Posted on 03/18/2010 7:11:08 AM PDT by GOPGuide
Longtime incumbent John McCain now leads conservative challenger J.D. Hayworth by just seven points in Arizona’s hotly contested Republican Senate Primary race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely Arizona GOP Primary voters shows McCain ahead 48% to 41%. Three percent (3%) favor another candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.
Following the announcement that Sarah Palin would campaign for his reelection, McCain opened up a 53% to 31% lead over Hayworth in January. The two men were in a near tie in November.
But now Hayworth, a former congressman turned popular local talk radio host, is a formal candidate, and anti-immigration activist Chris Simcox has quit the race and endorsed him. For McCain, the new numbers also show him dropping again below 50%, and incumbents who poll less than 50% at this stage of a campaign are considered potentially vulnerable.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
Hayworth leads by seven points among male primary voters but trails by 23 among women. He edges McCain by five points among party conservatives, but the incumbent holds substantial margins among Republicans who identify themselves as moderates or liberals.
Hayworth has been attacking McCain as not conservative enough, but the senator, who just two years ago was the Republican presidential nominee, has been countering with a number of heavyweight endorsements from the right. Palin will attend a McCain rally in Tucson later this month.
Polling last fall found that 61% of Arizona Republicans felt McCain was out of touch with the party base.
Arizona Republicans will choose their Senate nominee in an August 24 primary, and for now that’s the major battle of this Senate cycle since no major Democrat has announced yet as a candidate.
Twenty-nine percent (29%) of GOP Primary voters have a very favorable opinion of McCain, who has represented Arizona in the Senate since 1987. Fifteen percent (15%) view him very unfavorably.
Hayworth is seen very favorably by 25% and very unfavorably by 15%.
While both candidates are well-known among likely primary voters, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers at this point in a campaign.
Just 11% of Republicans in the state approve of the job President Obama is doing, while 88% disapprove.
Forty-seven percent (47%) approve of the performance of the state’s GOP governor, Jan Brewer, who is in a tough reelection battle this year. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. These findings include six percent (6%) who strongly approve of how she’s doing her job and 17% who strongly disapprove.
In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point.
In Arizona during the 2008 campaign, Rasmussen Reports polling showed McCain winning the state by a 51% to 45% margin. McCain defeated Obama 54% to 45%. In the 2006 Arizona governor’s race, Rasmussen polling showed Janet Napolitano defeating Len Munsil 58% to 37%. Napolitano won 63% to 35%. In the 2006 race for U.S. Senate, Rasmussen polling showed Jon Kyl leading Jim Pederson by nine, 51% to 42%. Kyl won by nine, 53% to 44%.
See all Rasmussen Reports 2008 state results for president, Senate and governor. See 2006 results for Senate and governor. See 2004 state results for president.
Maybe you should send her a list of things she can and can’t do to get your vote, you know so she can be a leader in your eyes. She is doing it as a courtesy and will not add or subtract one vote for InSaine. He’s toast.
Pray for America
I know...but it would be nice to see the conservative wing of the Republican party take hold of the party and relegate McCain's sorry ass to the back of the room.
What shallow nonsense!
If she can't get herself out of that tight spot - how can we expect her to get out of the tight spots she will find herself in as president? This is a serious flaw - and we need to find a candidate that can be strong in the face of tremendous challenges. McCain asking for a political favor is NOTHING compared to what the president faces every day.
Is she up to the job?
And don't forget:
Santorum endorsed Specter and
Bush endorsed Specter
“Hayworth leads by seven points among male primary voters but trails by 23 among women. He edges McCain by five points among party conservatives, but the incumbent holds substantial margins among Republicans who identify themselves as moderates or liberals.”
Uninformed Cindy/Meghan women and squishy moderates...McCain’s kind of people!
Women of Arizona, wake up!
If this poll is correct, it’s the lost people of Arizona who are going to be toast. The fact that so many of them would continue to support such a _representative_, indicates that many of them may already toast.
I can’t believe she will really do that(campaining for McCave)untill i see it.
Hoping she will change stance or make a very poor appearance
Sarah, Romney, Brown and the rest can take their endorsements and ..........
SO mad Bush did that, as well as Chaffee. GRRRRR!!!!
You’re right! There is a world of time between now and the primary. JD is in position.
McCain should not even be running again. He’s had his day. He should retire, join the Minutemen, and patrol beautiful cactus country.
McCain is almost as important to defeat as obama
Tancredo endorsed Romney
DeMint endorsed Romney
Pawlenty endorsed McCain
Thompson endorsed McCain
Newt endorsed Scozzafava
Santorum endorsed Specter
Rubio endorsed Huckabee
Santorum endorsed Romney
Scott Brown endorsed Rommey
Ann Coulter endorsed Romney
Mark Levin endorsed Romney
Dick Cheney endorsed McCain
Thune endorsed McCain
Jindahl endorsed McCain
Huckabee endorsed McCain
Bachmann endorsed McCain/Palin
Ron Paul endorsed Chuck Baldwin
Forgot one: Paul Ryan endorsed McCain for President
Forgot another one.
Rick Perry (Governor-Texas) endorsed Rudy Guiliani.
Robert Gibbs is Bagdad Bob reincarnate!
;-)
Palin has a great opportunity to back out of this with the upcoming immigration reform issue. Juan will no doubt come out and support amnesty. She can use this as the straw to break the camels back and excuse herself from this race or outright flip her support to JD.
One of the reasons McCain has any support at all is because CBS and others have his mug on TV every week. For the media McCain and Graham are the only republicans in the country.
And on top of that, voters don’t know his position on issues, they believe the lies he spews instead...’it’s not amnesty...’
Good old John...trying to fool the public yet again.
http://www.johnmccain.com/issues/post/protecting-our-borders-and-our-homeland/
snips
John McCain is committed to securing our borders.
John McCain does not support amnesty
______________________
After the 2008 election:
Poll: Voters Unaware of Candidates’ Immigration Positions; McCain Supporters Farthest Off the Mark
# Only 34 percent of McCain voters, 42 percent of Clinton voters, and 52 percent of Obama voters correctly identified their candidate as favoring eventual citizenship for illegal immigrants who meet certain requirements.
# Of McCain voters, 35 percent mistakenly thought he favored enforcement that would cause illegals to return home, another 10 percent thought he wanted mass deportations, and 21 percent didn’t know his position.
# Voters often held different positions from the candidate they supported. Only 31 percent of McCain voters had the same immigration position as he does
Keep lyin’ to them, John!! It’s the only way you can win.
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