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Hurricane/TS Katrina Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 26 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida

Images:


Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Excellent South FL radar loop

Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; tropical; weather
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To: twin2

Thank you for checking in! Keep us updated as you can.


201 posted on 08/26/2005 8:40:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Howlin

What a beautiful baby! Bless her, her mom and dad and all.


202 posted on 08/26/2005 8:41:30 AM PDT by krunkygirl
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To: dawn53
The trip up there is via car. Trip home in higher profile SUV. I'll keep the windows open so the crosswinds can blow through...

;o)

203 posted on 08/26/2005 8:42:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: MikeinIraq
The conditions in the GOM are quite different than what we saw with Opal. Climatologically, we shouldn't see a cat4 hitting the N GOM this time of year. So, I will hope that works out for us this time around.
204 posted on 08/26/2005 8:42:34 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx
The conditions in the GOM are quite different than what we saw with Opal.

However, with Opal there were some cooler SSTs in the northern Gulf that helped weaken her before landfall.

But right now the Northern Gulf has the warmest SSTs in the Atlantic Basin. And Katrina's moving into them.

205 posted on 08/26/2005 8:46:13 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: dirtboy; NautiNurse

Bastardi getting crazy (calling for 910mb - shades of Camille):

http://playlist.yahoo.com/makeplaylist.dll?ID=762848


206 posted on 08/26/2005 8:47:44 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx

If this holds together and goes as the NHC forecasts, this potential Cat 3 storm would be coming ashore about midday Monday on the coast between Panama City and Fort Walton beach (with Eglin AFB somewhat in the crosshairs, LOL). BUT we have all seen these storms have minds of their own.

This means, in my opinion, that AL/MS/FL folks should get their supplies and gas tanks topped off before the mets come out at 5/6 PM and start spilling the beans on this storm.


207 posted on 08/26/2005 8:48:00 AM PDT by libtoken
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To: silentknight

Morning images

http://www5.wright-weather.com/bb/showthread.php?s=&postid=451687#post451687


Will add more images through the day.


208 posted on 08/26/2005 8:48:25 AM PDT by silentknight
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To: silentknight

Thanks for the updates! Appreciate the links.


209 posted on 08/26/2005 8:51:12 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: silentknight

Whoa...just checked Wunderground...they have an 11:30 advisory with sustained at 100 mph gusts to 120.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200512_5day.html


210 posted on 08/26/2005 8:52:17 AM PDT by dawn53
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To: silentknight

Also be sure to check out http://www.easternuswx.com/bb for some great pro met discussions on Katrina and the latest updated news and information on the storm.


http://www.easternuswx.com/bb


211 posted on 08/26/2005 8:54:50 AM PDT by CSI007
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To: Brytani; All
Homestead .. my old hometown .. my friends down there were very nonchalant about it yesterday afternoon .. thought it would stay north of them. I told them they were in for the dirty side and to be safe, and they just blew it off and worthless worry. I just tried calling land and cell phone ... no service.

Do you have water coming into your home?

I watched that thing pound S. Dade for hours and hours. There probably aren't too many farmers left now, but whatever farmland there is has to be lakes. People are boating and jetskiing in the streets there on the video links below.

Would really appreciate knowing more any more news you learn about the damage in the Homestead area .. if you have to chance to find out. I lived there for 25+ years.

She's a Cat. 2, tops winds at 100 mph, and steaming along her treacherous path .. prayers for all in her way. Just kills me to think about it going to the centeral Panhandle .. again. Those poor souls, God bless them all.

Video reports from South Dade

212 posted on 08/26/2005 8:57:17 AM PDT by STARWISE (GITMO IS TOO GOOD FOR THESE TRAITORS -- SEND THEM ALL TO EGYPT FOR QUESTIONING.)
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To: NautiNurse

I thought "Katrina"was in New York(van den heuvel)!!!


213 posted on 08/26/2005 8:58:56 AM PDT by bandleader
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; Alia; alnick; Amelia; asp1; Bahbah; balrog666; blam; blueberry12; ...

Katrina Category 2 hurricane in the GOM...rapidly strengthening

214 posted on 08/26/2005 8:59:01 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: CSI007

Quote "Also be sure to check out http://www.easternuswx.com/bb for some great pro met discussions on Katrina and the latest updated news and information on the storm.


http://www.easternuswx.com/bb "

Some of the best discussion on the internet can be found at that web site. Several forecasters out-perform the NHC on a regular basis.


215 posted on 08/26/2005 8:59:15 AM PDT by silentknight
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To: NautiNurse

Glad to see you back on-line ;o) We were acting like spoiled kids yesterday needing you. You've SPOILED US...LOL...


216 posted on 08/26/2005 9:02:38 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: NautiNurse

This storm is growing real fast NautiNurse. Prayers for you guys on Fla. West Coast.The Panhandle looks like it will take another hit.


217 posted on 08/26/2005 9:04:44 AM PDT by lexington minuteman 1775
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To: NautiNurse; rodguy911; nwctwx
Holy Lord!! 15-20" of rain in the Keys!! How can that little sliver of land handle that??? 80mph wind gust just reported in Key West.

Rodguy -- prayers for your safety and flotation, and all those in the Keys.

218 posted on 08/26/2005 9:04:59 AM PDT by STARWISE (GITMO IS TOO GOOD FOR THESE TRAITORS -- SEND THEM ALL TO EGYPT FOR QUESTIONING.)
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To: NautiNurse

thanks for the ping.


219 posted on 08/26/2005 9:05:45 AM PDT by groanup (shred for Ian)
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To: All; STARWISE; Dog Gone
Could Katrina head to TX? or LA?, If GL Midwest trough misses it...???
Meteorologist: Dave Tolleris (DT-Wxrisk)
220 posted on 08/26/2005 9:06:19 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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