Hurricane/TS Katrina Live Thread, Part II

NHC - NOAA ^ | 26 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Excellent South FL radar loop

Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[NautiNurse]

Thank you for checking in! Keep us updated as you can.

[krunkygirl]

What a beautiful baby! Bless her, her mom and dad and all.

[NautiNurse]

The trip up there is via car. Trip home in higher profile SUV. I'll keep the windows open so the crosswinds can blow through...

;o)

[nwctwx]

The conditions in the GOM are quite different than what we saw with Opal. Climatologically, we shouldn't see a cat4 hitting the N GOM this time of year. So, I will hope that works out for us this time around.

[dirtboy]

The conditions in the GOM are quite different than what we saw with Opal.

However, with Opal there were some cooler SSTs in the northern Gulf that helped weaken her before landfall.

But right now the Northern Gulf has the warmest SSTs in the Atlantic Basin. And Katrina's moving into them.

[nwctwx]

Bastardi getting crazy (calling for 910mb - shades of Camille):

http://playlist.yahoo.com/makeplaylist.dll?ID=762848

[libtoken]

If this holds together and goes as the NHC forecasts, this potential Cat 3 storm would be coming ashore about midday Monday on the coast between Panama City and Fort Walton beach (with Eglin AFB somewhat in the crosshairs, LOL). BUT we have all seen these storms have minds of their own.

This means, in my opinion, that AL/MS/FL folks should get their supplies and gas tanks topped off before the mets come out at 5/6 PM and start spilling the beans on this storm.

[silentknight]

Morning images

http://www5.wright-weather.com/bb/showthread.php?s=&postid=451687#post451687


Will add more images through the day.

[NautiNurse]

Thanks for the updates! Appreciate the links.

[dawn53]

Whoa...just checked Wunderground...they have an 11:30 advisory with sustained at 100 mph gusts to 120.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200512_5day.html

[CSI007]

Also be sure to check out http://www.easternuswx.com/bb for some great pro met discussions on Katrina and the latest updated news and information on the storm.


http://www.easternuswx.com/bb

[STARWISE]

Homestead .. my old hometown .. my friends down there were very nonchalant about it yesterday afternoon .. thought it would stay north of them. I told them they were in for the dirty side and to be safe, and they just blew it off and worthless worry. I just tried calling land and cell phone ... no service.

Do you have water coming into your home?

I watched that thing pound S. Dade for hours and hours. There probably aren't too many farmers left now, but whatever farmland there is has to be lakes. People are boating and jetskiing in the streets there on the video links below.

Would really appreciate knowing more any more news you learn about the damage in the Homestead area .. if you have to chance to find out. I lived there for 25+ years.

She's a Cat. 2, tops winds at 100 mph, and steaming along her treacherous path .. prayers for all in her way. Just kills me to think about it going to the centeral Panhandle .. again. Those poor souls, God bless them all.

Video reports from South Dade

[bandleader]

I thought "Katrina"was in New York(van den heuvel)!!!

[NautiNurse]

Katrina Category 2 hurricane in the GOM...rapidly strengthening

[silentknight]

Quote "Also be sure to check out http://www.easternuswx.com/bb for some great pro met discussions on Katrina and the latest updated news and information on the storm.


http://www.easternuswx.com/bb "

Some of the best discussion on the internet can be found at that web site. Several forecasters out-perform the NHC on a regular basis.

[shield]

Glad to see you back on-line ;o) We were acting like spoiled kids yesterday needing you. You've SPOILED US...LOL...

[lexington minuteman 1775]

This storm is growing real fast NautiNurse. Prayers for you guys on Fla. West Coast.The Panhandle looks like it will take another hit.

[STARWISE]

Holy Lord!! 15-20" of rain in the Keys!! How can that little sliver of land handle that??? 80mph wind gust just reported in Key West.

Rodguy -- prayers for your safety and flotation, and all those in the Keys.

[groanup]

thanks for the ping.

[nwctwx]

Could Katrina head to TX? or LA?, If GL Midwest trough misses it...???
Meteorologist: Dave Tolleris (DT-Wxrisk)