it wasn't fair that she didn't have a bus tour with Romney. She said (paraphrase) Romney's people have short memories because she did a bus tour with him in South Carolina.

134 posted on 01/29/2012 9:24:11 PM PST by Spunky (Sarah Palin on Polls "Poles are for Strippers and Cross Country Skiers")
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To: for-q-clinton

Since this is mostly just negatives about newt and not why one should vote for Romney there is a good chance many will just sit at home without someone to vote FOR.
_____________________________________________

You may have a point there. GOD be with us.


135 posted on 01/29/2012 9:24:55 PM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. NEWT 2012 / Santorum supporters are "good men doing nothing".)
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To: TitansAFC

You won’t see this on Drudge. You also won’t see the Gallup national poll on there either. You would think the people would just be fed up with the establishment by now and just vote for Newt as a matter of protesting how they are being manipulated.

If people want to change in Washington, they need to start saying NO to the big money negative ads by Romney which really say, “I can’t win you over by telling you about myself, so I’ll just rip on my opponent and hopefully scare you over to my side.”

If people want change, they’ll listen to what the candidates actually have to say, ignore all the polls, ignore what the media tells you who you’re supposed to vote for and just vote for who they think is best to make the change.

If conservatives want change, they will rally behind one candidate, consolidate the conservative vote and take down Romney. There are more of us than them, but we need to come together or we’re going to roll out another weak moderate against Obama.

It’s time to join forces and let’s get behind Newt. He’s the smartest guy out there with the boldest ideas. He’s the guy you want on that stage across from Obama. He’s led a revolution before and he’ll lead one again.


136 posted on 01/29/2012 9:25:04 PM PST by larryleo (We all need to get Newtered!)
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To: CaptainKrunch

Yep. I call Mittens “the Stepford candidate.”


137 posted on 01/29/2012 9:25:15 PM PST by RedWhiteBlue (Mama tried)
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To: TitansAFC
There was some FReeper who pointed out a couple of days ago (I think in response to the PPP poll) that this is following the standard track for polls designed to INFLUENCE public opinion, not measure it: vast lead for the most liberal candidate until two days before the event, at which point the conservative makes an AMAZING surge to something like the real numbers (lest the pollsters lose future credibility by being wrong by 15 percentage points, and with that loss, future contracts).

Go NEWT.

Cheers!

138 posted on 01/29/2012 9:25:15 PM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: RitaOK; All

The latest on Bella, Santorum’s daughter, is not good. She has pneumonia and is on a respirator. Pneumonia would be bad enough, but it’s really serious to be on a respirator.

I don’t know if he will leave the child since she is this bad. He can’t win and with this sick child, he needs to endorse Newt and deal with his family.


139 posted on 01/29/2012 9:27:32 PM PST by Marcella (Newt will smash Hussein in debates. Newt needs money.)
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To: bondserv

The Insider poll called the surge just before the primary vote.

They were the only one that did.

FL is an unknown, but it is surely not as far apart as the press propaganda states.

Go Newt!


140 posted on 01/29/2012 9:28:12 PM PST by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one)
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