Posted on 06/10/2004 12:19:49 AM PDT by kattracks
June 10, 2004 -- NOW is a good time to look back at the landslide win that sent Ronald Reagan to the White House in 1980, because lots of analysts think 2004 could turn out the same way — close for a long time and then suddenly breaking wide open. In 1980, the break came just days before the vote, when Democrat Jimmy Carter finally agreed to debate. Reagan came off as sunny instead of scary and when he admonished Carter with a smile, "There you go again," it was all over.Like President Bush, Carter faced voters nervous over both the economy and foreign policy and wondering whether it's time for a change — in Carter's case, skyrocketing inflation at home plus the endless Iran hostage crisis.
But there's a big difference, since Carter kept getting bad news on both fronts, while Bush is starting to get good news on both the economy, with a surge in new jobs, and Iraq, with international support for the June 30 transfer of power.
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
No doubt , I predict a major landslide
I predict a nail biter, just like last time. Too many voters who won't vote for one candidate or the other under any circumstances. A whole lot of people have already made up their minds, and nothing from Iraq or on the economic front is going to sway them at this point. The country is much more polarized now than in 1980.
Just remember .. Hillary CANNOT allow Kerry to win .. PERIOD!
I dissagree. The polls reflect party idealism right now. But get a sane individual behind the curtain of the polling booth and I have faith they will do the right thing.
No sane person with a measurable IQ can vote for Kerry, IMO.
I agree. The polls keep promising Kerry a few points lead. But those polls are NOT talking to "likely" voters.
Rats have a poor record of showing up to vote. Even with Democratic voter fraud, I don't see Bush loosing. I predict African-Americans will sit this one out. Kerry still hasn't got any new minorities in his personal staff (maybe a butler).
I just can't wait for the debates. Kerry is about as charismatic as Gore.
I still see this more like the 96 election. Kerry is the democrat version of Dole. Kerry may get their support in opinion polls but many will not bother to get out and vote for him. Kerry has a real problem with his hard-core anti-war and minority bases.
Part of me wants a 2000-style squeaker victory, for the pure schadenfreude of watching the Democrats go completely psychotic. If it's a landslide, they'll merely be suicidal, like there were on Election Night 2002.
I want them mad.
No Contest!!!
With a landslide or strong GW win, the lefists/Dem'o'craps will be so psychotic they'll be lining up to jump off of buildings. I guarantee it.
Factories will have to pump up production of Prozac, there won't be enough weed for them all to smoke, and they'll be recognizable on the street because of their tremors and frothing at the mouth.
I long to see it.
Not me! I don't want them to have any excuses as to how Dubya was re-elected. I want him to have at least 52% of the vote, so the Dems won't even be able to say that Ralph Nader ruined it for them. Dubya would win even without Nader in the race.
I'd like to see the present group of nasty, liberal Dems on the ash heap of history
Stay safe !
Anyone else think Dems are pushing the gas price issue so hard because they remember how much the energy crisis hurt Jimmy Carter?
bump!
The Democrats cannot compete if they depend solely on their traditional base of single welfare mothers, athiests, condom throwers, abortion enthusiasts, government-addicted minorities, gold-chained union thugs, screeching feminists, college professors, Hollywood drunks, America-hating malcontents, and all the rest of society's losers, parasites, and weirdos.
Democrats can only win if they can con enough normal, traditional, taxpaying Americans into (inexplicably) voting along with the Democrat base described above. Fortunately, the number of such people who are stupid enough to voluntarily tape "kick me" signs to their own backs has been steadily decreasing.
In 2000, the Democrats very nearly stole the Presidency. This year, however, will be an entirely different story because rather than a Justice Department (Clinton's) which will aid and abet Democrat vote fraud, we have a Justice Department (Bush's) which will BATTLE vote fraud. That's a whole lot of taxpayer funded lawyers. And the "swing" just might help produce a landslide.
The article is correct in predicting a landslide, but makes an analogy to the wrong Reagan election.
The year is 2004, and the writer ought to be looking at 1984, when the President was re-elected in an historic landslide, setting the record for most electoral votes, and most votes cast for, which stands to this day.
Yep, Kerry is a Democratic Bob Dole. Boring, not good looking, and not dynamic, and he's running against a polarizing president who's support is as fervant as his detractors.
I don't think it will be a landslide, but decisive. I'm guessing Bush 50%, Kerry 47%, Nader 2.5%, 0.5% other.
And while Bush kicked Gore's butt in those 2000 debates, Bush's speaking abilities have improved greatly since then. He ought to wipe up the floor with Kerry.
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